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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8802
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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they predict rain for mulege Saturday and sunday....
no one shows a path for a storm
that section looks very unorganized
spinners usually form quickly
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chuckie
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6082
Registered: 2-20-2012
Location: Kansas Prairies
Member Is Offline
Mood: Weary
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NHC and EEBM now showing TWO storms, back to back, closest one to SOC and Mulege is 100% predicting flooding torrential rains..Next one 80% about a
day behind...
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8802
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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chuckie could be correct
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chuckie
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6082
Registered: 2-20-2012
Location: Kansas Prairies
Member Is Offline
Mood: Weary
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Chuckie IS correct...
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15937
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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Looky at Windy site for saturday. Get your ducks in a row.
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tiotomasbcs
Super Nomad
Posts: 1837
Registered: 7-30-2007
Location: El Pescadero
Member Is Offline
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Sittin on high ground out here at the beach in Pescadero. Arroyo Grande may flood as in 2002 Julietta closed the hwy. For us, Two miles back to Hwy
19 passes a few flows or rioletas and mud bogs. Biggest problem is up on hwy if/need to go anywhere?! We're ready for two days/ week or more. Odile
has schooled most in our area! If we lose power I hope it's not for long. Most have genies! The locals are the ones that suffer but have been thru
many storms before. Thinkin positive. Tio
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bajabuddha
Banned
Posts: 4024
Registered: 4-12-2013
Location: Baja New Mexico
Member Is Offline
Mood: Always cranky unless medicated
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Wanna relocate to Houston? At least there ain't no Baja Gators... do chupacabras swim? 
I don't have a BUCKET LIST, but I do have a F***- IT LIST a mile long!
86 - 45*
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Alm
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 2716
Registered: 5-10-2011
Member Is Offline
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Eebmike has been reliable so far. They all use the same source. For Saturday I would not look at Windy, or any other site - until at least Wed-Thu.
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Alm
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 2716
Registered: 5-10-2011
Member Is Offline
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Quote: Originally posted by tiotomasbcs  | | We're ready for two days/ week or more. Odile has schooled most in our area! If we lose power I hope it's not for long. Most have genies!
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"All" must have solar, in addition to genie. Works under heavy clouds too, just not as good. Enough to run a small fridge and lights.
I'm curious - what "ready" means and how it would help, other than packing couple of boxes of supplies to run away, leaving everything behind. That
is, - if road conditions will let you go. After the Odille many people were stranded, and being stranded on the road can be worse than at home.
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8802
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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don't drive in the rain...the vados flood FAST
all the big semis sit at the gas station
smart
just hunker down
the wind is the bad thing out here on the bay.
those shells HURT!!!
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Bajaboy
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4375
Registered: 10-9-2003
Location: Bahia Asuncion, BCS, Mexico
Member Is Offline
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This site looks cool but not sure if it's a proven commodity. I'm relying on my tried and true along with seasoned veterans on the ground.
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willardguy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6451
Registered: 9-19-2009
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: Originally posted by Bajaboy |
This site looks cool but not sure if it's a proven commodity. I'm relying on my tried and true along with seasoned veterans on the ground.
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the weather stone?
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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Well weather underground and Windy agree on the amount of rain we may expect here in Loreto/Mulege region.
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Alm
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 2716
Registered: 5-10-2011
Member Is Offline
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Windy predicts no rain until Thursday morning. Then - moderate 3mm rain until Friday. Then it gets a lot worse on Saturday, but this is 4 days out, so
the accuracy is,.... accordingly.
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15937
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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Define accurrate? Somethings coming soon. Beware!
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BajaMama
Super Nomad
Posts: 1106
Registered: 10-4-2015
Location: Pleasanton/Punta Chivato
Member Is Offline
Mood: Got Baja fever!!
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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac
Looks like 100% chance of formation and due south of Cabo. Pray for western movement!
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13033
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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Hmmm...this storm is a real trickster capable of anything...this is from this mornings forecast....
"It should be noted that since there is
considerable spread in the model guidance, this official track
forecast has greater-than-usual uncertainty."
What we do know is there will be alot of rain and flooding everywhere in Baja Sur....although it is possible we still get none...because what happens
is although the models say it will go west....it gets sucked over to the gulf by the warmer water leaving our little heel of land out of the
rain....still not ready to bet we get none but it wouldnt surprise me.....we are preparing anyway.
I am going to start a new storm thread so we can begin to get onsite reports. I heard there was rain yesterday down south so the ground will already
be wet which is bad as the ground wont absorb water and it will runoff wildly....remember NEVER CROSS A ROAD WITH WATER RUNNING OVER IT!
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Alm
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 2716
Registered: 5-10-2011
Member Is Offline
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THIS is a storm thread already, Shari 
Accuracy... Some are concerned more about wind, I'm worried more about flood. Numbers are important. 3mm/day of rain is nothing, 30 mm may cause flood
(and will, if it lasts for more than a day). So far it looks like it will turn to the West on Saturday at BOLA-Asuncion line. Asuncion will get more
wind, BOLA - heavy rain up to 20mm, and then it will end.
Can still change.
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mtnpop
Senior Nomad
Posts: 597
Registered: 9-8-2009
Location: Colorado/mulege
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: Originally posted by wetto | I have been thinning out and placing things in higher ground storage for the past month or two. on the final push today to store last of the
furniture. Waiting for more info before the stove, water heater and refrigerator get moved.
When / if it starts to form into a cyclone I'll do a final pack..
Riverside living in Mulege means always to expect the unexpected. Keeps us on our toes and something to do in the summer doldrums!
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wetto: please check your u2u thanks
Common sense is a flower that doesn\'t grow in everyone\'s garden.....
A wise man once spoke nothing.....
Never kick a cow chip on a hot day!!
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Udo
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6321
Registered: 4-26-2008
Location: Black Hills, SD/Ensenada/San Felipe
Member Is Offline
Mood: TEQUILA!
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Mil gracias for your input, Shary (:bounce
Your expertise is really appreciated. Please let me know if I should board up the front windows.
Udo
Youth is wasted on the young!
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