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Author: Subject: Some wind headed toward the cape?
RFClark
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[*] posted on 9-1-2022 at 07:14 PM


So it seems that a tropical storm popped up just today and probably is responsible for today’s rain. It’s forecast to move parallel to the coast a couple of hundred miles offshore before turning west. I wonder if any of the models forecast today’s storm? It wasn’t on NOAA’s radar yesterday. I saw the area yesterday and wondered about it. And then there’s next Wednesday!
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[*] posted on 9-1-2022 at 07:24 PM


Quote: Originally posted by RFClark  
It wasn’t on NOAA’s radar yesterday. I saw the area yesterday and wondered about it.


It has been in NOAA NHC forecast for past few days, been keeping an eye on it for past few days The NHC doesn’t post track path graphics until event reaches TS level.

NHC has archive feature, you can go back and read reports for past days…




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[*] posted on 9-2-2022 at 08:06 AM


Quote: Originally posted by SFandH  
Quote: Originally posted by RFClark  
SF&H,

The landfall of what next Wednesday?


Move the horizontal slider at the bottom to Wednesday morning.

https://www.windy.com/?2022090712,20.982,-108.809,5


windy is now showing the storm hitting a bit north of Todos Santos Wednesday evening and crossing over the peninsula.

[Edited on 9-2-2022 by SFandH]




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RFClark
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[*] posted on 9-2-2022 at 10:34 AM


It started raining south of Cerritos last night. 1.37” to current. It’s partly cloudy with solar at about 35% of normal and over 1 KW solar output.
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[*] posted on 9-3-2022 at 08:34 AM


Looks like the rain is hitting Muleje/Loreto area, reports of washouts at km 125 on 1.
East Cape also getting a good bit of rain, lots of flow through arroyos.
Potentially more on tap in the coming week.
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[*] posted on 9-3-2022 at 09:01 AM
Playing with Windy....


For those who have not used www.windy.com before, you can change the display from a wind forecast to a rain forecast by using the vertical bar on the right side of the display. You can move focus area around, zoom in and out and play with the forecast date/time slider at the bottom.

Of course, it is just a forecast and is always being updated, so I check often. The tropical disturbance headed for Baja could turn east and soak the mainland, or turn west and head toward Hawaii.

Right now it shows the potential of becoming a problem the length of the peninsula!




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[*] posted on 9-3-2022 at 09:40 AM


Quote: Originally posted by azucena  
Looks like the rain is hitting Muleje/Loreto area, reports of washouts at km 125 on 1.
East Cape also getting a good bit of rain, lots of flow through arroyos.
Potentially more on tap in the coming week.





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[*] posted on 9-3-2022 at 12:18 PM


Here in Bahia Asuncion where it RARELY rains we got a half hour of moderate rain yesterday afternoon and then not again till around 7:30 this morning and it rained hard for over an hour. Winds are up to about 30 knots making it hard to open my back door & will most likely destroy my roses and other of my beloved plants!

Other areas in our municipality of Mulege fared much worse with lots of flooding in Sta.Rosalia and some in Mulege.
Hope this wasnt just a dress rehearsal for what is to come on Thursday when a bigger storm threatens to really screw things up.




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[*] posted on 9-3-2022 at 12:32 PM


Seeing lots of reports of flooding and damage around Mulege. Damage to Mex1 on Mulege - Loreto.







[Edited on 9-3-2022 by HeyMulegeScott]




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[*] posted on 9-3-2022 at 08:57 PM


Stay posted. According to most models, the new storm forming off the coast of southern Mexico appears likely to become a major hurricane (category 3 or 4), and most models predict that it will make landfall in BCS or at least come close. It is still too early to have exactly reliable predictions, but people should stay posted and make appropriate arrangements so far as possible.

The system might reach Todos Santos and los Cabos by Tuesday (?) and further up the coast of BCS by Wednesday or Thursday. One or two models show it tracking along the east cape, but most models have it land near Todos Santos or march up the west coast.

With luck, it will spare us all. The NHC site is very helpful for this information.

[Edited on 9-4-2022 by Zola]




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[*] posted on 9-4-2022 at 05:56 PM


The storm might be much weaker than originally projected, but still plenty potent, especially as it approaches the tip of BSC. It is likely to come very close to Todos Santos by Tuesday, then move northwest off the coast of BCS.



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