Jimena

We are located on the Pacific Ocean just below Todos Santos.
Winds are basically non-existent right now. The waves are not large, but they are a little more forceful. 1 surfer in the water. Cloudy.

Now, here's a question: do you think this will survive the storm? It will be tied down shortly. It is the Palapa and bar area at the main pool. Edited to say: I just took this picture.



[Edited on 8-31-2009 by HaciendaCerritos]

the Palapa

Good Morning HaciendaCerritos,
I don't have an answer to your question but if it were easy enough I would try to take the palapa on the pole inside. Keep us updated and be safe. Thanks for info on 5/8 plywood. Husband just got up and he isn't sure what he can do at this point so not sure he will be flying down. Caretaker there may attempt to put up some plywood and he's moved everything out of the way....except of course the casa.
pacside

Edit: Very beautiful view you have and the owner is lucky to have someone as responsible as you there.

[Edited on 8-31-2009 by pacside]

Jimena Road Report

here is a photo to ponder...we have been printing and circulating it so folks understand they should be prepared!

Quote:

Originally posted by shari Not looking good this morning for anyone here on the peninsula. i wonder if it might be interesting to open a Chat starting tomorrow starring those who are living here who can do live reports...till the power goes out...since most of us will be checking in here alot....maybe we can organize our Jimena Pool there...what do you think? How are things in the cape region this morning??

Now that's what you call "an upbeat report"

Yea, they don't have much of a root system, ought to be easy to get 'em upright and replanted.

Quote:

Originally posted by HaciendaCerritos We are located on the Pacific Ocean just below Todos Santos. Winds are basically non-existent right now. The waves are not large, but they are a little more forceful. 1 surfer in the water. Cloudy. Now, here's a question: do you think this will survive the storm? It will be tied down shortly. It is the Palapa and bar area at the main pool. Edited to say: I just took this picture. [Edited on 8-31-2009 by HaciendaCerritos]

USAF Hurricane Hunter info just in!!!!!

No Worries

HURRICANE JIMENA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
200 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2009

THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS HAVE JUST COMPLETED THEIR MISSION IN JIMENA...AND FOUND THAT THE HURRICANE WAS STRONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS ADJUSTED UPWARD TO 135 KT...AT THE VERY HIGH END OF
CATEGORY 4 STATUS. ENVIRONMENTAL INFLUENCES SHOULD NOT PREVENT JIMENA FROM MAINTAINING MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

It's a category #5 now?

Something bad is heading towards Baja.

<<The most powerful hurricane anywhere on the planet so far this year is Hurricane Jimena, according to data from this afternoon's hurricane hunter mission. Jimena's 155 mph winds beat out the South Pacific's Tropical Cyclone Hamish (150 mph winds) as the most powerful tropical cyclones so far this year. The Hurricane Hunters have completed their mission into Jimena, so we will have to rely on satellite estimates of Jimena's strength until Tuesday afternoon's hurricane hunter flight to see if the storm intensifies to the 160 mph threshold needed for it to become a Category 5 hurricane.

Jimena is expected to make landfall Tuesday night or Wednesday morning along the Mexico's Baja Peninsula. The hurricane is in an environment with low wind shear, 5 - 10 knots, and warm Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs), 30°C. Shear is expected to remain low, and SSTs will decline to 28°C with a corresponding decree in total oceanic heat content between now and landfall, and these conditions should mean that Jimena will be a Category 3 or 4 hurricane at landfall. The computer models have come into better agreement with their latest 12Z runs, giving confidence that a landfall north of Cabo San Lucas will occur, and that town is now outside of the NHC cone of uncertainty. Cabo San Lucas has a 13% chance of receiving hurricane force winds, according to NHC's wind probability product. Serious flooding due to heavy rains will occur across all of the southern Baja Tuesday and Wednesday. Jimena is of similar intensity and is following a similar track to Hurricane Juliette of 2001, which brought 17.7" of rain to Cabo San Lucas. Juliette killed 7 people and caused $20 million in damage to Mexico, mostly due to flash flooding and mudslides from the heavy rains.

After Jimena makes initial landfall on Baja, it will cross over the Gulf of California and make landfall on Mainland Mexico. Depending upon how up along the coast this second landfall occurs, Arizona may receive moisture from Jimena late this week that will be capable of causing flooding rains.>>

From:
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

and today at Playa Frambes...

of course tomorrow we're screwed

Here's my hope. I grew up on Long Island, just outside NYC. As a youngster, going to school. I can't tell you how many times, as night would fall, with predictions of an impending blizzard, snow would start to fall. I fell asleep with the abiding hope that the next morning there would be two feet of fresh snow and school would be cancelled. But alas, it seems that every next morning, the snow had turned to rain, with a couple of inches of slush on the ground and school was open. I'm really hoping that school is going to be open for all you guys down there when this is all said and done.

I found some Whiskey. I feel better all ready.

Might want to save it for after the storm.

Got that covered too!

Santiago, just ignore Dennis. The more stars he gets, the crankier he gets.

But if you are still in that house by the arroyo in the picture you posted a couple of weeks ago, it is time for you to "vamoose".

How's that for a Spanish lesson?

Creo lo mismo de Sr. Jesse.

whew...I'm not crazy...I just found those clouds coming in here on another satellite...I didnt expect them till tomorrow....they are very black and have long fingers...no moon tonight I guess. It will be cloudy tomorrow too looks like....such a huge monstress system.

best of luck everyone.

Here's the most recent;

Some of these models are scary !
Batten the hatches !!

3-day forecast, as of 11pm Pacific Time.

Yikes!

The storm surge will most likely be a Pacific Ocean event but they don't really delineate.

Here's the lastest @ stormpulse:




Please take precautions.

[Edited on 9-1-2009 by Sharksbaja]

Black clouds ahead over Insurgentes Saturday afternoon, and dust clouds whipped up by gusts of wind in a by-pass around a bridge under construction over a vado between Puerto Lopez Mateos and Insurgentes. Thunderheads have been releasing periodic downpours in the area for the past couple of days in advance of Jimenez. Yesterday, Monday, in the calm before the storm wahoo were on the bite outside Mag Bay on Thetis Bank. I ran the still calm boca at daybreak and had five hoos in the boat before 10:00 a.m. Then, back to Loreto to button down.

Wind and rain in Insurgentes Saturday