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wiltonh
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Hurricane Vance - I thought hurricane season was over
Looks like we have another possible hurricane starting down South. They are giving it an 80% chance in 5 days and we were just getting ready to head
South.
The guy on this link says the season goes until the end of November.
http://www.bajainsider.com/weather/hurricanes/2014cyclonesea...
887
ABPZ20 KNHC 261732
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN OCT 26 2014
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
A broad area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles south of
the Gulf of Tehuantepec continues to produce disorganized shower
and thunderstorm activity. Dry air is currently inhibiting
development, but environmental conditions are forecast to become
more conducive for tropical cyclone formation later this week while
the system drifts toward the west-northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg
[Edited on 10-26-2014 by wiltonh]
[Edited on 10-27-2014 by wiltonh]
[Edited on 10-30-2014 by wiltonh]
[Edited on 10-31-2014 by BajaNomad]
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AKgringo
Elite Nomad
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Location: Anchorage, AK (no mas!)
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Huh!........I just got to La Paz. Congratulated myself for missing all that storm crap!
Time will tell.
If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!
"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
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BooJumMan
Senior Nomad
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Regardless, water temps are slowly dropping. Chances that it becomes a powerful system look to be pretty low.
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chuckie
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80% is not low....
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rts551
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| Quote: | Originally posted by BooJumMan
Regardless, water temps are slowly dropping. Chances that it becomes a powerful system look to be pretty low. |
I don't know, Ana seems to be thriving in the cold water up North.
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bajagrouper
Senior Nomad
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Location: Rincon de Guayabitos, Nayarit, Mexico
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Hurricane season for the Eastern Pacific is May 15th through November 30th...
I hear the whales song
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David K
Honored Nomad
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Location: San Diego County
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An early Baja 1000 (Nov) was hit by a hurricane in the south... Dick Cepek was wipped by it he wrote.
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StuckSucks
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In a week and a half, I'll be down there. I've always wanted to see a hurricane close-up and personal.
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chuckie
Elite Nomad
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Location: Kansas Prairies
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I'll send you my ex wifes address.....
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BajaParrothead
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Location: Portola, CA / Los Barriles
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| Quote: | Originally posted by chuckie
I'll send you my ex wifes address..... |
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Hook
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Location: Sonora
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| Quote: | Originally posted by chuckie
80% is not low.... |
80% chance of it forming, several hundred miles south. Almost zero chance that it will affect Baja.
Like someone said, water temps are dropping rapidly around here. The WNW winds have been blowing for a couple weeks, now. Temps are about to drop
below 80 F in many places. Even cooler on the Pacific side of Baja.
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BajaBlanca
Select Nomad
Posts: 13165
Registered: 10-28-2008
Location: La Bocana, BCS
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No hurricane please. The weather is cold and yours truly is the happiest she has been in MONTHS.
ask Feathers. She saw me having meltdowns
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mikeymarlin
Junior Nomad
Posts: 94
Registered: 3-17-2014
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to chuckie----very good response----I loved it !!
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wiltonh
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Here is the first track I have seen on Invest 93e.
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/eastern-pacific/2014/I...
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bajabuddha
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Location: Baja New Mexico
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Talk about your irony, Tropical Storm (former Hurricane) Anna is going to impact BCN... British Columbia Norte... tomorrow, combining with another
system from the northwest, forecast to bring at least 2-3" or more of rain and 50 mph. winds into the northwest for the next few days; heavy
tree-damage from high winds and wet due to foliage still on the deciduous trees. Anna started out south of Baja a few weeks ago or so, traveled
westward and looped around the Hawaiian Islands, to meander to now the Pacific Northwest. Wot a World!
Far's 93E goes, I think it'll have about as much chance as the Bears did against the Patriots this weekend; total washout. Baja travelers, just be
aware of the Big Race next week, so starting the end of this week through middle of next, not a good time to be on the highway with all the chase
vehicles and such... be extra diligent. Buen Viaje!
I don't have a BUCKET LIST, but I do have a F***- IT LIST a mile long!
86 - 45*
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Jack Swords
Super Nomad
Posts: 1094
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Location: Nipomo, CA/La Paz, BCS
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The Baja HaHa cruisers group (170 boats) left San Diego today. Turtle Bay first stop, Bahia Santa Maria second, then Cabo San Lucas. They have never
encountered a hurricane on the Baja HaHa. Might be some apprehension.
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BooJumMan
Senior Nomad
Posts: 875
Registered: 8-11-2007
Location: San Diego
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| Quote: | Originally posted by chuckie
80% is not low.... |
Yes yes... But I was referring to a Cat 1+ to make landfall in Baja.
However 180 hr model does look like it will become a small compact TS - Cat 1 but... Yep I know, it could turn into a Cat 4 and nail Baja... "A random
walk"...
[Edited on 10-27-2014 by BooJumMan]
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Enrique2012
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The BIG race is not next week, but two weeks away - Nov. 12-16. November 13th will be the first day of racing.
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bajabuddha
Banned
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Location: Baja New Mexico
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Enrique2012
The BIG race is not next week, but two weeks away - Nov. 12-16. November 13th will be the first day of racing. |
OOPS!!! My bad, thanks for the correction!
I don't have a BUCKET LIST, but I do have a F***- IT LIST a mile long!
86 - 45*
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wiltonh
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The tracks looks a lot closer to Baja than they did yesterday.
http://www.eebmike.com/
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