BajaNomad

Hurricane John onsite reports

shari - 8-7-2018 at 08:48 AM

Hurricane John looks like it will affect southern Baja. It is very useful to travelers as well as locals who live on the peninsula to have local eye witness reports of the storm.

Please post reports mentioning where you are and what weather you are experiencing as well as road reports if arroyos flood.

Please keep this thread on topic about the current storm.

Here in central Baja on the Pacside fishing pangas are being hauled out today in response to the predicted large swell. Today Buoyweather predicts waves up to 19' which will certainly rearrange our beaches and cause some flood damage to properties close to the shore and low lying areas. Be prepared....be careful! Good luck everyone.

Bahia Asuncion is calm, partly overcast, 78 degrees, 72% humidity and the swell has begun to increase. Water temp at the beach I estimate is 68 degrees.



[Edited on 8-7-2018 by shari]

Hook - 8-7-2018 at 09:41 AM

The wind/wave predictor I have a lot of faith in is Windfinder. They are predicting a wave height of "only" 11.5ft for Abreojos. When I plug Asuncion into Windfinder, it gives me a very Windyty-looking interface. I've never seen it do that. Maybe that is its default interface for any region they dont have their computer models running. I didnt see any wave height predictor, but I am not familiar with the Windyty program.

shari - 8-7-2018 at 10:39 AM

I have faith in Buoyweather as it is fairly precise for Bahia Asuncion as I look out my window day in day out...it changes frequently but is generally right for our area. I look at several sites and look out my window....surf-forecast generally underestimates wind & swell for my front yard but I like to see the wave energy estimates and temperatures all on one page.

Russ - 8-7-2018 at 04:17 PM

Really windy here to day as forecast but I'm not sure John is the culprit. Fore cast for tomorrow much lighter winds. Hope BA is okay and not damaged. My wind thingy is out but I'm guessing that we've had gusts to 25+ today. Patio furniture and door secured. Still 87º


[Edited on 8-7-2018 by Russ]

shari - 8-7-2018 at 05:17 PM

looks like John will pass offshore so probably just a massive swell on the pacside. It just poured rain here for 10 minutes in a big rain cell but the sun is out again now.

BajaBlanca - 8-7-2018 at 09:01 PM

I find it astounding how we are so different than Asuncion weather-wise when we are only 1.5 hours south of you.

We had sprinkles of rain for such a little bit this afternoon. Barely enough to properly water my plants.

There was no wind and the waves are constant but not huge either. Let's see what tomorrow brings!

Cappy - 8-8-2018 at 04:51 AM

just started raining in cerritos. light breeze. 6am

Russ - 8-8-2018 at 06:15 AM

Calm and cloudy - 80º coolest in weeks

bajalinda - 8-8-2018 at 06:46 AM

thanks for that news, Cappy!

Here (La Aguja) at 7:30 AM we have very light mist. Had real gusty wind yesterday PM around 2:15 or so that lasted about 10 or 15 minutes. Then nothing between then and now. So if it's raining in Los Cerritos, we expect more rain than just a mist to be here in a bit.

BajaBlanca - 8-8-2018 at 06:54 AM

La Bocana this morning is a bit muggy, quite cloudy, light warm breeze big waves.

hermosok123 - 8-8-2018 at 07:02 AM

Back in the day (70s) when we would transit the coast both north and south offshore of you and Shari it was mostly a given that there would be a significant weather break as we got abreast of north Cedros. Now down by Abreojos if headed north you sometimes would pull in south of Razors or the Coop and rest before heading back into the weather. Makes sense as Punta Eugenia really sticks out there.

shari - 8-8-2018 at 07:52 AM

In Bahia Asuncion this morning, 78 degrees with 79% humidity which is so rare for here. Clouds are moving in and swell is building...around 7' at the moment and expected to more than double by tonight....all pangas getting pulled high and dry...laundry in as it looks like we will get some rain.

How are things down below?

jedge42 - 8-8-2018 at 08:09 AM

Quote: Originally posted by shari  
In Bahia Asuncion this morning, 78 degrees with 79% humidity which is so rare for here. Clouds are moving in and swell is building...around 7' at the moment and expected to more than double by tonight....all pangas getting pulled high and dry...laundry in as it looks like we will get some rain.

How are things down below?


Here in this part of the East Cape (~10km south of Los Barriles), things are pretty mellow. Some rain yesterday along with a bit of wind. Calm today, but a big shower early this morning; seems to be clearing overall. John looks to be weakening (or not strengthening anyway) and headed well out to sea.

jake

SFandH - 8-8-2018 at 08:09 AM

Quote: Originally posted by BajaBlanca  
La Bocana this morning is a bit muggy, quite cloudy, light warm breeze big waves.


