BajaNomad

Hurricane Rosa may cut across Baja Norte Oct. 1 or 2

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David K - 9-27-2018 at 08:33 PM



This could mean flooded arroyos. I would be prepared for Hwy. 1 and 5 to be cut off for a day or two.

Here is the warning from http://eebmike.com/ :

Hurricane Rosa Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202018
800 PM PDT Thu Sep 27 2018

Rosa has continued to rapidly intensify during the past several
hours, with a distinct and warm eye noted on satellite images along
with deep eyewall convection. A blend of the latest Dvorak
estimates gives an initial wind speed estimate of 125 kt, making
Rosa the seventh category 4 hurricane of the very busy 2018 eastern
Pacific hurricane season. It is worth noting that this value ties
2015 for the highest observed seasonal total in the basin during
the satellite era.

The hurricane still has a chance to intensify further given that it
is still over warm waters within light shear. By the weekend,
however, Rosa will encounter more marginal SSTs, and the shear
will likely increase. These conditions should cause a significant
weakening of the hurricane by early next week, and for Rosa to fall
back to a tropical storm by Tuesday. The intensity forecast isn't
particularly confident at long range because of the possibility of a
trough interaction somewhat offsetting the effects of cool eastern
Pacific waters and dry stable air. So far the guidance is fairly
consistent, and the forecast continues to show steady weakening as
Rosa approaches Baja California.



[Edited on 9-28-2018 by David K]

JZ - 9-27-2018 at 08:46 PM

Wouldn't it be fun to be in the middle of the Mulege to San Isidro Trail when it hit?

David K - 9-27-2018 at 08:46 PM









[Edited on 9-28-2018 by David K]

AKgringo - 9-27-2018 at 09:10 PM

The storm right on Rosa's tail could be an even bigger threat. The attached forecast is over a week out, so a lot could change, but take a look!:

https://www.windy.com/?gfs,2018-10-07-00,26.077,-109.578,5,m...

Bajazly - 9-27-2018 at 09:47 PM

Quote: Originally posted by JZ  
Wouldn't it be fun to be in the middle of the Mulege to San Isidro Trail when it hit?



In 2016 we woke up on the beach in Bahia Conception about dawn in the eye of Newton. Had no idea it was even a thing till we got to Santa Rosalia and found out what we were in. We were the last two trucks out of town heading north late that afternoon after fording 4 rivers running across the main road that no one would drive thru. That night in Viciano it was rainbows and partly cloudy skies. Next day in San Rafael it was crystal clear and 8 to 10 foot waves breaking on the beach with some great fishing after the surf died down a bit. Good times for sure.

mtgoat666 - 9-27-2018 at 10:42 PM

Quote: Originally posted by David K  
Hurricane Rosa may cut across Baja Norte Oct. 1


Your headline is wrong, alarmist hysteria! Should say: “hurricane Rosa likely to NOT hit baja, remnant low pressure system to cut across baja”

mtgoat666 - 9-27-2018 at 10:44 PM

Quote: Originally posted by JZ  
Wouldn't it be fun to be in the middle of the Mulege to San Isidro Trail when it hit


No.

bajatrailrider - 9-27-2018 at 10:50 PM

Has a hurricane ever hit North Baja.

JZ - 9-27-2018 at 10:53 PM

Quote: Originally posted by Bajazly  

In 2016 we woke up on the beach in Bahia Conception about dawn in the eye of Newton. Had no idea it was even a thing till we got to Santa Rosalia and found out what we were in. We were the last two trucks out of town heading north late that afternoon after fording 4 rivers running across the main road that no one would drive thru. That night in Viciano it was rainbows and partly cloudy skies. Next day in San Rafael it was crystal clear and 8 to 10 foot waves breaking on the beach with some great fishing after the surf died down a bit. Good times for sure.


Nice. I've rode out a couple on the mainland, but not Baja yet.

joerover - 9-27-2018 at 11:14 PM

Quote: Originally posted by Bajazly  


In 2016 we woke up on the beach in Bahia Conception about dawn in the eye of Newton. Had no idea it was even a thing till we got to Santa Rosalia and found out what we were in. .





Hurricanes aint no joke. Newton was not a hurricane after a few hundred miles over land.

