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Author: Subject: BC and BCS COVID-19 Active Cases
Alm
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[*] posted on 7-15-2020 at 03:37 PM


I don't think they manipulate numbers on purpose. They just don't have enough testing facilities - probably none in SF. And where they do have it, they only test those with symptoms. Large percentage of patients have very mild or no symptoms and spread it around without knowing. I would rather keep an eye on the numbers and trend for the entire BC state. Small towns are not representative and people in this area move around a lot.
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SFandH
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[*] posted on 7-15-2020 at 04:51 PM


I think the most interesting numbers are for La Paz and Cabo, both have a considerable increase.

Airports.

Didn't they both recently partially open up (hotels, restaurants, beaches) to tourism?



[Edited on 7-15-2020 by SFandH]




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[*] posted on 7-15-2020 at 04:53 PM


Quote: Originally posted by SFandH  
I think the most interesting numbers are for La Paz and Cabo, both have a considerable increase.

Airports.

Didn't they both recently partially open up to tourism?



Yep!
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SFandH
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[*] posted on 7-15-2020 at 06:02 PM


Quote: Originally posted by AKgringo  
75 cases reported for Tijuana, 681 for La Paz; There is no way that both communities are being counted and reported the same!

I realize that the intent is to indicate trend lines for the different communities, but it is like getting mud from La Paz, and dust from TJ and you need to get the right mix for your Baja adobe.

Edit; By the way, the La Paz airport is not an international airport

[Edited on 7-16-2020 by AKgringo]


Yeah, I dunno. But I do know TJ has been LOCKED down and the usual "walk across for the day tourist" isn't happening. I read today in the TJ online newspaper there's a push to fine anti-maskers 4000 pesos.

Smaller places can have a higher per capita infection rate than larger places.

And, as far as the La Paz airport goes, there are plenty of infected Mexicans that could be flying in from the mainland for their summer vacation.



[Edited on 7-16-2020 by SFandH]




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[*] posted on 7-15-2020 at 06:02 PM


Quote: Originally posted by AKgringo  


Edit; By the way, the La Paz airport is not an international airport

[Edited on 7-16-2020 by AKgringo]


La Paz is no longer an international airport???




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Alm
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[*] posted on 7-15-2020 at 07:29 PM


Quote: Originally posted by SFandH  
But I do know TJ has been LOCKED down and the usual "walk across for the day tourist" isn't happening. I read today in the TJ online newspaper there's a push to fine anti-maskers 4000 pesos.

Doing everything backwards, as usual. Containment should come first.

Until recently they've been keeping ground crossings open for tourists despite the international agreement. Especially Tijuana, with mayor insisting that a "real" closure would've caused long lines and inconvenience for locals. Checkpoints on highways would let you through if the car and driver blend in, looking and talking like local. Airports ship viruses daily, just answer a few questions and go.
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[*] posted on 7-15-2020 at 07:58 PM


Quote: Originally posted by Pacifico  
Quote: Originally posted by AKgringo  


Edit; By the way, the La Paz airport is not an international airport

[Edited on 7-16-2020 by AKgringo]


La Paz is no longer an international airport???


La Paz is redesignated as an International Airport for 2021. It's in transition now.

Edit will Doug move this to off topic like all other factual info in BN?

[Edited on 7-16-2020 by gnukid]
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[*] posted on 7-17-2020 at 05:54 PM


BCS headed towards Red Status

It's currently Orange.

https://mexiconewsdaily.com/news/baja-california-sur-may-be-...




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[*] posted on 7-19-2020 at 09:21 AM


The spreadsheet that I have been posting every 5 days or so shows numbers for cities in Baja California and municipalities in BCS, analogous to counties in the US.

For example, Mulege includes Guererro Negro, Santa Rosalia, Heroica Mulege, and the towns in between.

For a breakdown of each BCS municipality, including numbers, see the following page:

https://coronavirus.bcs.gob.mx/casos-covid-19-por-colonia/

There are multiple pages with a page selector on the lower-right




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[*] posted on 7-19-2020 at 05:16 PM


This ought to make a few of you Baja Residents think twice.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/half-of-virus-patients-...

. This Democratic hoax is getting to be harder and harder to ignore!

seriously, please take this serious! Protect yourselves, and take measures to respect and protect those you come in contact with!



