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Whale-ista
Super Nomad
Posts: 2009
Registered: 2-18-2013
Location: San Diego
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Mood: Sunny with chance of whales
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Patricia update/links: Here's why the mainland dodged a very large bullet
UPDATES:
Why Hurricane Patricia Didn't Cause Epic Damage (full text in separate post)
http://time.com/4086096/hurricane-patricia-damage-explainer-...
Webcam live link to PV: (these are now back online)
Note the plume of sediment from freshwater runoff into the bay, here: http://www.webcamsdemexico.com/webcam-puerto-vallarta
This hotel looks intact. Hopefully, much less damage than anticipated, as the hurricane trajectory missed the most populated resort areas.
http://www.webcamsdemexico.com/webcam-puerto-vallarta-sur
Thanks to Nomads who are participating, staying on topic, providing helpful perspectives and information, and not diverting into political commentary.
This could be a reminder for those planning winter/spring Baja trips: the potential for heavy rains, damaged roads and related storm delays could make
travel logistics more challenging.
News from Friday: The storm is so intense that the air temperature up in the hurricane’s eye, thousands of feet above the surface, was 89°F. 89°F!
The storm is so intense that the Hurricane Hunter aircraft recorded sustained winds of 221 MPH at flight level a few thousand feet above the surface
of the ocean. Patricia is a storm without precedent. We are living history today, but nobody will live it more than Mexico. While we try to wrap our
minds around what the atmosphere did last night, it’s important to remember that there are people in the path of this storm. This is not some abstract
homework assignment assigned by some madman meteorology professor. This is a real storm that is quickly approaching land and soon threatens to create
unimaginable amounts of devastation in any communities caught directly in the path of Patricia’s eye.
thevane.gawker.com/at-200-mph-hurricane-patricia-is-now-the-strongest-tro-1738224692
Patricia is stirring up 50 FOOT+ waves in the Eastern Pacific. Textbooks will be rewritten with this storm. http://twitter.com/RobertSuhr/status/657487876381396993/phot...
Hurricane #Patricia is a record breaker. Time for a new category?
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/cyclones/?epac
The rate at which Hurricane Patricia strengthened is jaw-dropping even to seasoned weather geeks. The storm exploded from a tropical storm on Tuesday
night to the full-scale fury of evaporated paradise in just 24 hours, which, according to the National Hurricane Center, ties 1997’s Hurricane Linda
as the most explosive strengthening ever recorded during the satellite era.
http://thevane.gawker.com/mexicos-west-coast-in-grave-danger...
from Mexican national weather website:
SITUACIÓN ACTUAL: El huracán "PATRICIA" se ha intensificado a la máxima categoria 5 en la escala Saffir-Simpson, presenta desplazamiento hacia el
nor-noroeste, siendo un huracán extremadamente peligroso que favorecerá lluvias intensas a puntuales torrenciales en los estados del sur y occidente
del país.
http://smn.cna.gob.mx/index.php?option=com_content&view=...
Patricia nearing Hurricane status. Heading toward Manzanillo, Mexico as potentially cat 3 storm! https://t.co/LK59COMAjL
[multiple edits]
[Edited on 10-24-2015 by Whale-ista]
\"Probably the airplanes will bring week-enders from Los Angeles before long, and the beautiful poor bedraggled old town will bloom with a
Floridian ugliness.\" (John Steinbeck, 1940, discussing the future of La Paz, BCS, Mexico)
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bajabuddha
Banned
Posts: 4024
Registered: 4-12-2013
Location: Baja New Mexico
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Here's a great article about our current El Niño, a good read IMO> hits on fish migration disruptions and unusual storm conditions... pretty
in-depth in global terms. Patty is making a right-turn, good thing for Baja, bad for the Mainland as all the snowbirds are starting to arrive SOB.
http://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/a-huge-el-nino-i...
[Edited on 10-22-2015 by bajabuddha]
I don't have a BUCKET LIST, but I do have a F***- IT LIST a mile long!
86 - 45*
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chippy
Super Nomad
Posts: 1701
Registered: 2-2-2010
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Looks like we`ll be taking a direct hit . Lyrics to a Clash song are coming to
mind.
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chuckie
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6082
Registered: 2-20-2012
Location: Kansas Prairies
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Mood: Weary
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Just read that same article...Good read....