David K - 9-27-2018 at 11:54 PM

Quote: Originally posted by mtgoat666  
Quote: Originally posted by David K  
Hurricane Rosa may cut across Baja Norte Oct. 1


Your headline is wrong, alarmist hysteria! Should say: “hurricane Rosa likely to NOT hit baja, remnant low pressure system to cut across baja”


It is called Hurricane Rosa NOW, what it will be in the future is only a guess, like the guess of global warming 20-50 years from now.

Rosa will likely be a tropical storm or maybe only a depression... but it is Rosa. San Diego weather is calling for rain Monday and Tuesday caused by it. These are also not my names or estimates but those of the weather links I posted. I don't make up the news, I only report what I saw.

chuckie - 9-28-2018 at 03:24 AM

http://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/rosa-intensifies...

Beagle - 9-28-2018 at 04:00 AM

Quote: Originally posted by AKgringo  
The storm right on Rosa's tail could be an even bigger threat. The attached forecast is over a week out, so a lot could change, but take a look!:

https://www.windy.com/?gfs,2018-10-07-00,26.077,-109.578,5,m...



I'm just getting to know Windy and love it. However, still not sure what the difference is between the ECMWF and the GFS Models. ECMWF has that one maybe staying west while GFS has it still coming back right over the coast. Is one considered more accurate than the other? Thanks, just curious.

Russ - 9-28-2018 at 05:30 AM

Predicting a strom/hurricane track has always been a crap shoot to do accurately. The 2am track changed little from DK's 8pm one. Moved a little more north and the change to a storm has changed to down grade after it crosses over land now. It still has a lot of time to change so stay tuned for more accurate info. But DK's header is correct this morning. Photbucket is taking too long so I'll edit this when I can to show the newest track.

[Edited on 9-28-2018 by Russ]

Russ - 9-28-2018 at 05:41 AM

Quote: Originally posted by mtgoat666  
Quote: Originally posted by David K  
Hurricane Rosa may cut across Baja Norte Oct. 1


Your headline is wrong, alarmist hysteria! Should say: “hurricane Rosa likely to NOT hit baja, remnant low pressure system to cut across baja”


Jees Goat your info is alarming! If Rosa does strengthen as forecast in DK's post and folks listen to your Dibble and not be prepared it could cause major problems for them. Everyone should have a plans for disasters of this sort. That's just being smart not "alalmist hysteria"

[Edited on 9-28-2018 by Russ]

SFandH - 9-28-2018 at 05:45 AM

ECMWF and the GFS Models

A quick google says they are different mathematical models for weather prediction. The difference is in the complex equations employed and the way they use a vast amount of input data.

For both models, predictions further out in the future become less certain because errors compound with time. The differences in modeling techniques can cause future predictions to diverge.

I don't know which one has a better track record.


[Edited on 9-28-2018 by SFandH]

John Harper - 9-28-2018 at 06:02 AM

Quote: Originally posted by SFandH  
ECMWF and the GFS Models

A quick google says they are different mathematical models for weather prediction. The difference is in the complex equations employed and the way they use a vast amount of input data.

For both models, predictions further out in the future become less certain because errors compound with time. The differences in modeling techniques can cause future predictions to diverge.

I don't know which one has a better track record.


While watching TV reporting on Florence, the meteorologist compared the two models, his statement was that the European model was generally accepted as a bit more accurate. Of course this is for east coast hurricanes, so not sure you can compare or not.

John

woody with a view - 9-28-2018 at 06:34 AM

GFS is better. But when weather is involved nothing is perfect.

bajaguy - 9-28-2018 at 06:56 AM


A weather forecaster can be 100% wrong and still receive a paycheck
Quote: Originally posted by woody with a view  
GFS is better. But when weather is involved nothing is perfect.

willardguy - 9-28-2018 at 07:06 AM

the weather stone is always spot on

shari - 9-28-2018 at 07:37 AM

Central Baja is abuzz with Rosa reports and people preparing for possible flooding, winds and a big a$$ swell. Yes it is very rare for hurricanes to hit here but it has happened...so best to expect the worst and be ready for it just in case.
The fishing coops will be pulling the boats out extra high this time. Unfortunately our lobster season was to begin on Sunday...not gonna happen!
But if you plan to travel through northern or centra Baja please keep posted on Rosa....oh and dont cross any running arroyos!

