BajaNomad
Not logged in [Login - Register]

Go To Bottom
Printable Version  
 Pages:  1  2
Author: Subject: 79000 missing in Mexico
John Harper
Super Nomad
****




Posts: 2289
Registered: 3-9-2017
Location: SoCal
Member Is Offline


[*] posted on 12-17-2020 at 01:14 PM


Quote: Originally posted by apple  

No, it's not. There are about 75 million people under the age of 18 in the US, and if more than 800k of them went missing every year, that would be ~1 of every 90 American children. It just isn't happening.


Exactly. There would be at least 35 kids disappear from my high school each year if those numbers were accurate.

John
View user's profile
John Harper
Super Nomad
****




Posts: 2289
Registered: 3-9-2017
Location: SoCal
Member Is Offline


[*] posted on 12-17-2020 at 07:01 PM


Quote: Originally posted by lencho  
Quote: Originally posted by John Harper  
Exactly. There would be at least 35 kids disappear from my high school each year if those numbers were accurate.
John
I'm not doubting you, but I bet school demographics impact those local numbers. What's the racial/ethnic and economic makeup of your particular student body?


Not sure how relevant, but very diverse, as most public schools.

But, if ~35 per year aren't missing from my school, then they must be added (and subtracted?) somewhere else. That might be a bigger issue if that's the case.

I just used the gnu's latest numbers 800,000/75,000,000 then use my school population of 3000. Comes out to 32 per year. Every year. My original calculation used 1 million missing, which would be 40 kids per year, every year. At just one school.

Any way you cut it, gnu's numbers don't match reality.

John


[Edited on 12-18-2020 by John Harper]
View user's profile
gnukid
Ultra Nomad
*****




Posts: 4410
Registered: 7-2-2006
Member Is Offline


[*] posted on 12-17-2020 at 07:12 PM


More high level human trafficking arrests related to Epstein, Maxwell, etc? How could such a public figure be arrested for high volume level human Sex Trafficking?

https://www.the-sun.com/news/1987071/jeffrey-epstein-pal-jea...

[Edited on 12-18-2020 by gnukid]
View user's profile
gnukid
Ultra Nomad
*****




Posts: 4410
Registered: 7-2-2006
Member Is Offline


[*] posted on 12-17-2020 at 07:30 PM


Human trafficking spikes in Texas amid pandemic

https://www.houstonchronicle.com/news/houston-texas/houston/...

https://www.kxxv.com/hometown/texas/reported-cases-of-human-...

https://www.montgomerynews.com/soudertonindependent/news/hum...

[Edited on 12-18-2020 by gnukid]
View user's profile
caj13
Senior Nomad
***




Posts: 998
Registered: 8-1-2017
Member Is Offline


[*] posted on 12-18-2020 at 10:21 AM


still waiting for your math tutorial on how you arrived at your numbers Gnuey! do you need me to send you a calculator?
View user's profile
MrBillM
Platinum Nomad
********




Posts: 21656
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Out and About
Member Is Offline

Mood: It's a Zip-a-Dee-Doo-Dah Day

[*] posted on 12-18-2020 at 11:17 AM
Gnu Math ?


Trying to do Gnu Math can be a challenge since the real objective with the proffered numbers falls into the "Baffle them with Bullchite" category.

Watching a Fox discussion awhile back when they were still debating the vote numbers, the guest "statistical expert" gave a lengthy discourse on "statistical probabilities" with various probability ranges i.e. "35K-55K", etc. which the host (taking the highest point of each range, of course) then aggregated (though some were subsets of the others) and announced that "THAT totals FAR more than twice Biden's margin so, clearly, there was fraud that MUST be investigated."

As Barbie said ............ "Math is TOUGH !"

View user's profile
gnukid
Ultra Nomad
*****




Posts: 4410
Registered: 7-2-2006
Member Is Offline


[*] posted on 12-18-2020 at 11:51 AM


The Fallacy of the Red Herring arguments used to distract and obfuscate from the issue, that belies an insidious intent to minimize an epidemic of human trafficking, which is to demand that someone 'Prove" [to him] each human trafficking statistic, and if he doesn't accept it, it doesn't exist, in order to distract from the actual important topic of each victimized children, women, and men in human trafficking across the border of Mexico and USA.

A primary issue is that many children, are trafficked by their own families.

Generally, in terms of crime, human trafficking, sex exploitation, statistics, average, city to city, year to year, known statistics are extrapolated to unknown, because, MANY CRIMES AND CASES OF HUMAN TRAFFICKING ARE UNREPORTED, the average total reported in USA is 800,000, add the unknown in the border region, and the number is higher than 800,000 per year, possibly 10x higher.

