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Author: Subject: Some wind headed toward the cape?
AKgringo
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exclamation.gif posted on 8-31-2022 at 04:42 PM
Some wind headed toward the cape?


I know a lot can change in a week, but "Windy" is showing a possible event hitting the cape!

I had trouble trying to post a screen shot, but you can click on this post and advance the forecast to Wednesday.

https://www.windy.com/?2022090712,26.077,-109.578,5,m:ek5ac3...

[Edited on 8-31-2022 by AKgringo]




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AKgringo
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[*] posted on 8-31-2022 at 04:54 PM


Quote: Originally posted by Don Pisto  
Ron's xlnt new TalkBaja site has a really good weather page, might want to take a look:D


I don't do Facebook. What is it showing?




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AKgringo
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[*] posted on 8-31-2022 at 06:07 PM


Unless it is a secret site, why don't you just post a link?

[Edited on 9-1-2022 by AKgringo]




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[*] posted on 8-31-2022 at 06:13 PM


Quote: Originally posted by AKgringo  
Unless it is a secrete site, why don't you just post a link?


Just look at windy or read the narrative on nhc (noaa) east pacific site.




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[*] posted on 8-31-2022 at 06:19 PM


Windy.com is an incredible website. What more do you need to know? Lots can change between now and the forecasted landfall next week.


[Edited on 9-1-2022 by SFandH]




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[*] posted on 8-31-2022 at 06:34 PM


Quote: Originally posted by Don Pisto  
:lol:pleeeze, forget I mentioned it.


Thanks for the link. it got me right back to where I started with Windy! I had Talk Baja Public Group saved, but it would only take me to a Facebook sign in page.




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[*] posted on 8-31-2022 at 06:45 PM


Quote: Originally posted by AKgringo  
Quote: Originally posted by Don Pisto  
:lol:pleeeze, forget I mentioned it.


Thanks for the link. it got me right back to where I started with Windy! I had Talk Baja Public Group saved, but it would only take me to a Facebook sign in page.


Talk baja is mostly reposting snippets from noaa and windy. I just read the noaa website (nhc, and sgx (my local)). Windy is full of pretty swirls, looks real groovy, but provides no narrative interpretation, so is pretty uninformative, though it sometimes gets wind/rain timing sort of correct…




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[*] posted on 8-31-2022 at 07:31 PM


SF&H,

The landfall of what next Wednesday?
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[*] posted on 8-31-2022 at 09:21 PM


Any time warm winds blow in SoCal watch out on the Sea of Cortez.

Learned that 20 years ago. It was very hot and windy in LA today.

Started boating at age 3 and have spent probably 5+ years of my life on the ocean. Pacific (US and Australia), Sea of Cortez, Gulf of Mexico, Atlantic, Mediterranean.

The worst seas we got caught in ever were between Bahia de los Angeles and Santa Rosalia. Had a 33 foot boat and was legit worried for my life. We left cruising 35 mph on flat seas for the first half of the trip. Then all hell broke lose.

Called home once we got to SR and the wife said it was blowing like crazy at our house.


[Edited on 9-1-2022 by JZ]




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[*] posted on 8-31-2022 at 09:32 PM


Check out the web site cyclocane it has many models and paths to chose from none have it making landfall
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[*] posted on 8-31-2022 at 09:40 PM


JZ,

Current wind south of San Felipe is 2.5MPH gusts to 3.5. 40 to 50 MPH winds out of nowhere are not uncommon. Nothing so far.
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[*] posted on 8-31-2022 at 09:53 PM


FDB,

This year’s tropical storm and hurricane drought has unhinged some of the climate disaster types. They’re doing the “stories of hurricanes passed” thing.

The disturbance off Southern Mexico is going out to sea.
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[*] posted on 9-1-2022 at 06:26 AM


Quote: Originally posted by RFClark  
SF&H,

The landfall of what next Wednesday?


Move the horizontal slider at the bottom to Wednesday morning.

https://www.windy.com/?2022090712,20.982,-108.809,5




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[*] posted on 9-1-2022 at 08:36 AM


eebmike.com is another good resource. I believe its just NOAA data but its presented well. That storm currently has a 40-60% chance of forming. Its certainly worth keeping an eye on if you're anywhere near the Cape
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[*] posted on 9-1-2022 at 09:03 AM


Quote: Originally posted by JZ  
Any time warm winds blow in SoCal watch out on the Sea of Cortez.

Learned that 20 years ago. It was very hot and windy in LA today.

Started boating at age 3 and have spent probably 5+ years of my life on the ocean. Pacific (US and Australia), Sea of Cortez, Gulf of Mexico, Atlantic, Mediterranean.

The worst seas we got caught in ever were between Bahia de los Angeles and Santa Rosalia. Had a 33 foot boat and was legit worried for my life. We left cruising 35 mph on flat seas for the first half of the trip. Then all hell broke lose.

Called home once we got to SR and the wife said it was blowing like crazy at our house.


[Edited on 9-1-2022 by JZ]


The stretch of coastline about 20-30 miles south of Puertecitos is one of the windiest spots in Baja, and not in a good way. The wind often arrives in the dead of night, blowing straight out to sea. My amigo that runs pangas down there has figured out how to predict the wind using the internet, but I am not sure what site he uses. Somehow when high pressure is observed to the north or something you can predict it. There is another type of wind, however, that cannot be predicted; the sudden burst coming up from the south. That is what sank the Erick a while back. They had another occurrence of it this year, it blew a sheet metal roof 200 yards. That one they are afraid of. He had a name for it but I forgot what they call it.

edit: 20-30 miles south of Puertecitos..

[Edited on 9-1-2022 by bajaric]
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[*] posted on 9-1-2022 at 09:14 AM


Bajaric,

We’ve had a place here south of SF for 30 years. The wind blows hard from all directions. From the south is usually the worst, over 100 degrees and 50mph. We’ve never had anything blow away, our stuff is well built.
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[*] posted on 9-1-2022 at 09:20 AM


Quote: Originally posted by bajaric  
He had a name for it but I forgot what they call it.


Viento del Diablo I believe. Had one here a couple weeks ago just after midnight. Probably the worst wind I've seen down here.




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[*] posted on 9-1-2022 at 09:37 AM
Sudden and unpredictable?


Sounds like what they call a "Williwaw" in Alaska. When dense, cool air meets a warmer front on the plains, tornados can happen.

When a mountain range separates the fronts, the dense air builds up like water behind a dam, then comes spilling down through mountain passes!

I experienced one in the Matanuska drainage when a friend and I got dropped off on a gravel air strip and set up camp. We were climbing the slope above our camp, when it sounded like a jet was flying over the glacial canyon we were in.

There was no plane, but we could hear the wind coming and see the dust cloud it was rising. It was good that the plane that dropped us off was gone, because it went from dead calm to a tent destroying gale like someone flipped a switch!

Edit; Would the term "Chubasco" be the same sort of event?


[Edited on 9-1-2022 by AKgringo]




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[*] posted on 9-1-2022 at 05:21 PM


.8” of rain this afternoon in Todos Santos with some lightning.
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AKgringo
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[*] posted on 9-1-2022 at 05:48 PM
What a difference a decimal makes


At first glance I thought you were reporting eight inches, and I was stunned!



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