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Author: Subject: Hurricane Rosa may cut across Baja Norte Oct. 1 or 2
shari
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[*] posted on 9-28-2018 at 07:37 AM


Central Baja is abuzz with Rosa reports and people preparing for possible flooding, winds and a big a$$ swell. Yes it is very rare for hurricanes to hit here but it has happened...so best to expect the worst and be ready for it just in case.
The fishing coops will be pulling the boats out extra high this time. Unfortunately our lobster season was to begin on Sunday...not gonna happen!
But if you plan to travel through northern or centra Baja please keep posted on Rosa....oh and dont cross any running arroyos!




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[*] posted on 9-28-2018 at 08:28 AM


I just looked at the 8am forecast track and it has changed a bit. Downgraded to a storm well off the coast now and has move a bit north. Still can't get photobucket to copy downloads to post so go to ebbmike.co and check it out.
edit: 8am forecast
Since an eyewall replacement cycle is ongoing, Rosa is no longer
expected to intensify. In the short term, some additional
weakening is likely, typical of major hurricanes undergoing eyewall
replacements. If this process completes within the next 24 hours,
there will be some opportunity for the hurricane to re-intensify
while the shear is low and the hurricane remains over warm SSTs.
However, steady weakening is anticipated beginning Saturday night
since the cyclone is forecast to cross over much cooler SSTs. By 96
h, a weaker Rosa will likely approach the northern west coast of
the Baja California peninsula and the resulting interaction with
land will likely cause the cyclone to dissipate. It is worth
noting that a farther northwest track would likely result in Rosa
weakening faster than currently indicated, while a farther
southeast track could allow Rosa to maintain a slightly stronger
circulation as it crosses the northern Gulf of California.


[Edited on 9-28-2018 by Russ]




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Bob and Susan
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[*] posted on 9-28-2018 at 08:35 AM


ebbmike

rosa9-28-2018.jpg - 93kB




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http://www.mulege.org
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[*] posted on 9-28-2018 at 10:23 AM


Thanks - My photobucket won't let me copy any URLs



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[*] posted on 9-28-2018 at 10:38 AM


we are all breathing a bit easier today with the downgrade of wave & wind heights...and lots of jokes around town about we probably will only get 47 drops of rain...if any!



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[*] posted on 9-28-2018 at 11:57 AM


Getting closer to my neck of the woods.
Found this great youtube linked on Blodydecks. Hurricane hits Newport Beach, 1939.

https://youtu.be/cLvFWj2Bivo




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[*] posted on 9-28-2018 at 12:03 PM


Windy.com shows rain and wind in BA on Oct 1-2. About 5 or 10mm rain accumulation in 5 days, depends on what model you click on. Same for BOLA.
The system began deteriorating earlier yesterday and was further downgraded overnight. It might still spike up a little, eeb/NOAA is talking about possible re-intensifying if you read their report.
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[*] posted on 9-28-2018 at 12:31 PM


You cant trust hurricanes...Worse than Red headed women



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[*] posted on 9-28-2018 at 02:18 PM


What are the odds of the SAn Diego airport being closed early wednesday morning__+?



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[*] posted on 9-28-2018 at 04:41 PM


Quote: Originally posted by bajatrailrider  
Has a hurricane ever hit North Baja.


Yes. A number of times. Wiped out San Felipe in 1967. This may help you... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Baja_California_Penins...
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[*] posted on 9-28-2018 at 05:00 PM


It was actually the flash floods attributed to a chubasco that messed up the town and Hwy. 5. It was a big deal and I do recall kids at school (3rd or 4th grade) talking about it (Baja was popular where I went to school).



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[*] posted on 9-28-2018 at 05:48 PM


If Cabo lks like this Ill bet heading north along the coast is really getin ominous:?:, that is a word right?

snapshot.jpg - 134kB




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[*] posted on 9-28-2018 at 07:25 PM


Saw a video clip of Cabo today with rivers for streets in downtown.

https://www.facebook.com/BCSnoticias/videos/259062261308645/

[Edited on 9-29-2018 by David K]




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[*] posted on 9-28-2018 at 10:23 PM


Quote: Originally posted by joerover  
What are the odds of the SAn Diego airport being closed early wednesday morning__+?


Probability is about zero.

This storm is minor, maybe an inch or 2 over 3 days in SoCal.

All you geriatrics getting high anxiety over the weather forecast need to get a hobby, a hobby like pot smoking! Crikey! The storm is gonna be a big nothing burger!




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[*] posted on 9-29-2018 at 05:25 AM


Quote: Originally posted by mtgoat666  
Quote: Originally posted by joerover  
What are the odds of the SAn Diego airport being closed early wednesday morning__+?


Probability is about zero.

This storm is minor, maybe an inch or 2 over 3 days in SoCal.

All you geriatrics getting high anxiety over the weather forecast need to get a hobby, a hobby like pot smoking! Crikey! The storm is gonna be a big nothing burger!


Come on, 666, you know hysteria and hyperbole are the American way!

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[*] posted on 9-29-2018 at 07:39 AM


Nothing burger? Aren’t you a vegan goat?



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[*] posted on 9-29-2018 at 08:32 AM


Rosa sparked up.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP5+shtml/291448...
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[*] posted on 9-29-2018 at 08:41 AM



https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP20/refresh/EP2018W...

Good to get some rain to wash the dust off the cactus, clean the filthy streets of San Felipe



[Edited on 9-29-2018 by mtgoat666]




Woke!

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[*] posted on 9-29-2018 at 08:46 AM


Quote: Originally posted by woody with a view  
Nothing burger? Aren’t you a vegan goat?


Carnivore here




Woke!

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[*] posted on 9-29-2018 at 10:03 AM


Quote: Originally posted by mtgoat666  

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP20/refresh/EP2018W...

Good to get some rain to wash the dust off the cactus, clean the filthy streets of San Felipe



[Edited on 9-29-2018 by mtgoat666]



Heavy (for Baja deserts) rain from Gonzaga Bay to nearly the Colorado Delta, on this map.




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