[Edited on 7-20-2020 by caj13]
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[*] posted on 7-20-2020 at 11:14 AM


The takeaway here is well known to all who have spent much time in Mexico. Have an air evacuation plan in place. Know one of the many good private medical clinics in Mexico and never go willing to a government run hospital!
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[*] posted on 7-20-2020 at 11:56 AM


My worker who lives in La Fortuna reports several cases in La Playita just across the bridge from San Jose del Cabo. So it is on the way out the East Cape Road.

It's hot. We are going to button up the house and head north this week. Looking forward to cool low clouds along the coast with highs in the mid 70's.




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[*] posted on 7-21-2020 at 11:48 AM
21 July


BC - http://www.bajacalifornia.gob.mx/coronavirus

BCS - https://coronavirus.bcs.gob.mx/

"active cases are those that are two weeks old and can be contagious today. This is known by laboratory tests of people who go to hospitals."

https://coronavirus.gob.mx/2020/04/30/conferencia-30-de-abri...

For a breakdown of each BCS municipality, including numbers, see the following page:

https://coronavirus.bcs.gob.mx/casos-covid-19-por-colonia/



[Edited on 7-21-2020 by SFandH]

Screenshot 2020-07-21 at 11.53.39 AM.png - 124kB




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[*] posted on 7-21-2020 at 09:45 PM


Unlikely things will get better in Baja until they do on the mainland and North of the border. Many Mexican tourists in summer, and from what I hear, blockposts don't work. Locals are telling that SF "reten" is only there on weekends and Ensenada lets most people through.

I've been reading how they do it in United Arab Emirates and Bahrain, - amazing. Better than South Korea. In UAE they've tested half of the population and apparently plan to test everybody. In working-class districts and migrant camps government health teams administer mandatory nasal swabs - and then isolate positive cases, this is not up for debate. People with money can book a home visit, results given over the phone same day, though drive-through testing centers are plentiful. To drive from Dubai to the capital Abu Dhabi you must show a fresh negative test. Service workers - cab drivers, waiters, store clerks - are required to take frequent tests.

The result - field hospitals set up months ago for an expected surge of cases stand vacant. Restaurants, movies and resorts are operating almost normally. Test positivity rate dropped to 0.4% - compare to average 2% in Canada, or USA where most states have over 5% positivity and some are over 20%.

The numbers in Mexico - I don't know what to think of it. Their absolute numbers are not for real. When I look at the trend of daily cases since March for the entire BC or BCS, see bar graph under the curve - when you exclude the last 2 weeks where reports are still coming - daily cases are not declining yet: https://coronavirus.gob.mx/datos/

[Edited on 7-22-2020 by Alm]
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[*] posted on 7-22-2020 at 03:02 AM


I wonder why the admin filters out the factual links to sources provided in this thread? Though leaves conjecture based on no data?
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[*] posted on 7-22-2020 at 03:56 AM


Quote: Originally posted by gnukid  
I wonder why the admin filters out the factual links to sources provided in this thread? Though leaves conjecture based on no data?


Don't wonder. Just ask.
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Alm
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[*] posted on 7-22-2020 at 01:29 PM


Just in case if this was a request for "factual links" - enjoy:
Blanket testing and isolation as the way to contain the virus.
An impossible thing to do in Mexico - not enough money. Too bad. Keeping one patient in ICU for 2 weeks costs more than screening a 100 and giving an early treatment to a few. Not to mention the cost of lockdown. So they will end up paying more and it will drag for longer.
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Alm
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[*] posted on 7-22-2020 at 04:01 PM


Quote: Originally posted by lencho  
[/rquote]Why provide us links which require a subscription? :(

To give access to those who want to read. Many sources require free subscription, including scientific and medical journals.
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Alm
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[*] posted on 7-22-2020 at 08:23 PM


Quote: Originally posted by lencho  
Guess I don't "want" to participate in your conversation enough to pay a subscription
You can read this and (probably) some other WSJ articles without subscription if you want to. But if you don't want - then you don't, problem solved :)

[Edited on 7-23-2020 by Alm]
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[*] posted on 7-23-2020 at 07:52 AM


Puerto Nuevo is beginning to open up:

https://www.elimparcial.com/tijuana/rosarito/Regresa-poco-a-...





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