No one, here on a Baja travel forum, is required to solve every single crime report, prosecute the perpetrator and rescue a victim to prove to another "Nomad" the volume human trafficking crime exists. Nor has anyone claimed to be expert or owner of the statistical database, except Caj13, so let him disprove the statistics.

The specific volume of human trafficking is important, each case is important, each case makes up the whole number. For example, to state, many kids escaped, some kids returned home, the child was taken by a parent, so its not the same as an unknown abduction, those are called red herring arguments used by someone interested in harming the dialogue with minutia, in order to disuade casual readers.

Here are some general sources of the number 800,000 missing children in USA at anytime, while the actual number would certainly be higher when we include cross border trafficking, many children brought across the border are outside "the system", with no birth certificate, no social security records, on the other hand many do have birth certificates, it's a mixed bag of globally trafficked children, from USA, Mexico, and every other country in the world across the US/Mexico southern border due to the nature of the border, corruption, and lack of enforcement.

If you have questions about the sources contact the National Center for Missing & Exploited Children

https://ojjdp.ojp.gov/programs/national-center-missing-and-e...

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/International-Par...
1-888-407-4747 or 202-501-4444.

National Center for Missing & Exploited Children
Charles B. Wang International Children's Building
699 Prince Street
Alexandria, VA 22314-3175
800-843-5678
703-224-2122 (fax)
http://www.missingkids.org/
KRON News explains
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hlDj0mFtIQg

Search for the truth (trailer)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-19NsjoPR8

Movies and Documentaries about human trafficking of children in USA/Mexico
https://www.imdb.com/list/ls074338764/

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2007/01/how-many-childre...

"Each year, 800,000 children are reported missing in America" (actual number is higher)
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-missing-children-idUS...

“In the United States, more than 800,000 children are reported missing every year, and nearly half end up living on the streets. Seventy percent will become sex trafficking victims, most within their first 72 hours of living on the street.”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fact-checker/wp/2015/07/...


"More than 800,000 children younger than 18 go missing each year nationwide, according to the U.S. Department of Justice."
https://globegazette.com/news/iowa/more-than-800-000-childre...





[Edited on 12-19-2020 by gnukid]
View user's profile
caj13
Senior Nomad
***




Posts: 998
Registered: 8-1-2017
Member Is Offline


[*] posted on 12-18-2020 at 01:29 PM


Gnuey, everyone here is concerned about runaway and kidnapped children. unfortunately when you start making wild accusations and spouting unfounded , untrue and misleading information -
That doesn't help the issue -
IN FACT, IT MAKES OTHERS SAY,
THATS JUST SOME CLOWN SPOUTING BULLCHIT AGAIN
It actually distracts from the issue and the solutions.
so I clicked on 2 of your links. the first required a paid subscription,
so i cant see it, but the second , from the washington post -
had this very interesting information"

" But there are huge problems with the 800,000 figure in the first place. While it is mentioned in a document on the NCMEC Web site, the organization notes that it is old data from 1999, derived from the National Incidence Studies of Missing, Abducted, Runaway and Thrownaway Children (NISMART), a random-sample survey released by an arm of the Justice Department. As we have noted before, this same study is frequently misused for the misleading claim that 58,000 children a year are “abducted.” (The number of stereotypical kidnappings listed in the report is actually 115.)"

Gnuey, do you understand why we doubt the crap you post - the very "evidence" you present is in fact directly contradicting your claims.
Grow up man, learn to read, think with a critical mind. Your not helping your cause, you are hurting it, and in the meantime making yourself the laughing stock of the forum.

I left in the 2 sources i checked. maybe you ought to read em - FOR THE FIRST TIME!

Quote: Originally posted by gnukid  


“In the United States, more than 800,000 children are reported missing every year, and nearly half end up living on the streets. Seventy percent will become sex trafficking victims, most within their first 72 hours of living on the street.”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fact-checker/wp/2015/07/...


"More than 800,000 children younger than 18 go missing each year nationwide, according to the U.S. Department of Justice."
https://globegazette.com/news/iowa/more-than-800-000-childre...



View user's profile
gnukid
Ultra Nomad
*****




Posts: 4410
Registered: 7-2-2006
Member Is Offline


[*] posted on 12-18-2020 at 07:08 PM


What kind of person argues against awareness of public data about crimes against children?

The highest value we hold is to protect children in our pueblos, from kidnapping, abuse, and human trafficking, yet, a number of "Nomads" argue profusely, using logical fallacies, distraction, obfuscation, against the publicly available data provided by the best sources available to discourage awareness about this topic.