"Big waves" I'm wondering if any of the surfers are getting some good waves out of this storm. What's the sea surface like? Chopped up or smooth? Visions of corduroy. Storm's probably too close.

[Edited on 8-8-2018 by SFandH]

bajalinda - 8-8-2018 at 09:57 AM

No rain here....yet. Perhaps we won't see any rain at all.

Surf is building - biggest surf expected this afternoon. Wind from the east.


tiotomasbcs - 8-8-2018 at 10:00 AM

It rained pretty good here in Pescadero between 5-7am. No rain since. Lightning flashes over the Mtns during the night! Surf is only 3-5ft, tightly packed together with very Southerly angle. Glad we got a couple hours of rain! Humidity disappeared with rain, too. Tio

BajaBlanca - 8-8-2018 at 01:02 PM

La Bocana - still hot and humid at 2pm. No rain to speak of. Waves seem the same size as this morning but they are coming in nonstop sets.

Yesterday and this morning, the ocean seemed quite reddish, red tide?

Timinator - 8-8-2018 at 01:37 PM

Here's Cabo right now, I think? Pretty bad flooding.

https://www.facebook.com/BajaWeatherChannel/videos/211189146...

[Edited on 8-8-2018 by Timinator]

shari - 8-8-2018 at 05:04 PM

Quote: Originally posted by BajaBlanca  
La Bocana - still hot and humid at 2pm. No rain to speak of. Waves seem the same size as this morning but they are coming in nonstop sets.

Yesterday and this morning, the ocean seemed quite reddish, red tide?


same here in Asuncion....a red tide moved onshore this afternoon and it is awful....sure hope it doesnt affect the abalone!!! I am going to cover my rose garden with a tarp for tonights winds.

SFandH - 8-8-2018 at 05:31 PM

Blanca, Shari - don't know if you have heard about this, red tide has been in the news lately:

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/2018/08/news-...

shari - 8-8-2018 at 08:13 PM

well high tide has come and gone with minimal damage...one panga that wasnt pulled up high enough flipped over and they pulled pangas up higher after that...photos tomorrow.

Just before dark we could see big dark clouds coming our way and a breeze is picking up from the SE now...gonna be a long windy/rainy night I imagine. Be safe everyone!

David K - 8-8-2018 at 08:54 PM

Hang on Shari and Juan!

Hook - 8-9-2018 at 07:54 AM

Nothing yet? Power loss?

Bubba - 8-9-2018 at 08:33 AM

Hope everyone is safe.

Vince - 8-9-2018 at 08:48 AM

Appreciate your reports in the Baja Sur area. Hard to get info on Conception Bay area since the Burro Bay webcam has been out. Our little house on Coyote Bay seems to be out of the weather for now. Good luck.

Bob and Susan - 8-9-2018 at 09:19 AM

on the bay in mulege its partly cloudy
90f
winds are about 10mph from the south

not bad
no rain

Udo - 8-9-2018 at 09:30 AM

Ensenada:

Winds out of SW.
83º
68% humidity
Calm seas

Vince - 8-9-2018 at 02:37 PM

We are getting some of the clouds here in the San Diego area. T 90 on the coast, very humid.

shari - 8-9-2018 at 04:26 PM

Here are some scenes from around town of the big swell last evening at high tide and this morning. Fortunately John passed far enough offshore to create a big 15' swell, an hour of rain and strong winds but not enough to cause damage....whew. It was a good dress rehearsal for what may come.

We will start our Hurricane cruise with Rossman standing in the splash zone out by the cooperativa here at the point.





then on to the Y where these pangas had to be pulled much higher up to the road just after I took the photo...the swell was only about 10' at the high tide Thursday night and was to get up to 15 later at night.



there would be no fishing halibut off the pier



there were lots of spectators...a wave came over the bank just after I took this and they had to move the bench back!







i took this from the Beach House deck



the waves breached the berm and water was pouring into fill the lagunita which happened 4 years ago and gave the kids a safe place to swim all year long.



Baja Gypsy was our chauffer and Rossman was her copilot for the storm tour.



Here is John's calling card just before dark.



today it looks like a washing machine out here at the point with waves coming from different directions wrapping around the Island.


About 10 at night the wind started to howl and it rained like a banshee for an hour or so and then the skies cleared and only some lightning was left! Whew....dodged the bullet once again but it was a good dress rehearsal for what may be coming down the pipe next month!