Russ - 9-28-2018 at 08:28 AM

I just looked at the 8am forecast track and it has changed a bit. Downgraded to a storm well off the coast now and has move a bit north. Still can't get photobucket to copy downloads to post so go to ebbmike.co and check it out.
edit: 8am forecast
Since an eyewall replacement cycle is ongoing, Rosa is no longer
expected to intensify. In the short term, some additional
weakening is likely, typical of major hurricanes undergoing eyewall
replacements. If this process completes within the next 24 hours,
there will be some opportunity for the hurricane to re-intensify
while the shear is low and the hurricane remains over warm SSTs.
However, steady weakening is anticipated beginning Saturday night
since the cyclone is forecast to cross over much cooler SSTs. By 96
h, a weaker Rosa will likely approach the northern west coast of
the Baja California peninsula and the resulting interaction with
land will likely cause the cyclone to dissipate. It is worth
noting that a farther northwest track would likely result in Rosa
weakening faster than currently indicated, while a farther
southeast track could allow Rosa to maintain a slightly stronger
circulation as it crosses the northern Gulf of California.


[Edited on 9-28-2018 by Russ]

Bob and Susan - 9-28-2018 at 08:35 AM

ebbmike

rosa9-28-2018.jpg - 93kB

Russ - 9-28-2018 at 10:23 AM

Thanks - My photobucket won't let me copy any URLs

shari - 9-28-2018 at 10:38 AM

we are all breathing a bit easier today with the downgrade of wave & wind heights...and lots of jokes around town about we probably will only get 47 drops of rain...if any!

BornFisher - 9-28-2018 at 11:57 AM

Getting closer to my neck of the woods.
Found this great youtube linked on Blodydecks. Hurricane hits Newport Beach, 1939.

https://youtu.be/cLvFWj2Bivo

Alm - 9-28-2018 at 12:03 PM

Windy.com shows rain and wind in BA on Oct 1-2. About 5 or 10mm rain accumulation in 5 days, depends on what model you click on. Same for BOLA.
The system began deteriorating earlier yesterday and was further downgraded overnight. It might still spike up a little, eeb/NOAA is talking about possible re-intensifying if you read their report.

chuckie - 9-28-2018 at 12:31 PM

You cant trust hurricanes...Worse than Red headed women

joerover - 9-28-2018 at 02:18 PM

What are the odds of the SAn Diego airport being closed early wednesday morning__+?

norte - 9-28-2018 at 04:41 PM

Quote: Originally posted by bajatrailrider  
Has a hurricane ever hit North Baja.


Yes. A number of times. Wiped out San Felipe in 1967. This may help you... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Baja_California_Penins...

David K - 9-28-2018 at 05:00 PM

It was actually the flash floods attributed to a chubasco that messed up the town and Hwy. 5. It was a big deal and I do recall kids at school (3rd or 4th grade) talking about it (Baja was popular where I went to school).

blackwolfmt - 9-28-2018 at 05:48 PM

If Cabo lks like this Ill bet heading north along the coast is really getin ominous:?:, that is a word right?

snapshot.jpg - 134kB

David K - 9-28-2018 at 07:25 PM

Saw a video clip of Cabo today with rivers for streets in downtown.

https://www.facebook.com/BCSnoticias/videos/259062261308645/

[Edited on 9-29-2018 by David K]

mtgoat666 - 9-28-2018 at 10:23 PM

Quote: Originally posted by joerover  
What are the odds of the SAn Diego airport being closed early wednesday morning__+?


Probability is about zero.

This storm is minor, maybe an inch or 2 over 3 days in SoCal.

All you geriatrics getting high anxiety over the weather forecast need to get a hobby, a hobby like pot smoking! Crikey! The storm is gonna be a big nothing burger!

John Harper - 9-29-2018 at 05:25 AM

Quote: Originally posted by mtgoat666  
Quote: Originally posted by joerover  
What are the odds of the SAn Diego airport being closed early wednesday morning__+?


Probability is about zero.