These posters tactics belie their intent.

And they are allowed to persist here.
View user's profile
caj13
Senior Nomad
***




Posts: 998
Registered: 8-1-2017
Member Is Offline


[*] posted on 12-19-2020 at 09:51 AM


so now we can add not even bothering to read the posts?
Gnuey, you are making a fool of yourself. go back and read my first line,. and speaking of red herrings? holy cow man. You get called out for posting bullchit, and your response is "nobody cares about these poor kids but me!

You obviously don't believe that, so why even go that route, all it does is further eroding any shred of credibility you might have!

You want to be taken seriously - try posting some actual verified facts - instead of propaganda and lies!


There is good accurate information out there. and why not give us a solution - other than - keep your eyes open!

what happens when we see what we suspect might be a case of kidnapping or sex trafficking? who do we contact? how do we do that? who do we report it to? How do we follow up.

Instead of running around like chicken little screaming "the sky is falling" and waving around a binder full of Bullsheet and propaganda - give us some real concrete steps - actions we can take!

And the intimation that I or others here may be complicit in any of these crimes. Sir, that is the most offensive vulgar bald faced lie you have ever posted. I do owe you an appropriate response, which i will save until I get the opportunity to meet you face to face - when you can them repeat that allegation to my face - man to man, instead of cowering behind your keyboard!


[Edited on 12-19-2020 by caj13]
View user's profile
mtgoat666
Select Nomad
*******




Posts: 17280
Registered: 9-16-2006
Location: San Diego
Member Is Offline

Mood: Hot n spicy

[*] posted on 12-19-2020 at 10:03 AM


Quote: Originally posted by gnukid  
What kind of person argues against awareness of public data about crimes against children?

The highest value we hold is to protect children in our pueblos, from kidnapping, abuse, and human trafficking, yet, a number of "Nomads" argue profusely, using logical fallacies, distraction, obfuscation, against the publicly available data provided by the best sources available to discourage awareness about this topic.

These posters tactics belie their intent.

And they are allowed to persist here.


Paul,
You are obsessed with talking about children, trafficking and pedophilia, but you are a middle aged man with no children. Me thinks your obsession with children (along with repeating every hokey right wing conspiracy theory) is creepy.




Woke!

“...ask not what your country can do for you – ask what you can do for your country.” “My fellow citizens of the world: ask not what America will do for you, but what together we can do for the freedom of man.”

Prefered gender pronoun: the royal we

View user's profile
MrBillM
Platinum Nomad
********




Posts: 21656
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Out and About
Member Is Offline

Mood: It's a Zip-a-Dee-Doo-Dah Day

[*] posted on 12-19-2020 at 11:13 AM
As St. Paul * * Said .....................


" ....... Let It Be .......... "

Let him go without the useless challenges. When Gnutty prattles on over missing minors, discuss the effect (due to COVID) of the designated hitter being universally adopted in MLB or something equally important like how Nathan's compares to Hebrew National. Or, Ball Park All-Beef, for that matter.

The Gnudist feeds on these circular debates. Like Der Donald DoocheBag, his ego is pumped by getting it on. The difference would be that (unlike Satan's Ginger-Headed Disciple, his ability to influence anyone of importance is zero.

Well, gotta go and setup my trailer for another 30-day.

And, feed the critters.

* * St Paul McCartney, that is.

View user's profile
 Pages:  1  2

  Go To Top

 






All Content Copyright 1997- Q87 International; All Rights Reserved.
Powered by XMB; XMB Forum Software © 2001-2014 The XMB Group






"If it were lush and rich, one could understand the pull, but it is fierce and hostile and sullen. The stone mountains pile up to the sky and there is little fresh water. But we know we must go back if we live, and we don't know why." - Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez

 

"People don't care how much you know, until they know how much you care." - Theodore Roosevelt

 

"You can easily judge the character of others by how they treat those who they think can do nothing for them or to them." - Malcolm Forbes

 

"Let others lead small lives, but not you. Let others argue over small things, but not you. Let others cry over small hurts, but not you. Let others leave their future in someone else's hands, but not you." - Jim Rohn

 

"The best way to get the right answer on the internet is not to ask a question; it's to post the wrong answer." - Cunningham's Law







Thank you to Baja Bound Mexico Insurance Services for your long-term support of the BajaNomad.com Forums site.







Emergency Baja Contacts Include:

Desert Hawks; El Rosario-based ambulance transport; Emergency #: (616) 103-0262