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BajaBill74
Nomad
Posts: 253
Registered: 1-27-2014
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Mood: Beyond Extatic!
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Hurricane Enrique
Hurricane Enrique is headed for Los Cabos. It should arrive on Thursday. The good news is that it should weaken to a tropical depression.
What I'm doing at work is so secret, even I don't know what I'm doing!
One should believe in God, because even Google doesn't know everything.
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AKgringo
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5815
Registered: 9-20-2014
Location: Anchorage, AK (no mas!)
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Mood: Retireded
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Here is a link;
https://www.windy.com/?2021-06-27-12,26.077,-109.578,5,m:eqE...
If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!
"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
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Bajabus
Senior Nomad
Posts: 892
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: Elias Calles B.C.S. or NC USA
Member Is Offline
Mood: My friends..it's good.
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the cone of uncertainty
"Preventive war was an invention of Hitler. Frankly I would not even listen to anyone seriously that came and talked of such a thing."
Dwight David Eisenhower
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Don Pisto
Super Nomad
Posts: 1234
Registered: 8-1-2018
Location: El Pescador
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Mood: weary like everyone else
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I've got a group of friends a week into a two week surf trip way down in Barra de la Cruz.......can't wait to hear the stories!
there's only two things in life but I forget what they are........
John Hiatt
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AKgringo
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5815
Registered: 9-20-2014
Location: Anchorage, AK (no mas!)
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Mood: Retireded
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Everybody in the Los Cabos area should call and make an appointment with a timeshare, or condo salesman. The resulting high pressure generated should
deflect the storm.
Just don't sign anything!
If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!
"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
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elskel
Nomad
Posts: 449
Registered: 10-9-2006
Location: Laguna Beach & Pescadero BCS
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Bring on some rain, it is needed!
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bajarich
Nomad
Posts: 463
Registered: 1-13-2005
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Make Baja backroads rough again!
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BajaBlanca
Select Nomad
Posts: 13165
Registered: 10-28-2008
Location: La Bocana, BCS
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It really has been a long time since La Bocana saw any rain. For sure the underground reservoirs need refilling.
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rogbag
Nomad
Posts: 124
Registered: 8-27-2008
Location: Los Barriles, BCS
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We really need some rain. The predictions don't show a lot happening, but any is welcome. It has been 2 years since we had any to speak of.
Come on Enrique! A depression is fine.
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SFandH
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6927
Registered: 8-5-2011
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The weather website I use shows Cabo with a 53% chance of rain on Wednesday, early AM, and 30+ mph winds.
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Don Pisto
Super Nomad
Posts: 1234
Registered: 8-1-2018
Location: El Pescador
Member Is Offline
Mood: weary like everyone else
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Quote: Originally posted by Don Pisto  | | I've got a group of friends a week into a two week surf trip way down in Barra de la Cruz.......can't wait to hear the stories!
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boys checked in Enrique way north of them.....their timing is perfect 
there's only two things in life but I forget what they are........
John Hiatt
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AKgringo
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5815
Registered: 9-20-2014
Location: Anchorage, AK (no mas!)
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Mood: Retireded
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I checked the "Windy" forecast just now, and it looks like a weakened Enrique might pass to the east of La Paz. Here is their forecast for Wednesday,
in the rainfall mode;
https://www.windy.com/-Rain-thunder-rain?rain,2021-07-01-00,...
If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!
"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
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BajaBill74
Nomad
Posts: 253
Registered: 1-27-2014
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Mood: Beyond Extatic!
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Enrique has been upgraded to a storm. That means winds 35 - 73 MPH. Arriving Wednesday at 1 PM.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep5+shtml/234957.s...
What I'm doing at work is so secret, even I don't know what I'm doing!
One should believe in God, because even Google doesn't know everything.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13033
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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look like Enrique is losing steam but will most likely provide some much needed rain...this is Monday 9:00 am report
Hurricane Enrique Discussion Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021
900 AM MDT Mon Jun 28 2021
The convective structure of Enrique has eroded some this morning as
the hurricane appears to be feeling the effects of dry air
entrainment, both from downsloping to the northeast off the higher
terrain of Mexico and from stable air being entrained from the
northwest. This degradation in the northern portion of Enrique's
inner-core structure is also seen in an 0919 UTC AMSR2 microwave
pass. The latest subjective Dvorak intensity estimates were T4.5/77
kt from both TAFB and SAB, and the intensity for this advisory was
lowered to 75 kt in accordance with these estimates.