This storm is minor, maybe an inch or 2 over 3 days in SoCal.

All you geriatrics getting high anxiety over the weather forecast need to get a hobby, a hobby like pot smoking! Crikey! The storm is gonna be a big nothing burger!


Come on, 666, you know hysteria and hyperbole are the American way!

John

woody with a view - 9-29-2018 at 07:39 AM

Nothing burger? Aren’t you a vegan goat?

chippy - 9-29-2018 at 08:32 AM

Rosa sparked up.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP5+shtml/291448...

mtgoat666 - 9-29-2018 at 08:41 AM


https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP20/refresh/EP2018W...

Good to get some rain to wash the dust off the cactus, clean the filthy streets of San Felipe



[Edited on 9-29-2018 by mtgoat666]

mtgoat666 - 9-29-2018 at 08:46 AM

Quote: Originally posted by woody with a view  
Nothing burger? Aren’t you a vegan goat?


Carnivore here

David K - 9-29-2018 at 10:03 AM

Quote: Originally posted by mtgoat666  

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP20/refresh/EP2018W...

Good to get some rain to wash the dust off the cactus, clean the filthy streets of San Felipe



[Edited on 9-29-2018 by mtgoat666]



Heavy (for Baja deserts) rain from Gonzaga Bay to nearly the Colorado Delta, on this map.

SFandH - 9-29-2018 at 10:33 AM

Quote: Originally posted by mtgoat666  

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP20/refresh/EP2018W...

Good to get some rain to wash the dust off the cactus, clean the filthy streets of San Felipe


That's the truth, even in San Diego and I suppose Ensenada. And of course, in TJ, being a hilly city, tons of garbage will be washed into the TJ river mouth.

Motor oil, pesticides, fertilizers, plastic and perhaps sewage from inundated sewer systems. Stay out of coastal waters near the cities for a week or so if there are heavy rains.

[Edited on 9-29-2018 by SFandH]

tiotomasbcs - 9-29-2018 at 12:53 PM

The sad Truth, SF H. Pics showed tons of plastic in Cabo's marina last week. Mother Nature is crying!

Alm - 9-29-2018 at 01:14 PM

Quote: Originally posted by mtgoat666  
...

Sure. Smoke some pot, then wake up to 1ft of water and mud in your Mulege home. Or La Paz. Or Cabo. Or BOLA. With roads impassable and hospitals and airports closed. But hey, smoke another joint and all is good again.

It's fun joking about it... until you personally are affected.

blackwolfmt - 9-29-2018 at 06:46 PM

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/weus/rb-animated.gif

rb.jpg - 118kB

[Edited on 9-30-2018 by blackwolfmt]

woody with a view - 9-29-2018 at 07:37 PM

LEGIT!!!

woody with a view - 9-30-2018 at 08:11 AM

The frontal bands are coming upstream over SD this morning.

Notes from this morning's advisory:

David K - 9-30-2018 at 09:34 AM

Full page: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP5+shtml/291448...

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West coast of the Baja California peninsula from Punta Abreojos
to Cabo San Quintin

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* East coast of the Baja California peninsula from Bahia de los
Angeles to San Felipe

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Over the next few days, Rosa is expected to produce the
following total rainfall accumulations:

Baja California and northwestern Sonora: 3 to 6 inches, isolated
10 inches.

The Mogollon Rim of Arizona: 2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches.

Rest of the Desert Southwest, Central Rockies, and Great Basin:
1 to 2 inches, isolated 4 inches.

These rainfall amounts would produce life-threatening flash flooding
and dangerous debris flows in the deserts, as well as landslides in
mountainous terrain.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area by Monday morning. Tropical storm
conditions are possible within the watch area by late Monday.

SURF: Swells generated by Rosa will affect portions of the coasts
of southwestern Mexico, most of the west coast of the Baja
California peninsula, and southern California through Tuesday.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.







