mtgoat666 - 9-12-2024 at 06:55 AM
Not officially a TS at the moment, but will be TS Ileana.
This storm looks to be the first of 2024 that will impact baja.
As of 5:00 AM PDT Thu Sep 12 2024...
Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located less than 200 miles southwest of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico continue to become
better organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to
form later today or tonight. Interests in the Mexican states of Baja California Sur, Sinaloa, and Sonora should closely monitor the progress of this
system. Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches will likely be required for some of those locations later this morning. Regardless of development heavy
rainfall is likely across portions of those locations.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=2
[img=800x]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP09/refresh/EP092024_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/150019_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png[/img]
[Edited on 9-12-2024 by mtgoat666]
wilderone - 9-12-2024 at 08:50 AM
Lot of detail here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ay-q2F_VZXw
pauldavidmena - 9-12-2024 at 10:36 AM
Including the 7-day forecast, which shows Ileana reaching the southern tip of Baja as a tropical storm by late Friday afternoon.
