Info on Bud

http://eebmike.com/
Bud has the potential to effect BCS



[Edited on 6-10-2018 by Russ]

surfers are stoked up here...the swell is already about 10' today and going up tomorrow
Pretty awesome storm surge watching here at the blowohole...our windows are a mess!

Quote: Originally posted by basautter

Bring rain to Tucson please!

Quote: Originally posted by shari

surfers are stoked up here...the swell is already about 10' today and going up tomorrow Pretty awesome storm surge watching here at the blowohole...our windows are a mess!

Hurricane Bud has become the second major hurricane in just over three days in the eastern Pacific Ocean, and will bring at least more peripheral impacts to parts of Mexico's Pacific coast than its predecessor last week, Aletta.

Bud's center is currently just under 500 miles south-southeast of Los Cabos, Mexico, moving northwest.

Infrared satellite imagery shows some outer rainbands wrapping toward the southwest coast of Mexico, generally from Zihuatanejo westward.

These outer rainbands will continue to push ashore at times through midweek.

Bud is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated totals up to 10 inches, through Tuesday afternoon over portions of southwestern Mexico. This heavy rain could cause life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides in high-terrain areas.

The Government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm watch for the southwestern coast of Mexico, from Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes, due to the possibility of tropical-storm-force winds (39 to 73 mph) in this area within the next 24 to 36 hours.

Bud's eyewall containing its strongest winds will remain far offshore. However, we can't rule out a brush of tropical storm-force winds, mainly in gusts, as those aforementioned rainbands brush the states of Jalisco and Colima.

Late in the week, the center of Bud could approach Mexico's southern Baja California Peninsula, but it will be weakening as it nears Los Cabos due to cooler water and increased wind shear.

At this time, the most likely outcome is the passing of Bud as a low-end tropical storm or tropical depression near Los Cabos Friday. Interests in Los Cabos should continue to monitor the progress of Bud this week.

High surf and rip currents will be a threat much of this week along the southwest coast of Mexico and the southern Baja Peninsula. If in doubt, stay out of the water at area beaches this week and heed all warnings from local lifeguards.

Eventually, Bud could help trigger a surge of moisture in the Desert Southwest, where an increase in showers and storms may occur late in the week or next weekend.

To the west-northwest of Bud, infrared satellite imagery now shows that Aletta continues to lose organization and is rapidly weakening.

In just 24 hours last week, Aletta went from a tropical storm to a Category 4 hurricane late last week, doubling its maximum sustained winds (70 mph to 140 mph) by the 9 a.m. MDT Friday National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisory.

The 2015 season began with Category 4 Hurricane Andres followed by Category 4 Hurricane Blanca, the record-earliest-in-season second Eastern Pacific hurricane and major hurricane, which later became the record-earliest Baja California landfall, as a tropical storm.

However, only one of these "A" hurricanes has reached Category 5 intensity, Hurricane Ava in June 1973, according to NOAA.

Aletta produced a dramatic swell here in central Baja in Bahia Asuncion...we have had 3 days of spectacular waves in our front yard here at La Bufadora Inn!
Yesterday a couple crab fishermen made it out through the swell during a "sajio" calm between the sets. The poor abalone fishermen are bummed as this important local fishery just opened last week and they only got 4 days of fishing in till the swell shut them down...looks like they will be on vacation another few days too till it calms down a bit.

Bud will bring some much needed rain to the peninsula!







[Edited on 6-12-2018 by shari]

[Edited on 6-12-2018 by BajaNomad]

Hurricane Bud is beginning to weaken and is expected to arrive in Mexico's Baja Peninsula as a tropical storm late this week, after becoming the second Category 4 hurricane in just over three days in the Eastern Pacific Ocean early Tuesday.

Bud's center is currently just over 300 miles south-southeast of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, moving northwestward.

Bud's eyewall, containing its strongest winds, will remain far off the southwest Mexican coast.

However, outer rainbands will continue to wrap ashore over southwest Mexico over the next few days.

Bud is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations over southwest Mexico of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated totals up to 10 inches. This heavy rain could cause life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides, especially in high-terrain areas.

As mentioned earlier, Bud has begun its weakening phase, as it begins to track over cooler ocean water.

According to the latest National Hurricane Center forecast, Bud's center will begin to approach Los Cabos, at the southern tip of Mexico's Baja Peninsula, Thursday into early Friday.

At that time, Bud is expected to have weakened to a tropical storm, with periods of rain and gusty winds. Interests in Los Cabos should continue to monitor the progress of Bud this week.

High surf and rip currents will be a threat much of this week along the southwestern coast of Mexico and the southern Baja Peninsula. If in doubt, stay out of the water at area beaches this week, and heed all warnings from local lifeguards.

Bud will then degenerate quickly as it moves up the Baja Peninsula or Gulf of California.

However, Bud's remnant moisture will likely surge into the Desert Southwest, triggering thunderstorms into the weekend, there.

We're getting some big storm surf for here with out the wind to cause it. I have a feeling that when the storm, Bud, does arrive and if it's high tide it could reach my boathouse doors. The surge is going over what is the normal high tide line.






[Edited on 6-13-2018 by Russ]

Thanks Russ. Sittin on the Dock of the Bay down here on Pacific in Peskys. Cloudy and warm but no rain, yet! A little rain bath with Tropical breeze, por favor!! Tio

Various forecast storm tracks in Google Earth

Welcome to the forum!

Quote: Originally posted by V6G3B7

Welcome to the forum!

Quote: Originally posted by V6G3B7

Thanks, AKgringo.

Thanks, AKgringo.

Quote: Originally posted by AKgringo

That is a pretty impressive first post!

Here's the view looking south at Sierra de la Laguna mountaintop level

See what's coming at Los Cabos / peninsula.

Here's the view looking south at Sierra de la Laguna mountaintop level (Pacific side seems to have the most model correlation / tracks).

Once Bud hits the Sea of Cortez, the warm waters may encourage strengthening a bit. Hopefully everyone gets a modest amount of rain. Just enough to green everything up.







[Edited on 6-13-2018 by V6G3B7]

[Edited on 6-14-2018 by BajaNomad]

Good cloudy morning
Hope everyone down south are okay! It's cloudy here and images are showing a lot more chance we'll get some rain at some point. Our surf/surge is still big but this morning it's calm with no wind yet.

Quote: Originally posted by Russ

Good cloudy morning Hope everyone down south are okay! It's cloudy here and images are showing a lot more chance we'll get some rain at some point. Our surf/surge is still big but this morning it's calm with no wind yet.

Here a Cabo area shot/update at 7:45 local-


Also an update of the storm track


[Edited on 6-15-2018 by Russ]

Adios ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ BUD
Hope I'm not too early in counting him out.

Higest tide of the year today

So I track the tides at Chivato and print out yearly. Then I scan and highlight the highest and lowest of the month. The highest of the year is TODAY at 6:29 PM 2.93 feet. I remember when we were there for Jiema the peak of the surge was the highest tide of the year.
Glad to see the turn as we already have the beach tidal pools filling.Didn't want to see 4 foot waves and 3 foot tides.. Here comes El Nino...

Quote: Originally posted by proneman

Some sun and no rain now in San Jose.....