[Edited on 9-30-2018 by David K]

mtnpop - 9-30-2018 at 10:11 AM

This will almost undoubtedly affect our drive down 5 in about 3 weeks heading to Mulege. A lot of rain in the area of construction could make that area a mess along with the construction around Puertocitis.
Then we will have to watch old Sergio brewing down south and see what track he takes...
Oh well, challenge accepted... Maybe...

woody with a view - 9-30-2018 at 01:39 PM

Sergio will go west. Have fun!

ehall - 9-30-2018 at 01:42 PM

It's funny we are already getting wind and rain from the southwest here in southern az. This is a huge storm

woody with a view - 9-30-2018 at 01:49 PM

San Diego just became high overcast clouds within the last couple hours.

Rosa

FrenchinBaja - 9-30-2018 at 02:21 PM

Cloudy at La Bufadora, South of Ensenada, not one drop of rain yet

shari - 9-30-2018 at 02:43 PM

Rosa is dancing by us in Bahia Asuncion....waves from the SW are reaching I'd say 18' with a freshening SW wind and a few drops of rain as usual...so far so good but I heard the internet will be turned off...time will tell.

chuckie - 9-30-2018 at 02:54 PM

DRINK

woody with a view - 9-30-2018 at 03:04 PM

“The internet can’t be turned off.” Al Gore

SFandH - 9-30-2018 at 03:11 PM

Windy is showing little rain Ensenada and north on west coast but San Felipe getting whacked late tomorrow.

https://www.windy.com/-Rain-thunder-rain?rain,2018-10-02-06,...


David K - 9-30-2018 at 03:22 PM

North San Diego County now: High cloud bands and thunderclouds over the mountains and desert. Around 90° and breezy.

FrenchinBaja - 9-30-2018 at 03:22 PM

Raining gently at La Bufadora!
San Felipe just got drenched by a few squalls in certain neighborhoods

mtgoat666 - 9-30-2018 at 03:38 PM

San Diego region going to get barely a sprinkle, probably not enough to wash the dust off my car.
Western Arizona looks set to get a good flash flood or 3.
SPM mountains should get a good dump.
With luck, the filth of San Felipe will be washed out to sea along with the poachers and meth dealers, we hope.
San quint0in down to Catavina should get a good dump too.

bajatrailrider - 9-30-2018 at 05:41 PM

So today the big Strom hit. We rode our dirt bikes east of San Quinten . We got wooping 3 drops of rain haaaaa. Rain God give us a gusher. this place drying up.

freediverbrian - 9-30-2018 at 06:51 PM

Don't wish for rain Bajatrailrider that washes out others. Don't be a


goat.


[Edited on 10-1-2018 by freediverbrian]

[Edited on 10-1-2018 by freediverbrian]

blackwolfmt - 9-30-2018 at 06:53 PM

Quote: Originally posted by bajatrailrider  
So today the big Strom hit. We rode our dirt bikes east of San Quinten . We got wooping 3 drops of rain haaaaa. Rain God give us a gusher. this place drying up.




It looks like the eye whats left is still off the coast get ready :coolup:

shari - 9-30-2018 at 08:38 PM

it was such a festive day with everyone driving around marveling at the enormous never before seen that big by most people. We enjoyed the 20' waves at sunset, went for a burger, stalked up on some items and by the time I got home it was blowing 30 knots and the swells are thundering in....dang.


The ambulance came around announcing Alerta Roja for our area as Rosa decided to do the cha cha a bit more and knock us around some. So everyone is scrambling around stowing stuff as most thought she was a done deal. It may be a long night....wouldnt want to be on Cedros tonight! Still no rain.

DSC_5387.jpg - 59kB

JZ - 9-30-2018 at 08:56 PM

That's a bad ass pic. Would have been awesome to see it in person.

Sept. 30: Rosa clouds arrive in San Diego

Whale-ista - 9-30-2018 at 10:40 PM

Walked out of the grocery store in San Diego and saw these rolling by overhead.



That's some front moving thru.

A few drops of rain spattered on the windshield when I got home.
Friends closer to the grocery stored got a lot more.
I have rain envy...

Hang tight down south!

willardguy - 9-30-2018 at 10:50 PM

bring us rain.......please:)

ehall - 10-1-2018 at 04:27 AM

Hope all my baja friends ds are ok. Light rain all night here in az.

bajatrailrider - 10-1-2018 at 05:44 AM

Quote: Originally posted by freediverbrian  
Don't wish for rain Bajatrailrider that washes out others. Don't be a


goat.