Enrique's motion appears to be gradually turning more toward the
left at 335/4 kt. Over the next few days, a weak low- to mid-level
ridge is expected to keep the storm on a similar northwest heading.
The latest track guidance is in relatively good agreement, though
there have been notable leftward shifts in the HWRF and HMON models.
The latest NHC forecast is a slightly farther left compared to the
previous one, close to both the TVCE and HCCA consensus aids.
Now that Enrique's inner core structure has become increasingly
ragged, weakening is expected to continue via dry-air entrainment as
the storm tracks along gradually decreasing oceanic heat content.
The latest NHC intensity forecast is a bit faster in its weakening
rate over the next 24-36 hours, but Enrique is still forecast to be
a tropical storm as it approaches the Baja California peninsula.
However, some uncertainty remains in the forecast intensity because
Enrique is forecast to track along a sharp sea-surface temperature
gradient, where a left shift in the track would likely result in
faster weakening rate while a right shift in the track may allow
Enrique to maintain its intensity longer.
Given the latest forecast, the government of Mexico has issued a
tropical storm watch from Cabo San Lucas to Los Barriles along
southern part of the Baja California Peninsula.
Key Messages:
1. The outer rainbands of Enrique are likely to produce heavy rains
across a portion of western Mexico during the next couple of days,
which could likely cause life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides.
2. The core of Enrique is still near but just offshore the
southwestern coast of Mexico this morning and a Hurricane Warning is
in effect for a portion of that area. Tropical-storm-force winds
are expected to continue across the remainder of southwestern Mexico
within the warning areas through today. Hurricane conditions are
possible in the Hurricane Watch area today.
3. Swells generated by Enrique are expected to affect the
southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. These swells
could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents.
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RFClark
Super Nomad
Posts: 2334
Registered: 8-27-2015
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Mood: Looking forward to 2024
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Update from BCS,
It started to rain on the toll road around noon -1 today. You could see heavy rain over mountains to the east. Tropical Depression Enrique should
reach Baja Sur tomorrow with more rain expected. Winds are expected to be around 40 mph.
More tomorrow after sun up.
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RFClark
Super Nomad
Posts: 2334
Registered: 8-27-2015
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Mood: Looking forward to 2024
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Hi,
It rained 1.22” in Todos Santos early this AM. The power was off for awhile around 5:00AM. There was no wind, it’s 68 degrees and overcast!
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BajaBill74
Nomad
Posts: 253
Registered: 1-27-2014
Member Is Offline
Mood: Beyond Extatic!
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Thank you RFClark, that' sure better than a hurricane.
What I'm doing at work is so secret, even I don't know what I'm doing!
One should believe in God, because even Google doesn't know everything.
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tiotomasbcs
Super Nomad
Posts: 1837
Registered: 7-30-2007
Location: El Pescadero
Member Is Offline
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Thunder and lightning flashes woke me up overnite. El Pescadero. It rained steady until around 7am. Power had been out but came back on time for
coffee. No wind and beautiful soaking rain. Now I know where the roof leaks?! No humidity...
[Edited on 6-30-2021 by tiotomasbcs]
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TMW
Select Nomad
Posts: 10659
Registered: 9-1-2003
Location: Bakersfield, CA
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: Originally posted by tiotomasbcs | Thunder and lightning flashes woke me up overnite. El Pescadero. It rained steady until around 7am. Power had been out but came back on time for
coffee. No wind and beautiful soaking rain. Now I know where the roof leaks?! No humidity...
[Edited on 6-30-2021 by tiotomasbcs] |
Make sure you have plenty of buckets.
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capitolkat
Senior Nomad
Posts: 510
Registered: 3-9-2006
Member Is Offline
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La Paz- the rain started here in the early morning. No wind to speak of and it has remained overcast until now at 12:20 PM. It's raining again ,
pretty steady but not heavy. As a tropical storm Enrique has been a bust but, as a nice gentle rainstorm it's just what we needed in La Paz.
Life is too short to drink bad wine
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