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Author: Subject: HURRICANE WARNING FOR BAJA - ODILE - AFTERMATH
bajabuddha
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exclamation.gif posted on 9-8-2014 at 06:41 AM
HURRICANE WARNING FOR BAJA - ODILE - AFTERMATH


http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/eastern-pacific/2014/I...
Another tropical low pressure is forming, and computer tracks are pointing north-westward again. Forewarned is forearmed. It'll take 3-4 days for definitive dangers and results; Buena suerte, Baja.

[Edited on 9-8-2014 by bajabuddha]


[Edited on 9-9-2014 by BajaNomad]

[Edited on 9-10-2014 by bajabuddha]

[Edited on 9-10-2014 by bajabuddha]

[Edited on 9-13-2014 by bajabuddha]

[Edited on 9-14-2014 by BajaNomad]

[Edited on 9-14-2014 by bajabuddha]

[Edited on 9-14-2014 by bajabuddha]

[Edited on 9-14-2014 by bajabuddha]

[Edited on 9-15-2014 by bajabuddha]

[Edited on 9-16-2014 by bajabuddha]




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[*] posted on 9-8-2014 at 07:02 AM


http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height

VERY different from 24 hours ago. yesterday it showed a MASSIVE storm following the paths of Marie and Norberto. watch til the end.

[Edited on 9-8-2014 by woody with a view]




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[*] posted on 9-8-2014 at 07:17 AM


why am I not surprised...tick tick tick



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[*] posted on 9-8-2014 at 07:17 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by woody with a view
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height

VERY different from 24 hours ago. yesterday it showed a MASSIVE storm following the paths of Marie and Norberto. watch til the end.

[Edited on 9-8-2014 by woody with a view]


Woody, yours seems to indicate something hitting the tip and East Cape in about 7 days.:?:
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[*] posted on 9-8-2014 at 08:04 AM
LAUNDRY ALERT! LAUNDRY ALERT!


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[*] posted on 9-8-2014 at 10:31 AM


.
.....my hunch,,,and it's only a hunch,,,is that a sacrifice of seven sister goats at seven equidistant points on the seventh day of the ninth month might have a beneficent effect ............ohhh,waidaminute :wow::smug::o:(


...I'd suggest we not 'lend attention' to those -little disturbances- until they organize more....let them figure things out for themselves!:rolleyes:

[Edited on 9-8-2014 by micah202]
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[*] posted on 9-8-2014 at 11:37 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by BajaParrothead
Quote:
Originally posted by woody with a view
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height

VERY different from 24 hours ago. yesterday it showed a MASSIVE storm following the paths of Marie and Norberto. watch til the end.

[Edited on 9-8-2014 by woody with a view]


Woody, yours seems to indicate something hitting the tip and East Cape in about 7 days.:?:


like I said, VERY different from yesterday. the models are only really accurate inside 3.5 days or so.




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[*] posted on 9-8-2014 at 03:22 PM


now it's back to its original model forecasted run. BIG one coming but wait until about 3.5 days out for better accuracy.



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[*] posted on 9-9-2014 at 05:37 AM
anybody looking at the "new storm" a comin ?


this Wednesdays forecast

http://sailflow.com/en-us/Search/ViewResults.aspx#16.801,-10...



Tuesday forecast Sept 16 !!!!
as yet....a unspoken of,unnamed... ?

http://sailflow.com/en-us/Search/ViewResults.aspx#24.922,-10...




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[*] posted on 9-9-2014 at 06:51 AM


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 091138
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE SEP 9 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of
Acapulco, Mexico has changed little in organization overnight.
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
development, and the low is likely to become a tropical depression
in the next couple of days while it moves slowly northwestward just
off the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi




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[*] posted on 9-9-2014 at 07:06 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by cj5orion

Tuesday forecast Sept 16 !!!!
as yet....a unspoken of,unnamed... ?



If she is a contender, her name will be "Odie".

[Edited on 9-9-2014 by danaeb]




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[*] posted on 9-9-2014 at 07:16 AM


Every storm track this year has gotten closer and closer to Baja. This one may just go "downtown". I hope not. Cross your fingers boys and girls. :?::?:



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[*] posted on 9-9-2014 at 07:51 AM


Odile will be the name.
It is too early to tell what she will do.
Got my fingers crossed anyway!




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[*] posted on 9-9-2014 at 08:14 AM


Jeepers...at this rate we might even get a Hurricane Zeke this season!!!

2014
Amanda
Boris
Cristina
Douglas
Elida
Fausto
Genevieve
Hernan
Iselle
Julio
Karina
Lowell
Marie
Norbert
Odile
Polo
Rachel
Simon
Trudy
Vance
Winnie
Xavier
Yolanda
Zeke




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[*] posted on 9-9-2014 at 09:42 AM


.
.....hmmm,,early animations from http://passageweather.com/#
don't look very good. :no::(

This model was showing some very accurate details for Norbert up to 5 days in advance



.........too bad about the goats :no::no::no:

.

[Edited on 9-9-2014 by micah202]
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[*] posted on 9-9-2014 at 12:33 PM
Hurricane Odile gestation


It looks like Hurricane Norbert could be a dry run for his bigger sister Hurricane Odile.

This wind forecast model seems to have a good track record. Keep the boards and plywood handy for this weekend.

http://magicseaweed.com/MSW-Surf-Charts/19/?chartType=WMAG
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[*] posted on 9-9-2014 at 03:22 PM


Odile will be really interesting and hard to now if she will go into the gulf or up the middle or west coast but bound to be a pain in the burro if not downright dangerous. This week we will be installing anchors to tie the roof down and organizing thicker plywood for the windows...just in case. Yes Norbert got our attention of what could be.....
In the meantime I am on my way to Ensenada between hurricanes to visit Sirenita & Izaak...anybody want to get together there?




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[*] posted on 9-9-2014 at 03:32 PM


Please let me know what shape highway 1 is in.
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[*] posted on 9-9-2014 at 04:20 PM


roger wilco....I am hoping for dry arroyos and clear sailing all the way



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[*] posted on 9-9-2014 at 04:31 PM


Black's has been sweet for the last week.

Keep em' comin.
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