BajaNomad

Something brewing to the South

pauldavidmena - 8-5-2023 at 07:06 AM

This weather system popped up overnight just west of Manzanillo. So far there are no models predicting a direct hit on Baja, but it will almost certainly affect the weather by late next week.


SFandH - 8-5-2023 at 08:12 AM

"NOAA's 2023 eastern Pacific Hurricane Season outlook indicates an above-normal season is most likely (55% chance). There is a 35% chance of a near-normal season and only a 10% chance of a below-normal season.See NOAA definitions of above-, near-, and below-normal seasons. The eastern Pacific hurricane region covers the eastern North Pacific Ocean east of 140°W and north of the equator.

The 2023 outlook calls for a 70% probability for each of the following ranges of activity:

14-20 Named Storms
7-11 Hurricanes
4-8 Major Hurricanes"

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Epac_hurr/



Here’s a later forecast for 6E

RFClark - 8-5-2023 at 11:46 AM



TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E.png - 206kB

pauldavidmena - 8-6-2023 at 07:04 AM

What a difference a day makes! It looks like Eugene will pass just west of Cabo today, not a direct impact but still quite close. I just hope it brings some rain.


JDCanuck - 8-6-2023 at 09:18 AM

Just a bit gusty at our place north of Todos Santos today. Weather is warm enough to be pleasant but not too hot, and so far the storm season has been significantly milder than expected. Rain would definitely be appreciated tho.

RFClark - 8-6-2023 at 09:07 PM

We received .01” around 8:00 this morning and winds today up to 30 mph.

pauldavidmena - 8-7-2023 at 06:10 AM

Friends in Pescadero reported raindrops by the dozens!

monoloco - 8-9-2023 at 03:39 PM

Quote: Originally posted by pauldavidmena  
Friends in Pescadero reported raindrops by the dozens!
A dozen would have been a generous estimate here. Todos Santos got a little more because there were actually mud puddles there.