[Edited on 10-1-2018 by freediverbrian]

[Edited on 10-1-2018 by freediverbrian]
.

bajatrailrider - 10-1-2018 at 05:49 AM

I never wished anyone washed out now did I. So your another nomad blow hard put yourself along with the V I. My dog not in that club. ;)

bajatrailrider - 10-1-2018 at 05:53 AM

Quote: Originally posted by ehall  
Hope all my baja friends ds are ok. Light rain all night here in az.
. We got small rain last night ground wet hoping today real rain

shari - 10-1-2018 at 07:58 AM

Whoa...Rosa is a nasty girl! Last night things got really crazy about 3:30 with wind at 40-50 knots....not much rain but insane waves and unexpected high winds. It is worse now and I imagine it is the tail end of her having her way with us. One of the worse storms I have been in here...dang!
I cant believe we still have power and internet...crazy!

motoged - 10-1-2018 at 08:20 AM

Shari,
No laundry on the line today :coolup:

Hope the clean-up isn't too bad.

David K - 10-1-2018 at 09:06 AM

Monday Morning....


shari - 10-1-2018 at 10:33 AM

It's 11:30 and we are getting hammered even worse now..waves are way over 20' now, wind around 40 or more, raining....Rosa's tail is naughty. Reports of damage coming in...the roof of the stadium is flying around. Who'da thought!

carlosg - 10-1-2018 at 12:09 PM

Were on our way back grom our Central Baja Loop trip, we had to cut it short due to Rosa.

Yesterday rescue crues (CFE, TelMex, Military (vehicles all lined up and ready to go) and Proteccion Civil) were scrambling in GN.

Miltary on the road with supplies and ready to help, driving to wherever they're going.

Last night it sprinkled a bit in San Quintín, today around 9am when leaving there was a slight rain for a couple of miles north. Lots of Proteccion Civil and local and federal police activity.

As we drove down the grade to Sto Tomas the traffic was stopped for about half hour for construction work. As the southbound traffic passed us there was a big contingent of Red Cross rescue vehicles (all terrain tractor like, small rescue vehicles and a big command center truck) heading to the storm path.

We're at the entrance of maneadero at El Pariente havind some clam c-cktails and fresh oysters... no rain but very cloudy... warm and humid.

[Edited on 10-1-2018 by carlosg]

willardguy - 10-1-2018 at 01:43 PM

no rain yet in the rosarito area but all the usual spots are firing on all cylinders.....Biff tapped out a week too early :(

woody with a view - 10-1-2018 at 02:09 PM

Fotos or it didn’t happen. Actually, I saw fotos of inside Calafia and the crew was getting pounded by bombs!

SFandH - 10-1-2018 at 03:37 PM

Combers angling in from the south on top of very light chop.

24baja - 10-1-2018 at 03:58 PM

What we are seeing of Rosa at the La Gringa beach are of Bahia de Los Angeles

rosa in Bola.jpg - 170kB coronado in rosa.jpg - 85kB

PaulW - 10-1-2018 at 04:12 PM

San Felipe is being hit hard. El Sol rainfall is over 4" and still coming. Downtown is flooded with lots of stuck cars. El Dorqdo Solar report is 1" yesterday and 2.25" as of 11AM today, still coming down.
Hwy 5 is closed at KM 110 - mid day today.
All the above is 2nd and 3rd hand

David K - 10-1-2018 at 04:21 PM

Plenty of Facebook videos of flooded streets in San Felipe right now.







[Edited on 10-1-2018 by David K]

freediverbrian - 10-1-2018 at 05:42 PM

Unconfirmed report of a bridge washed away at k 122 on hwy 5 . Emial report from the Fernandez family from a federale .

[Edited on 10-2-2018 by freediverbrian]

Paulina - 10-1-2018 at 06:02 PM

Friends just returned to BDLA, two bridges washed out north of Gonzaga. Abutments gone on both sides of bridges, stranded traveler between the bridges. The third bridge was still drivable, allowing them to turn around and come back to the bay.

P<*)))>{

freediverbrian - 10-1-2018 at 06:34 PM

I guess it is confirmed now . Needed two sources .

