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Author: Subject: Info on Bud
Russ
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[*] posted on 6-10-2018 at 05:45 AM
Info on Bud


http://eebmike.com/
Bud has the potential to effect BCS



[Edited on 6-10-2018 by Russ]




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BajaBlanca
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[*] posted on 6-10-2018 at 06:40 AM


Headed right for Baja!




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tiotomasbcs
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[*] posted on 6-10-2018 at 07:08 AM


We need a good shower! And not as strong as Aletta. I'm ready for a starter storm. Lets see...beer, gasoline, genie, batteries.
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shari
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[*] posted on 6-10-2018 at 07:29 AM


surfers are stoked up here...the swell is already about 10' today and going up tomorrow:o
Pretty awesome storm surge watching here at the blowohole...our windows are a mess!




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[*] posted on 6-10-2018 at 11:27 AM


Bring rain to Tucson please!
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[*] posted on 6-10-2018 at 12:01 PM


Quote: Originally posted by basautter  
Bring rain to Tucson please!


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[*] posted on 6-10-2018 at 12:43 PM


Quote: Originally posted by shari  
surfers are stoked up here...the swell is already about 10' today and going up tomorrow:o
Pretty awesome storm surge watching here at the blowohole...our windows are a mess!


Surf club from Asuncion in Punta Abreojos this weekend surfing.
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shari
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[*] posted on 6-10-2018 at 05:19 PM


I wondered where they were! glad they are gettin some!



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Russ
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[*] posted on 6-11-2018 at 05:12 AM


IF forecasts are correct Bud should peter out and we may see some needed rain as it crosses the SOC to the mainland after passing near La Paz Saturday morning.
https://www.windy.com/?24.347,-110.577,7,m:eqiac2x
windy .com is a good site to look at the predicted wind and rain. Just scroll along the bottom bar.




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ncampion
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[*] posted on 6-11-2018 at 08:31 AM


This Bud's for you!



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[*] posted on 6-11-2018 at 09:29 AM




Hurricane Bud has become the second major hurricane in just over three days in the eastern Pacific Ocean, and will bring at least more peripheral impacts to parts of Mexico's Pacific coast than its predecessor last week, Aletta.

Bud's center is currently just under 500 miles south-southeast of Los Cabos, Mexico, moving northwest.

Infrared satellite imagery shows some outer rainbands wrapping toward the southwest coast of Mexico, generally from Zihuatanejo westward.

These outer rainbands will continue to push ashore at times through midweek.

Bud is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated totals up to 10 inches, through Tuesday afternoon over portions of southwestern Mexico. This heavy rain could cause life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides in high-terrain areas.

The Government of Mexico has issued a tropical storm watch for the southwestern coast of Mexico, from Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes, due to the possibility of tropical-storm-force winds (39 to 73 mph) in this area within the next 24 to 36 hours.

Bud's eyewall containing its strongest winds will remain far offshore. However, we can't rule out a brush of tropical storm-force winds, mainly in gusts, as those aforementioned rainbands brush the states of Jalisco and Colima.

Late in the week, the center of Bud could approach Mexico's southern Baja California Peninsula, but it will be weakening as it nears Los Cabos due to cooler water and increased wind shear.

At this time, the most likely outcome is the passing of Bud as a low-end tropical storm or tropical depression near Los Cabos Friday. Interests in Los Cabos should continue to monitor the progress of Bud this week.

High surf and rip currents will be a threat much of this week along the southwest coast of Mexico and the southern Baja Peninsula. If in doubt, stay out of the water at area beaches this week and heed all warnings from local lifeguards.

Eventually, Bud could help trigger a surge of moisture in the Desert Southwest, where an increase in showers and storms may occur late in the week or next weekend.

To the west-northwest of Bud, infrared satellite imagery now shows that Aletta continues to lose organization and is rapidly weakening.

In just 24 hours last week, Aletta went from a tropical storm to a Category 4 hurricane late last week, doubling its maximum sustained winds (70 mph to 140 mph) by the 9 a.m. MDT Friday National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisory.

