blackwolfmt
Senior Nomad
Posts: 802
Registered: 1-18-2014
Location: On The Beach With A Blackwolf
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Mood: dreamin of Riden out a hurricane in Baja
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Maybe some Rain in the future for BCS
So understand dont waste your time always searching for those wasted years
face up and make your stand and realize that your living in the golden years
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15937
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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It’s been on the 150 hour chart for a week now. Something is expected but it hasn’t spun up for a week. Look out below!
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15937
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
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Mood: Everchangin'
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And now its gone.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13033
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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this has been the oddest September I have seen in 30 years here...with afternoon winds of over 20 knots every day and coolish air temps as a result of
cool water temps which have barely rose above 70! and of course absolutely no hurricane activity..weird but I'll take it!
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Russ
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6741
Registered: 7-4-2004
Location: Punta Chivato
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Not quit gone yet I beleive this may be one to keep an eye on but it is very early yet.
A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles
south of the southern coast of Mexico is associated with a trough
of low pressure. This system is gradually becoming better
organized, and environmental conditions appear conducive for
further development. A tropical depression is likely to form by
Tuesday while the system moves generally west-northwestward at about
10 mph. Interests in Baja California Sur should monitor the
progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
[Edited on 9-15-2018 by Russ]
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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BajaBill74
Nomad
Posts: 253
Registered: 1-27-2014
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Mood: Beyond Extatic!
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According to Windy Wind Thursday 20 Sept. it will look like this.
What I'm doing at work is so secret, even I don't know what I'm doing!
One should believe in God, because even Google doesn't know everything.
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weebray
Super Nomad
Posts: 1094
Registered: 7-19-2010
Location: La Paz
Member Is Offline
Mood: lleno
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Quote: Originally posted by shari  | | this has been the oddest September I have seen in 30 years here...with afternoon winds of over 20 knots every day and coolish air temps as a result of
cool water temps which have barely rose above 70! and of course absolutely no hurricane activity..weird but I'll take it! |
You are so right about the hurricane activity but I'll never tire of arroyos full of liquid sunshine sin the destructive winds.
Every beautiful beach in the world needs a few condo towers - NOT.
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Warf
Junior Nomad
Posts: 83
Registered: 6-21-2011
Location: La Paz
Member Is Offline
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WU says 75% rain in La Paz this afternoon around 3:00
La Pazadise
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bajalinda
Senior Nomad
Posts: 551
Registered: 6-7-2008
Location: Pacific Coast, BCS
Member Is Offline
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Hard to tell this far out, but worth keeping an eye on for sure. That windy model is the European one. The other one (GFS) doesn't show anything
quite so dramatic. We look at them both and try to sort of average them together!
Quite a thunder and lightening show overnight here last night, but it all stayed out to sea.
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Russ
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6741
Registered: 7-4-2004
Location: Punta Chivato
Member Is Offline
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Here's the latest from eebmike.com
A broad and elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred
miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula continues to produce widespread but disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Although environmental conditions appear
conducive for tropical cyclone formation, the large size of the
system suggests that any development should be slow to occur. This
system will likely become a tropical depression later this week
while it moves generally northward at about 10 mph. Interests in
Baja California Sur should monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Again, I think this is worth keeping an eye on.
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8805
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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my prediction...
rain Wednesday 12pm up to 1 inch in 3 hours
wind 10mph (normal speed)
dirt roads will be muddy
prepare for punishment
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Howard
Super Nomad
Posts: 2346
Registered: 11-13-2007
Location: Loreto/Manhattan Beach/Kona
Member Is Offline
Mood: I'd rather regret the things I've done than regret the things I haven't done.
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In Loreto it was supposed to be a sunny day with light winds until noon.
Woke up to very cloudy skies and what I would estimate winds of around 10-12 MPH with gusts to 20-25.
Hope the Dorado understand that I still plan to hunt them down and eat them later this week. They get a stay of execution for a few more days. 
We don't stop playing because we grow old;
we grow old because we stop playing
George Bernard Shaw
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Alm
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 2716
Registered: 5-10-2011
Member Is Offline
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Bob, you'll get it for sure  ... Windy says that Mulege will get their punishment
beginning from Wednesday early morning, possibly until Thursday. 2 days out the accuracy is ~12 hours, give or take.
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blackwolfmt
Senior Nomad
Posts: 802
Registered: 1-18-2014
Location: On The Beach With A Blackwolf
Member Is Offline
Mood: dreamin of Riden out a hurricane in Baja
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Tropical Weather OutlookNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FLIssued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park
MD1100 AM PDT Mon Sep 17 2018For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:1. An elongated area of low pressure was located about
250 milessouth of the southern tip of Baja California, producingdisorganized clusters of showers and thunderstorms. Environmentalconditions appear
conducive for tropical cyclone formation, althoughthe broad nature of the system and potential interaction withland as it moves northward may hamper
development. This systemcould become a tropical depression on Wednesday or Thursday as itapproaches Baja California Sur. Regardless of development,
thissystem will likely produce very heavy rainfall over Baja CaliforniaSur and other parts of northwestern Mexico later this week.* Formation chance
through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.Forecast Burke/Blake
So understand dont waste your time always searching for those wasted years
face up and make your stand and realize that your living in the golden years
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BajaMama
Super Nomad
Posts: 1106
Registered: 10-4-2015
Location: Pleasanton/Punta Chivato
Member Is Offline
Mood: Got Baja fever!!
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https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=2
Looks like a 40% formation right off of the tip... hang on to your hats.
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ViajeraGal
Junior Nomad
Posts: 45
Registered: 9-2-2006
Location: Los Barriles
Member Is Offline
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We been getting mucho Lluvia for 3 days here around Los Barriles/Buena Vista which fortunately is without much wind; grateful for some good rain
without the storm! and AMAZING that thus far we've kept the electricity! 
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