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oxxo
Super Nomad
Posts: 2137
Registered: 5-17-2006
Location: Wherever I am, I'm there
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Mood: If I was feeling any better, I'd be twins!
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Tides
Found the tide tables. Tomorrow there is a high tide at 1:42 pm of 3.1 feet at Cabo San Lucas. Height is not a real problem but timing is not good,
which will probably be right in the middle of all the action.
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Taco de Baja
Super Nomad
Posts: 1913
Registered: 4-14-2004
Location: Behind the Orange Curtain, CA
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Mood: Dreamin' of Baja
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| Quote: | Originally posted by oxxo
Can anyone tell me what the magnitude and times of the tides are in the Los Cabos tomorrow? My condo is on the third floor so I should be okay there.
But the bodega, which is packed full of stuff, is on the ground floor and it could get wet in there with the surge combined with a particularly high
tide.
Thanks.
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Should not be too high or too low as the moon is in its 1st 1/4 today- generally the highest lows and the lowest highs
Here is a link to the tides in La Paz, could not find one for Cabo. La Paz is close enough to be about the same. You can scroll arouns the site for
other cities if you want.
La Paz Tides
La Paz, Baja California Sur, Mexico
31 August 2006 - 1 September 2006
24.1617? N, 110.3450? W
2006-08-31 07:02 MDT Sunrise
2006-08-31 12:34 MDT 1.13 meters High Tide
2006-08-31 13:49 MDT Moonrise
2006-08-31 16:57 MDT First Quarter
2006-08-31 19:40 MDT Sunset
2006-09-01 00:26 MDT Moonset
2006-09-01 01:45 MDT 0.37 meters Low Tide
2006-09-01 07:02 MDT Sunrise
2006-09-01 13:12 MDT 1.08 meters High Tide
2006-09-01 14:49 MDT Moonrise
2006-09-01 19:39 MDT Sunset
[Edited on 9-1-2006 by Taco de Baja]
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Cypress
Elite Nomad
Posts: 7641
Registered: 3-12-2006
Location: on the bayou
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Mood: undecided
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If the storm hits at cat 3 strength the storm surge will be in excess of 10' to 15' and the waves will be topping it off, 8' to 10' high at a minimum.
Take some pictures before you leave, things will be very different when you return. Good Luck.
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thebajarunner
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3687
Registered: 9-8-2003
Location: Arizona....."Free at last from crumbling Cali
Member Is Offline
Mood: muy amable
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Sacramento t.v. is saying that Alaska Air is offering full refunds to anyone Baja bound.
Also, Alaska is trying to decide right now (5 p.m Thurs) whether to cancel some flights the next two days.
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oxxo
Super Nomad
Posts: 2137
Registered: 5-17-2006
Location: Wherever I am, I'm there
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Mood: If I was feeling any better, I'd be twins!
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www.bouyweather.com is now predicting winds of 38 to 51 knots and seas of 18 feet at 9 seconds (between wave crests) off the Cabo coast for Friday
morning and moderating on Friday afternoon.
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Bajabus
Senior Nomad
Posts: 892
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: Elias Calles B.C.S. or NC USA
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Mood: My friends..it's good.
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Report from Rick in Elias Calles as of 7:40 pm local time it is perfectly still,no breeze,nothing, temp it 88. Looks like it's gonna come in around
Cabo and exit around Todos Santos, Pescadero, Elias calles area. My worker came by, got paid and says the cats are ok.
"Preventive war was an invention of Hitler. Frankly I would not even listen to anyone seriously that came and talked of such a thing."
Dwight David Eisenhower
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
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Mood: mellow
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Well heres another opinion I think its going into the SOC where the water is warmer and build up. If it just goes to cabo it won't be strong enough
to do much damage. Its really difficult right now to tell were it is from the latest Sat. The following is latest advisery.
000
WTPZ31 KNHC 312348
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOHN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006
500 PM PDT THU AUG 31 2006
...CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE JOHN MOVING TOWARD SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABO CORRIENTES TO SAN
BLAS...INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY IN THESE AREAS SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA
PENINSULA FROM SAN EVERISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM
BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN
MEXICO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOHN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...
105 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LAS ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 210
MILES...340 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
JOHN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA ON FRIDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF THE
HURRICANE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTALS UP
TO 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CENTRAL WEST COAST OF MEXICO
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA AS WELL AS OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA
PENINSULA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES OVER AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
REPEATING THE 500 PM PDT POSITION...21.0 N...107.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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Bajabus
Senior Nomad
Posts: 892
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: Elias Calles B.C.S. or NC USA
Member Is Offline
Mood: My friends..it's good.