The 2015 season began with Category 4 Hurricane Andres followed by Category 4 Hurricane Blanca, the record-earliest-in-season second Eastern Pacific hurricane and major hurricane, which later became the record-earliest Baja California landfall, as a tropical storm.

However, only one of these "A" hurricanes has reached Category 5 intensity, Hurricane Ava in June 1973, according to NOAA.




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[*] posted on 6-12-2018 at 08:41 AM


Aletta produced a dramatic swell here in central Baja in Bahia Asuncion...we have had 3 days of spectacular waves in our front yard here at La Bufadora Inn!
Yesterday a couple crab fishermen made it out through the swell during a "sajio" calm between the sets. The poor abalone fishermen are bummed as this important local fishery just opened last week and they only got 4 days of fishing in till the swell shut them down...looks like they will be on vacation another few days too till it calms down a bit.

Bud will bring some much needed rain to the peninsula!







[Edited on 6-12-2018 by shari]

[Edited on 6-12-2018 by BajaNomad]




for info & pics of our little paradise & whale watching info
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[*] posted on 6-12-2018 at 10:17 AM




Hurricane Bud is beginning to weaken and is expected to arrive in Mexico's Baja Peninsula as a tropical storm late this week, after becoming the second Category 4 hurricane in just over three days in the Eastern Pacific Ocean early Tuesday.

Bud's center is currently just over 300 miles south-southeast of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, moving northwestward.

Bud's eyewall, containing its strongest winds, will remain far off the southwest Mexican coast.

However, outer rainbands will continue to wrap ashore over southwest Mexico over the next few days.

Bud is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations over southwest Mexico of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated totals up to 10 inches. This heavy rain could cause life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides, especially in high-terrain areas.

As mentioned earlier, Bud has begun its weakening phase, as it begins to track over cooler ocean water.

According to the latest National Hurricane Center forecast, Bud's center will begin to approach Los Cabos, at the southern tip of Mexico's Baja Peninsula, Thursday into early Friday.

At that time, Bud is expected to have weakened to a tropical storm, with periods of rain and gusty winds. Interests in Los Cabos should continue to monitor the progress of Bud this week.

High surf and rip currents will be a threat much of this week along the southwestern coast of Mexico and the southern Baja Peninsula. If in doubt, stay out of the water at area beaches this week, and heed all warnings from local lifeguards.

Bud will then degenerate quickly as it moves up the Baja Peninsula or Gulf of California.

However, Bud's remnant moisture will likely surge into the Desert Southwest, triggering thunderstorms into the weekend, there.





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[*] posted on 6-12-2018 at 11:21 AM


You might want to look at the latest GFS model predicting the system will wrap around the East Cape area, eventually disappearing as it moves up along the east side of the gulf...

GFS Model Forecast 12June2018




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[*] posted on 6-12-2018 at 02:03 PM


no wind....no rain....and looks like no swell either for us up her on the central Pacside...hope the Sierra gets some precipitation! Might mess things up a bit down around the loop all right and certainly ruin more than a few fishing trips.



for info & pics of our little paradise & whale watching info
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https://www.whalemagictours.com/
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tiotomasbcs
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[*] posted on 6-12-2018 at 04:25 PM


Beautiful pictures/video. Shari! I'm waiting to do the laundry, ja,ja. Hoping for a small tropical storm with a few inches of rain. Some of the biggest surf I have seen here on our beaches coinciding with max tides, no!! Enjoy.
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[*] posted on 6-13-2018 at 05:17 AM


We're getting some big storm surf for here with out the wind to cause it. I have a feeling that when the storm, Bud, does arrive and if it's high tide it could reach my boathouse doors. The surge is going over what is the normal high tide line.






[Edited on 6-13-2018 by Russ]




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[*] posted on 6-13-2018 at 09:17 AM


Thanks Russ. Sittin on the Dock of the Bay down here on Pacific in Peskys. Cloudy and warm but no rain, yet! A little rain bath with Tropical breeze, por favor!! :bounce: Tio
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[*] posted on 6-13-2018 at 02:00 PM
Various forecast storm tracks in Google Earth







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[*] posted on 6-13-2018 at 02:46 PM
Welcome to the forum!


That is a pretty impressive first post!


Quote: Originally posted by V6G3B7  










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