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rts551
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6699
Registered: 9-5-2003
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Whistler - looks like we are going to get a least part of it ... if not the whole thing.
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Mexray
Super Nomad
Posts: 1016
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: California Delta
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Mood: Baja Time
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Maybe, just maybe...
...Baja will get only a 'taste', and not the whole enchilada...
a close look at this 'loop' image, and some others I have viewed tonight shows a very slight 'Left Turn' by Otis, making his track veer just a bit to
the West, or away from Baja.
Only the next few hours will tell for sure, as those devils have a mind of their own...but maybe there's room for hope.
Take a look...
http://www.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/opdb/aviation/loops/re...
According to my clock...anytime is \'BAJA TIME\' & as Jimmy Buffett says,
\"It doesn\'t use numbers or moving hands It always just says now...\"
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Sharksbaja
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5814
Registered: 9-7-2004
Location: Newport, Mulege B.C.S.
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It does seem like it's unheeded path is offshore. Let's hope so.
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
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Pretty quiet night here....
A bit of wind and a bit of rain but nothing serious.
Kinda dark and gusting to about 15 but spots of blue sky in places.
He does seem to have stalled some. Hope he moves on...out to sea would be nice.
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
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Mood: mellow
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JUDY & MEXRAY
Great links , thanks !!!
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
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Just back from the beach.
3/4 sky black as could be. 1/4 partly cloudy and in the east.
Seas confused and not big. Water warm.
Wind cool when out of the S or SW, warm when out of the east. Very strange. One minute you are sweating, the next you have goosebumps.
Certainly looks like its raining on the pacific side probably San Lucas too. None here but it just got dark all around.
I see that a Hurricane Warning has been issued>
0
WTPZ35 KNHC 011457
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OTIS ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT SAT OCT 01 2005
...OTIS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA OF MEXICO...
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA FROM AGUA BLANCA NORTHWARD TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...ON EITHER SIDE
OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA...FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD TO
NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO...AND FROM SOUTH OF AGUA BLANCA
SOUTHWARD TO CABO SAN LUCAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA
COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD TO EAST OF
CABO SAN LUCAS.
AT 8 AM PDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH ALONG THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA COAST NORTHWARD TO MULEGE.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO
NORTHWARD TO MULEGE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE NEAR BOTH COASTS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
OTIS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 8 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OTIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES...
225 KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND
ABOUT 205 MILES... 325 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.
OTIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH... 6 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF OTIS IS
CURRENTLY FORECAST TO REMAIN WEST OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER... ANY MOTION TO THE RIGHT OF THE
FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. OTIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM. HOWEVER... WINDS WILL BE STRONGER AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH OTIS OVER
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TODAY. HEAVY AMOUNTS COULD SPREAD
NORTHWARD TROUGH THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA BY SUNDAY.
REPEATING THE 8 AM PDT POSITION...21.9 N...111.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 PM PDT.
FORECASTER KNABB
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Keri
Super Nomad
Posts: 1393
Registered: 10-31-2002
Location: La Mision, Baja Norte
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Mood: muy contento
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Great reporting Judy .
Thanks for keeping us informed. Keep safe,k
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Tucker
Senior Nomad
Posts: 664
Registered: 10-31-2002
Location: El Centenario, BCS
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So far, just another cloudy day, no wind no rain - - - -yet!
\"I think it would be a good idea.\"
-- Mahatma Gandhi, when asked what he thought of Western civilization
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Marie-Rose
Senior Nomad
Posts: 894
Registered: 10-2-2003
Location: Victoria, B.C. and Todos Santos
Member Is Offline
Mood: Worried...
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Apparently raining on/off inTodos. Aprox. 1 in in the last 24 hours. Light wind.
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MrBillM
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 21656
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Out and About
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Mood: It's a Zip-a-Dee-Doo-Dah Day
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Oh No Otis
Sitting here in perfect weather, it's hard to picture how bad it could become in just a few days. I hadn't planned on a trip North for another couple
of weeks, but we'll probably shut down and pack up this weekend so that we can head out Monday.
Better safe than sorry, so they say.
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bajalou
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4459
Registered: 3-11-2004
Location: South of the broder
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I understand all that MrBillM. A great day today as they all have been recently. Have to go to SD on Mon. and will be watching to see whats going on
here before returning. Hopefully, a little rain light winds and then back to the perfect days.
No Bad Days
\"Never argue with an idiot. People watching may not be able to tell the difference\"
\"The trouble with doing nothing is - how do I know when I\'m done?\"
Nomad Baja Interactive map
And in the San Felipe area - check out Valle Chico area |
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
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Mood: mellow
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Otis
Where are you? Sitting here in La Paz, its a beautiful day. Just hopeing for a little more rain. I'm a little concerned that sitting out there too
long you will change your mind and come this way, come what may.
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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Pescador
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3587
Registered: 10-17-2002
Location: Baja California Sur
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Well, in San Lucas Cove we are watching really black skies and the water at KSan Marcos island was really rough coming in from the south. Still
watching to see whether or not I pull the boat. The police from town came by and suggested that would be a good idea.
Still watching.
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bajaden
Nomad
Posts: 496
Registered: 4-7-2005
Location: Ensenada
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Mood: vicarious
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Great reporting Judy. Are you still heading north? Your still on for a cervesa or two if Im not up to my eye balls in water.
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
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Bajaden
We were supposed to have left yesterday but..........
My mother in law comes soon so we may have to wait until after she leaves. I am antsy to get back on the road and do some serious camping but not
with Otis.
And dont worry! I wont forget the beer.....never
Still dark and some wind here.
Blue skies peeking through to the east.
I heard that it was pouring in San Lucas a few hours back but nary a drop here. I, like comitan, would like a little bit more rain.
Every time I look at the sat maps, I cant believe that its not raining here.
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
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Mood: mellow
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Judy
Here's the water vapor, better to know for rain.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EPAC/WV/20.jpg
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
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Yea it still looks like it should be raining!
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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Judy
You have to have the blue for good rain. It doesn't look promising.
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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rts551
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6699
Registered: 9-5-2003
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without posting the whole thing. As of 2 PM Otis seems to be weakening (85-95 MPH) and is moving very slowly. Current forecasts keep it in the
Pacific until Monday moving across between Bahia San Ignacio and San Juanico. But the forecasts are very eratic
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Sharksbaja
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5814
Registered: 9-7-2004
Location: Newport, Mulege B.C.S.
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all or nothing
Looks like it's either heavy rain or zero rain and nothing in between. Strange, but we're used to the whole range and received 3.5 inches
yesterday....... Was the driest Sept. up until then.
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