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I don't know how many folks here know Lou Quaccia out on the east cape. He is a fixture out there, nice guy, deeply religious, Owned a large
successful vineyard in CA before settling down in BCS. He built one of the first real luxury houses out there with all the modern conveniences. If
you drove the road years ago you would know the house I'm talking about, it stood out, huge communication tower (Juliette knocked it down once), tons
of solar, 2 massive Genny's, reverse osmosis, the works. He just sent this:
: HURICAN JUAN
DEAREST AMIGOS ?HOPING ALL IS WELL . THE DAY OF RECKONING IS ALMOST UPON US.WE PRAY TO EL SENOR TO GIVE US STRENGTH, COURAGE , AND
PERSERVERANCE TO WEATHER THIS STORM. AND, TO HELP THOSE WHO NEED HELP IN THE AFTERMATH.
JUAN WAS ABOUT 217 MILES SOUTHEAST OF US A 3PM. STRENGTH HAS DROPPED TO 90 KNOTS THAT,S GOOD NEWS BUT IT COULD STRENGTHEN BEFORE ARRIVING HERE AROUND
FRIDAY NOON.
IT SEEMS THE EYE IS ABOUT IN THE CSJ/PLYITA AREA.
THIS WILL I,M SURE BE A LONG NITE AND NXT DAY.. INTERESTING THAT SINCE I,VE BEEN HERE 12 YRS ALL THE HURRICANES HAVE ARRIVED AT NITE.
PLS NOTE SHEET NO. 3 GOES EAST ? IR THAT THE RAIN BANDS ARE BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO OUR AREA. LOOKS LIKE A LOT OF LLUVIA BEFORE THE CENTER ARRIVES.
QUE DIOS LOS BENDIGA- CUIDATE MUCHO- LOU-
[Edited on 1-9-2006 by Bajabus]
"Preventive war was an invention of Hitler. Frankly I would not even listen to anyone seriously that came and talked of such a thing."
Dwight David Eisenhower
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
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Mood: mellow
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Larry
Just my opinion, no other agenda, don't need the excitment, not bored plenty of projects.
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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Sallysouth
Super Nomad
Posts: 1835
Registered: 10-9-2003
Location: Capo Beach
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Mood: missing Baja...
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Just spoke with Mija in Cabo.No rain yet, very still.The calm before the storm you could say. Lots of prayers for my family and friends in Baja Sur
tonite........Sally
Happiness is just a Baja memory away...
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Bajagypsy
Super Nomad
Posts: 1416
Registered: 8-31-2006
Location: BahÃa Asuncion BCS
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Mood: Living the dream
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Shari & Juan and the zoo that lives with them
Just hoping that the hurricane doesn't get up to where you are, (This is Alilcia and Todd by the way), we can't wait to see you in November.
Hold on tight and lots of love
T & A and the zoo that lives with us
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Paula
Super Nomad
Posts: 2219
Registered: 1-5-2006
Location: Loreto
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Y'all think of me.....
Keep on dancing Judy, Comitan, Jesse, Lera, Lencho, all of you... I'll be hoping and dancing all the way up here with you....
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Sharksbaja
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5814
Registered: 9-7-2004
Location: Newport, Mulege B.C.S.
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Welp...
there IS a god!!
DON\'T SQUINT! Give yer eyes a break!
Try holding down [control] key and toggle the [+ and -] keys
Viva Mulege!
Nomads\' Sunsets
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BajaRob
Senior Nomad
Posts: 722
Registered: 9-15-2003
Location: Bahia Santa Maria y Newport Or
Member Is Offline
Mood: Life is good
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John
is now a cat 3 with sustained winds of 115 mph as of 11:00 pm Thursday. Central pressure is 960 mb. Tropical storm watch has been extended to Mulege.
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Shimmer
Junior Nomad
Posts: 69
Registered: 11-29-2005
Location: Todos Santo BCS
Member Is Offline
Mood: In the Question
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Rain have started in Todos Santos...... calm and raining large drops...... I am continueing my prep. It is going to be down to the wire for me here to
get all my shutters/plywood up.
Should I disconect/ shut off my Propane?
Judy...... how is San Jose this morning?
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Bajabus
Senior Nomad
Posts: 892
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: Elias Calles B.C.S. or NC USA
Member Is Offline
Mood: My friends..it's good.
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I would shut off the propane...ya never know. I hear the police have taken control of all the gas stations in Cabo. rain in EC started falling
lightly around 3:40 local time.
the most important things I got familiar with during juliette were numerous buckets around the house and lots of towels under the windows and
doors......just kept making the rounds wringing out towels into the buckets. Eventually it just got too hard to keep up...I looked like a prune by
the end of it. I remember at one point water was running out of the electrical boxes.......I had power and utilities turned off.
"Preventive war was an invention of Hitler. Frankly I would not even listen to anyone seriously that came and talked of such a thing."
