[Edited on 7-1-2025 by AKgringo]StuckSucks - 6-26-2025 at 11:03 AM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jun 26 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico (EP95):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of the coast of
Guatemala is beginning to show some signs of organization.
Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for
development during the next few days, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by late this weekend while the system moves slowly
west-northwestward, off the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.pauldavidmena - 6-26-2025 at 11:07 AM
I saw something similar on weathernerds.org:
SFandH - 6-26-2025 at 02:56 PM
windy.com shows it hitting Cabo one week from today. There's a lot of uncertainty one week out.
As I said earlier, it is worth watching! Yesterday it did not show it with much of an impact, but the link SF&H posted looks more threatening
than when I posted mine five hours ago.
Then again, it could still fall apart or head west before reaching the cape.pauldavidmena - 6-27-2025 at 06:16 AM
The 10-day forecast for Todos Santos reflects the current models bringing rain to the area by next week.
Timo1 - 6-27-2025 at 01:29 PM
I just hope Flossie brings us much needed rainpauldavidmena - 6-28-2025 at 07:13 AM
If you switch from the wind speed model to rain and thunder, it looks like southern Baja will get some water delivered without getting blown apart!ligui - 6-30-2025 at 11:54 AM
Flying into Loreto on Thursday. Looking forward to seeing a little rain if it shows up
Was there when we got about a half an inch a moth ago.
Sure could use a bit more AKgringo - 6-30-2025 at 01:17 PM
I was in Los Barriles when it rained a few years ago. Until then, I had not realized that the "storm drain" was the low spot down the center of the
main road! pauldavidmena - 7-1-2025 at 05:52 AM
As of this morning, it looks like Flossie might not make a direct hit on Baja after all. One hopes that there might be a stray shower or two, but it
will be another few days before we know for sure.
StuckSucks - 7-2-2025 at 10:11 AM
StuckSucks - 7-3-2025 at 02:18 PM
StuckSucks - 7-3-2025 at 02:20 PM
Tropical Storm Flossie is centered near 20.6N 111.7W, or about
170 nm southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico at 03/1500 UTC, moving
west-northwest at 9 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is
1001 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50
kt. Latest satellite imagery shows that the system is devoid of
deep convection. Flossie has been reduced to a swirl of low to
mid-level type clouds, and is expected to maintain a general
west-northwestward to northwestward motion during the next couple
of days. Flossie should continue to steadily weaken, with the
cyclone expected to become a post-tropical low later today and a
remnant low tonight. It should dissipate completely by Sat
evening. Swells generated by Flossie will affect portions of the
coast of southwestern Mexico and the Baja California peninsula
during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-
threatening surf and rip current conditions.AKgringo - 7-3-2025 at 02:31 PM
Anybody down there getting wet right now? I would love to hear a local report from another Nomad.SFandH - 7-3-2025 at 02:54 PM
Perfect setup for some great surf along the Baja southern west coast.