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cj5orion
Nomad
Posts: 336
Registered: 2-6-2010
Location: Pacific Beach/Gonzaga Bay
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Mood: time for a cervaza !!!
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gonna fizzle out bt saturday
no worries
Home Remodels/Builds..Recession!
Gone BAJA BUILDIN/FISHIN !
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chippy
Super Nomad
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Its not sat. that I`m worried about. Friday when it makes landfall as a possible cat 3 is a different story  .
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bajabuddha
Banned
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Chippy, if you're on the mainland i'd tell my coconut palms to hang on to their nuts...... 
I don't have a BUCKET LIST, but I do have a F***- IT LIST a mile long!
86 - 45*
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BajaBlanca
Select Nomad
Posts: 13166
Registered: 10-28-2008
Location: La Bocana, BCS
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what a very interesting article. I was hoping they would focus more on the fish that are migrating differently but suffice it to say, we feel the
changes already with wahoo plentiful in La Bocana. That is rare and only happens in El Nino years.
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15938
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
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Mood: Everchangin'
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Charlie Don't Surf
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chippy
Super Nomad
Posts: 1701
Registered: 2-2-2010
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Looks like it got bumped up to a cat4
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/eastern-pacific/2015/H...
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chippy
Super Nomad
Posts: 1701
Registered: 2-2-2010
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Tomorrow me neither. http://forecasts.surfingmagazine.com/#place=19.7253422480578...
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Whale-ista
Super Nomad
Posts: 2009
Registered: 2-18-2013
Location: San Diego
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Mood: Sunny with chance of whales
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Thanks Buddah- interesting report.
\"Probably the airplanes will bring week-enders from Los Angeles before long, and the beautiful poor bedraggled old town will bloom with a
Floridian ugliness.\" (John Steinbeck, 1940, discussing the future of La Paz, BCS, Mexico)
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StuckSucks
Super Nomad
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Registered: 10-17-2013
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StuckSucks
Super Nomad
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BajaUtah
Nomad
Posts: 190
Registered: 10-4-2013
Location: Salt Lake City/La Ribera
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Yikes Puerto Vallarta is going to take it on the noggin
Andy
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chippy
Super Nomad
Posts: 1701
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When Kenna went by PV in 2002 it was a cat 4 also. Because PV was to the right of Kennas landfall (San Blas) it took a beating because of its big azz
bay (bahia banderas) and fetch.
Patricia is looking like it will hit land east of Cabo Corrientes wich will put us here on the Costa Allegre to the right of it . and PV in the clear so to speak.
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BooJumMan
Senior Nomad
Posts: 882
Registered: 8-11-2007
Location: San Diego
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El Nino has taken root, and is already feeding itself with westerly wind anomalies in the Western Equatorial Pacific. These strong westerly winds are
called westerly wind bursts and they create downwelling waves of warm water across to the Eastern Pacific.
In strong El Nino years, we see a few of these events through the spring and summer that will charge up the Eastern Pacific waters with warmer temps.
Each El Nino is different obviously.
This year actually started early, and started with some long westerly wind bursts which slowly made their way across in the form of Kelvin waves. A
strong event happened in June/July and now 3 months later we are seeing the sea surface temps in the 3.4 region slowly make their way up. (Right now
about +2.5C anomalies). For the first 2 weeks in October, we saw another strong event, which will charge up the waters again in another 2-3 months.
And, right now there is forecast for ANOTHER event to happen. This will most likely keep our El Nino very strong though our winter and really impact
the jetstream through spring.
Should be interesting!
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bajabuddha
Banned
Posts: 4024
Registered: 4-12-2013
Location: Baja New Mexico
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Mood: Always cranky unless medicated
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Here she comes!
http://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/noaa-extremely-d...
I don't have a BUCKET LIST, but I do have a F***- IT LIST a mile long!
86 - 45*
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15938
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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the sun will come up.... TOMORROW!
from some song......
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tiotomasbcs
Super Nomad
Posts: 1837
Registered: 7-30-2007
Location: El Pescadero
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Hang tough, Chippy. Hope you stay out of harms way! Odile has left us damage from last summer but thankfully we're lloking good. Batten the
Hatches, maytie. Tio
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