Dwight David Eisenhower
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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5am advisory
HURRICANE JOHN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112006
500 AM PDT FRI SEP 01 2006
...POWERFUL JOHN HEADING TOWARD SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS AND THE
SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FROM SAN EVERISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST
COAST...AND FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS SOUTHWARD TO BAHIA
MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST...AND NORTHWARD FROM SAN EVERISTO
TO LORETO ON THE EAST COAST.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA TO PUNTA ABREOJOS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM LORETO NORTHWARD TO MULEGE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOHN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.8 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES
...160 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND
ABOUT 145 MILES...230 KM...WEST OF LAS ISLAS MARIAS MEXICO.
JOHN HAS SLOWED OVERNIGHT AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE DANGEROUS CORE OF
HURRICANE JOHN WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JOHN IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
CURRENTLY EN-ROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE INTENSITY OF THE HURRICANE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTALS UP TO 18 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE CENTRAL WEST COAST
OF MAINLAND MEXICO AS WELL AS OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES OVER AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
REPEATING THE 500 AM PDT POSITION...21.8 N...108.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM PDT.
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
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Pretty calm here with some rain. looking dark and ominous.
one thing to do around the windows is to lay a towel along the bottom with a little tail that runs into a bucket. It wicks the water into the bucket.
The banks are out of money and some of the pemex stations are out of gas.
Hasta
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
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BajaNews
Super Moderator
Posts: 1439
Registered: 12-11-2005
Member Is Offline
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Mexican residents, tourists brace for hurricane
http://www.azcentral.com/news/articles/0901HurricaneJohn01-O...
Associated Press
Sept. 1, 2006 05:55 AM
CABO SAN LUCAS, Mexico - Hurricane John strengthened Friday as it took aim at Mexico's Baja California peninsula, where authorities threatened to
forcibly evacuate people from their homes and thousands of tourists sheltered in hotel ballrooms.
John, which was upgraded to a Category 3 hurricane, was expected to make landfall somewhere along the southern tip of the peninsula around midday. The
storm had maximum sustained winds of 115 mph and could drop up to 18 inches of rain in places and create up to a 5-foot storm surge, forecasters at
the U.S. National Weather Center in Miami said.
John was about 100 miles southeast of Baja's tip early Friday, moving at 10 mph. A hurricane warning was in effect for the southern part of the
peninsula, including Cabo San Lucas and fellow resort San Jose del Cabo.
The storm's track was expected to take it out to sea this weekend, meaning there was little threat to the United States. Thus far, no deaths have been
reported.
Officials on Thursday ordered the evacuation of about 10,000 people from Cabo San Lucas and San Jose del Cabo and at least 5,000 others from La Paz,
the capital of the state of Baja California del Sur. Shelters had been set up at more than 100 schools.
In La Palma, where thousands of construction workers and hotel employees who work in the luxurious tourist resorts live under tarps and tarpaper
shacks along a dry riverbed, police drove by ordering residents to evacuate. "This is the last warning, the next time we'll come and force you to
leave," officers announced over loudspeakers.
State Gov. Narciso Agundez earlier said that residents who refuse to head for higher ground will be removed from their homes.
"I'm leaving for safety's sake. Things can be replaced, but not lives," said Ana Maria de Martinez, 60, as she nervously bundled up her tarps and few
items of clothing and climbed into a Mexican Navy truck.
At one school shelter, distraught mothers stared at the bare concrete floors as their children scampered around them, most unaware of the menace
approaching from the sea.
"I left more for the sake of my children's safety, than mine. I've already had a life, but they still have to live theirs," said Leonora Lazaro
Alonso, 30, as her 8-year-old son and two daughters, 4 and 6, explored their temporary home at the shelter.
Across the peninsula, shop owners and hotels boarded up windows and hotel workers stripped rooms of light fixtures and furniture, in case plate-glass
windows were shattered. Long lines snaked from gas stations and grocery store shelves were picked clean of many items.
Meanwhile, between 7,000 and 8,000 tourists who remained in Cabo San Lucas were relocated Thursday to hotel ballrooms and rooms away from the beach to
wait out the storm.
"There's no other place to go," said Bill Crowley, a 42-year-old tourist from Lakewood, Colo. "I would evacuate the first floor of these hotels, but
we're on the third floor, so we should be all right."
Paul Mares, also from Colorado, stocked up on a 12-pack of beer at a local store the evening before the hurricane was to strike, noting, "It's good to
be prepared."
Officials closed the local airport Thursday night, ending a mad scramble for last-minute flights. Driving out wasn't much of an alternative - there's
only one narrow road, 400 miles long, leading to Tijuana.
Tourism authorities said late Thursday that hotel occupancy rates were only about 40-50 percent, as most visitors had been advised to return home.
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