Gonzaga video

24baja - 10-1-2018 at 06:39 PM

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=1845588195490279...

shari - 10-1-2018 at 07:14 PM

Rosa seems to really like Asuncion....it has been blowing hard out here at the point and light rain most of the day....well over 30-35 knots....hard to stand up in the wind and still a humongous swell!!! My gardens are toast but at least we arent mopping up water. Dark now and the wind is picking up AGAIN!!!
I wish the fat lady would sing!

DSCN8082.jpg - 44kB

David K - 10-1-2018 at 09:37 PM




BajaMama - 10-2-2018 at 05:56 AM

Well that sucks two bridges are out up Mex 5, was gonna take that north for the first time end of October. Do you think there will be a fix by then?

woody with a view - 10-2-2018 at 05:57 AM

Flip a coin.

bajabuddha - 10-2-2018 at 06:07 AM

Quote: Originally posted by BajaMama  
Well that sucks two bridges are out up Mex 5, was gonna take that north for the first time end of October. Do you think there will be a fix by then?


Mexico is well known for immediate response to this kind of problem. May be a dusty detour around the washouts for a while as they repair the damage, but my bet is it'll be passable within the week. Roads aren't just for us touristas but for commerce as well.

thebajarunner - 10-2-2018 at 08:16 AM

Quote: Originally posted by bajabuddha  
Quote: Originally posted by BajaMama  
Well that sucks two bridges are out up Mex 5, was gonna take that north for the first time end of October. Do you think there will be a fix by then?


Mexico is well known for immediate response to this kind of problem. May be a dusty detour around the washouts for a while as they repair the damage, but my bet is it'll be passable within the week. Roads aren't just for us touristas but for commerce as well.


Absolutely correct.
Never been a washout in Baja that the locals did not find an alternate route in just a few days.
Might not be pretty, but always passable.
As soon as the mud turns to dust the way will be found, or created.

PaulW - 10-2-2018 at 08:21 AM

Quote: Originally posted by 24baja  
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=1845588195490279...

== = =
So I guess that is the area near Punta Bufeo?

PaulW - 10-2-2018 at 08:31 AM

Km 122 mentioned is a familiar place where the racers head west. It is south of La Ventana and S of the big road cut and curve.

David K - 10-2-2018 at 08:34 AM

It looks to me to be just a bit further north than Pta. Bufeo. Three bridges were mentioned as being out.

motoged - 10-2-2018 at 09:17 AM

Quote: Originally posted by David K  
Plenty of Facebook videos of flooded streets in San Felipe right now.

Edited on 10-1-2018 by David K]


Some of us don't do FB....it would be nice if such references for pics could be "translated" and the pics posted...:light:

willardguy - 10-2-2018 at 09:21 AM

Quote: Originally posted by motoged  
Quote: Originally posted by David K  
Plenty of Facebook videos of flooded streets in San Felipe right now.

Edited on 10-1-2018 by David K]


Some of us don't do FB....it would be nice if such references for pics could be "translated" and the pics posted...:light:


isn't that what Ken did?:?:

geraldalexander7 - 10-2-2018 at 09:24 AM

I'm hoping to hear any info about San Quintin/El Rosario.
The "other" route north/south.

shari - 10-2-2018 at 09:43 AM

It blew a gale all night again last night and rained some but this morning the sun is bustin out to dry things out so the clean up can begin here in Bahia Asuncion.

My heart ogees out to the folks on Cedros Island and San Felipe who are recovering from flooding.

caj13 - 10-2-2018 at 10:08 AM

Quote: Originally posted by mtgoat666  
Quote: Originally posted by joerover  
What are the odds of the SAn Diego airport being closed early wednesday morning__+?


Probability is about zero.

This storm is minor, maybe an inch or 2 over 3 days in SoCal.

All you geriatrics getting high anxiety over the weather forecast need to get a hobby, a hobby like pot smoking! Crikey! The storm is gonna be a big nothing burger!


Hows that nothingburger taste Goat?

motoged - 10-2-2018 at 11:50 AM

Quote: Originally posted by willardguy  


isn't that what Ken did?:?:


Not sure where the pics earlier came from....I was responding to DK's post. My comment is meant for FB references generally.

[Edited on 10-2-2018 by motoged]
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