BajaNomad

Tropical Storm Marie

pauldavidmena - 9-1-2026 at 05:00 AM

It's too early to tell for certain if Marie will impact Baja, but it's never too soon to speculate! WeatherNerds has posted a number of models predicting the path of the storm, which seems more likely to hit LA than TJ.

SFandH - 9-1-2026 at 09:58 AM

The ocean temperature off the coast of San Diego at the Scripps Pier is 75 degrees. Hurricanes like 80-degree or higher water. SoCal may get a tropical storm, though.

pauldavidmena - 9-3-2026 at 04:35 AM

As was the case with Tropical Storm Karina, Hurricane Marie, while not directly impacting Baja, is drawing plenty of moisture, especially to southern Baja, in particular La Paz, as evidenced in this photo from El Independiente.

Don Jorge - 9-3-2026 at 01:55 PM

Given the current forecast models for this year it is possible that a tropical storm gets close to Pacific coast Baja California and or California.

Also quite posxible a strong Gulf of Alaska simultaneously rolls in from the north and combines to suck in copious amounts of the tropical moisture in a perfect storm moment. Weather nerd alert.

David K - 9-3-2026 at 03:57 PM

Gracias Don Jorge. That's the gleam in the eyes of the TV weather folks, too.
Everything comes in cycles, every few years.

Remember when a few Hwy. 1 bridges were washed out between Ensenada and El Rosario Valley? That was 2010.
See photo below, posted by BajaCactus on 1-23-2010 of Hwy. 1 crossing the Rosario Valley...

Every 5-10 years, we seem to get 1-2 years of wetter than 'typical' seasons. Notice that I didn't say "normal". none of us are alive long enough to see what normal weather is... if there is even such a thing! LOL


El Rosario bridge.jpg - 47kB

bill erhardt - 9-3-2026 at 07:33 PM

The SST on the Ridge outside Mag Bay last Saturday was 84+ degrees. About 10 degrees warmer than usual for this time of year. Often water that warm will draw storms roiling north along the coast onto Baja or even up into the Sea of Cortez, but so far all have veered west toward Hawaii south of Cabo. But, not to get complacent. There is still six weeks or so of storm season remaining.

mtgoat666 - 9-3-2026 at 09:39 PM

Quote: Originally posted by David K  
". none of us are alive long enough to see what normal weather is... if there is even such a thing!


I grew up in normal weather. Now is not normal. Science clearly shows us the climate has changed due to man’s green house gas pollution.
Give a hoot, dont pollute.
It aint easy being green.
Think global, act local.
Reduce, reuse, recycle.
Save the whales.

Ateo - 9-3-2026 at 11:17 PM

David, the remaining 3 members on this site really don't want to read your anti climate change FOX news talking points. Let's keep this about the big storm called Hurricane Marie that's currently off Baja....Or if you want we can just keep driving this site into irrelevance.

I'm headed down mañana to check the progress on my new place, get some tacos, surf, and sit by the pool.

Tioloco - 9-4-2026 at 05:51 AM

David, your observations are in line with mine. Hopefully we don't lose too many bridges on the highway this year. But in the case that we do, the locals always have a bypass setup rather quickly, fortunately. 60 years ago there were no bridges to wash out so we are fortunate for the highway we have now.

Like Ateo, I will burn some dinosaur fuel to go check on my place and have some tacos and cold cervezas on the beach. The security cameras just don't give me the same "feeling" as checking on it in person.

Ateo - 9-4-2026 at 07:26 AM

HaHa Tio. That was a good one.....

Actually today will be the first trip south of the border in an EV. Yes, I know the battery is full of toxic stuff and I do basically nothing to lower my carbon footprint other than have solar on my house (which was just a financial decision primarily).

Have a fun trip!

Waves should be nice.

Marie shut down Cabo Wabo in Cabo San Lucas

AKgringo - 9-4-2026 at 10:10 AM

Not my kind of tourist destination, but sorry to hear this anyway.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/travel/general/flooding-closes-sam...

JDCanuck - 9-4-2026 at 12:09 PM

Quote: Originally posted by Ateo  
HaHa Tio. That was a good one.....

Actually today will be the first trip south of the border in an EV. Yes, I know the battery is full of toxic stuff and I do basically nothing to lower my carbon footprint other than have solar on my house (which was just a financial decision primarily).

Have a fun trip!

Waves should be nice.


Ateo: I for one will be interested in hearing how the EV does down there. How far south are you heading and how many convenient places you find to recharge maybe? Perhaps not on this thread but a new one you start?

[Edited on 9-4-2026 by JDCanuck]

pauldavidmena - 9-5-2026 at 05:46 AM

The week's forecast looks fairly nasty - lots of rain and nowhere to put it.

JDCanuck - 9-5-2026 at 05:58 AM

We could only wish we had that amount of rain to refill all our dams up here, let alone those very high humidity levels. Does anyone know if BCS has any plans to build any significant reservoirs to take advantage of these seasonal rains? All we have heard about is the increasingly critical declines in aquifer levels in the area.

[Edited on 9-5-2026 by JDCanuck]

pauldavidmena - 9-6-2026 at 10:29 AM

I've read that efforts to build reservoirs to capture rainfall have not been successful, but the details escape me. It looks like there's plenty of rain coming to the region today.

Would you live downstream from a dam in Baja?

AKgringo - 9-6-2026 at 10:52 AM

Given the numerous and repeated failures of bridges and road systems in the well-known flood planes in Baja, I would have grave doubts that they would get the engineering right to add a reservoir to the drainage!

There is quite a difference between a water storage system and a flood control system.

JDCanuck - 9-6-2026 at 11:31 AM

Seems a shame to let all that rainfall go to waste when they are spending so much on desalination plants and drawing down the aquifers so rapidly at the same time. Where we built we had a few things that made it uniquely challenging. Some of the very best solar capability in NA, steady winds and very high humidity with very heavy infrequent rainfalls that did a lot of damage to existing homes grouped around the seasonal watersheds or flood zones.
I did come across the El Novillo dam project for La Paz with a mid 2027 expected completion date to provide water and some flood reduction for the 250,000 homes in La Paz watershed
https://mexicobusiness.news/infrastructure/news/el-novillo-d...



[Edited on 9-6-2026 by JDCanuck]

pauldavidmena - 9-6-2026 at 03:16 PM

On the "Todos Santos Newsfeed" Facebook group, there are quite a few reports of dogs getting spooked by thunder and lightning and running away. It's fairly common for locals and expats alike to allow their dogs free reign during the day with the understanding that they'll be home at night, but the weather has thrown a monkey wrench into that idea.

Ateo - 9-6-2026 at 04:23 PM

Massive waves all weekend in Baja where I was.........even empty lineups that usually have 25 guys. I got rolled over the rocks at high tide coming in and I'm happy to be alive.

Time for some tacos.

David K - 9-6-2026 at 06:01 PM

Ateo, just be nice., remember that we met at one of your gas station jobs.
When I was a kid in the 60s, there was no Fox News, just Walter Cronkite... and that's the way it was... yadda yadda yadda. 😉
You need to be over 60 to relate to that, I think?

So, here in North County San Diego, we got rain this morning! Not a lot, but the streets had water flowing. The rest of the day it was warm to hot, overcast, and high humidity. Like Hawaii, or Loreto in summer!
Now, have a nice evening.