BajaNomad

ALETTA....first named storm in Eastern Pacific!

AKgringo - 6-6-2018 at 07:18 PM

This forecast is projected out one week from today, so it is a big maybe at best. The model is the European model, which is frequently more accurate than the NOAA model, which shows it nowhere near the cape.

https://www.windy.com/?24.407,-112.874,5

This is the NOAA two day forecast;

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=2

Edit; It appears that I screwed up the copy and paste for windy.com, so just play with it and see what might be in the near future!

[Edited on 6-7-2018 by AKgringo]

shari - 6-6-2018 at 07:48 PM

Abalone fishing just started and now they will be interrupted by a few days of big swell this weekend and next week...hope it pushes some warm water up our way as the ocean temps are under 60!!! poor divers are freezing in thin wetsuits.

AKgringo - 6-7-2018 at 07:18 AM

Correction! Aletta is forecast to have a westward track. The un-named disturbance still forming south of Mexico is the one that may bring a storm to the cape!

Wax the Boards ?

MrBillM - 6-7-2018 at 08:00 AM

An be ready to Ride ?

There's always an upside.

hermosok123 - 6-7-2018 at 12:28 PM

That "windy" site is really cool. Thanks for posting it. Allows for forecasting that I could not do before.

SFandH - 6-7-2018 at 01:10 PM

Quote: Originally posted by hermosok123  
That "windy" site is really cool. Thanks for posting it. Allows for forecasting that I could not do before.


Yes. it's an impressive website. One stop weather data. It has it all. Click the "more layers" option on the right side verticle menu. Wow!

Plus, right click to see more options.

shari - 6-8-2018 at 11:43 AM

the swell is building from the south here in Asuncion now...abalone fishermen couldnt even get out this morning and all pangas are being pulled out now...could be till next Wednesday till it calms down.

tiotomasbcs - 6-9-2018 at 06:37 AM

Updates and graphics appreciated. Storm behind Aletta appears to be targetting us here in BCS....RAIN!!! Very, very dry here in southern desert. Thanks. Tio

bajabuddha - 6-9-2018 at 08:45 AM

Aletta is veering to the west and starting to weaken now, no threat to Baja. However, according to windyty.com there's another disturbance that will take shape probably in the next 48 hours, and the current course is dead-on to south cape, and probably a week from today. However, all this can change, but it does look to being a "named storm" very soon.

StuckSucks - 6-9-2018 at 08:48 AM


StuckSucks - 6-9-2018 at 08:52 AM

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 09/1500Z 16.4N 113.1W 85 KT 100 MPH
12H 10/0000Z 16.9N 113.9W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 10/1200Z 17.3N 115.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 11/0000Z 17.4N 116.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 11/1200Z 17.4N 117.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
72H 12/1200Z 17.0N 119.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 13/1200Z 16.5N 121.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 14/1200Z 15.5N 122.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

shari - 6-9-2018 at 08:53 AM

Bud was nipping at Aletta's heels and is the new bad boy in the barrio who may bring some weather to the Baja!

The swell began to build yesterday and the abalone fishermen couldnt get in or out of the launch area...all pangas were beached yesterday and it looks like Juan will have a week off as Bud's swell will follow this one...geeze.....the fishermen were so happy to finally start the ab season and they only got 4 days in!

So dust off your hurricane plan ...the season has begun!

Bud.....?

AKgringo - 6-9-2018 at 09:38 AM

When the disturbance gets officially named (forecast is 100%) I think he deserves a new thread. let Aletta rest in peace!

shari - 6-9-2018 at 10:19 AM

Adios Aletta..old news

here is the list of Hurricane names for 2018...I most worry about the Beatles John & Paul!


Aletta
Bud
Carlotta
Daniel
Emilia
Fabio
Gilma
Hector
Ileana
John
Kristy
Lane
Miriam
Norman
Olivia
Paul
Rosa
Sergio
Tara
Vicente
Willa
Xavier
Yolanda
Zeke

bajabuddha - 6-9-2018 at 11:15 AM

Let me be the first to say it:

:bounce: Cabo, this Bud's for you ! :biggrin:


....and if you don't like it, tough Schlitz. :P

[Edited on 6-9-2018 by bajabuddha]

AKgringo - 6-9-2018 at 11:40 AM

Quote: Originally posted by bajabuddha  
Let me be the first to say it:

:bounce: Cabo, this Bud's for you ! :biggrin:


....and if you don't like it, tough Schlitz. :P


Dilly, Dilly!

shari - 6-9-2018 at 03:06 PM



I figure even Bud's nards will shrink when he hits the cold water! doubt he will get up that far...but ya never know ....and looks like the swell will last all week up our way in central baja.

BigBearRider - 6-9-2018 at 08:05 PM

Just a tip, don't google "Aletta Ocean" for info on this Pacific hurricane.