Bajabus - 10-21-2003 at 09:34 AM
Tropical storm Patricia has turned into a hurricane and because of the low over cabo right now is shifting towards us. I havent even fixed the window
or the roof yet.
Anonymous - 10-21-2003 at 09:43 AM
Bus:
Just saw that. Hope it turns to the northwest in the usual fashion. I just got back from a week of clean up at my place.
Good luck and keep us posted, please.
Bajabus - 10-21-2003 at 09:49 AM
I hope so My house can't take it. The weather here has been crazy. Yesterday in EC we got a coupla inches of rain and pea sized hail! Nobody has
ever remembered seeing that around here in a long time.
Hope not.......
Tucker - 10-21-2003 at 09:51 AM
My source shows that on the projected path it should be near La Paz in five days. That could ruin my shopping spree in Costco, in CSL.
Not again
Baja Again - 10-21-2003 at 09:56 AM
I'm headed back down in 3 or 4 weeks, what do you guys need? More repellants ? I have a bunch of nails and stuff.
Bajabus - 10-21-2003 at 10:15 AM
I think Hunter Thompson said it best "bring money, guns and lawyers"
No just kidding. In the poorer barrios and mountain ranchos, bug repellant, mosquito netting, nails, tarps ropes, shade netting, rolls chicken
wiring. bailing wire. Canned food and milk, stuff like that would probably be greatly appreciated
Hurricane Patricia
Bob H - 10-21-2003 at 01:23 PM
Here's the latest from noaa on Hurricane Patricia. Bob H
HURRICANE PATRICIA DISCUSSION NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
ISSUED BY HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
8 AM PDT TUE OCT 21 2003
THE ESTIMATED INITIAL MOTION IS 315/8. THERE IS A MID-TROPOSPHERIC
LOW CENTERED NEAR CABO SAN LUCAS AND A WEAK RIDGE JUST NORTH AND
EAST OF PATRICIA. THE GFDL AND UKMET MODELS TURN A STRENGTHENING
STORM NORTHWARD TOWARD THE LOW WHILE THE GFS AND NOGAPS SHOW A
WEAKER SYSTEM MOVING ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK. THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST TRACK LEANS MORE TOWARD THE NORTHWARD SOLUTION...WHICH IS
SHIFTED RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TO BE A CLOSER TO THOSE
MODELS...AS WELL AS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE STORMS MORE RECENT NORTHWEST
MOTION.
THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 65 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK
T-NUMBERS OF 4.0 FROM ALL AGENCIES. THE INTENSITY MODELS SHOW
ANYWHERE FROM SLIGHT TO SIGNIFICANT STRENTHENING FOR PATRICIA.
CONSIDERING ITS FAIRLY RAPID JUMP TO HURRICANE INTENSITY...THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST BRINGS THE STORM UP TO 90 KTS BY HR 36 BEFORE
SHEAR BEGINS TO WEAKEN THE STORM.
FORECASTER ROTH
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 21/1500Z 11.8N 103.5W 65 KT
12HR VT 22/0000Z 12.5N 104.5W 75 KT
24HR VT 22/1200Z 13.6N 105.8W 85 KT
36HR VT 23/0000Z 14.4N 106.8W 90 KT
48HR VT 23/1200Z 15.1N 107.7W 90 KT
72HR VT 24/1200Z 17.0N 109.1W 85 KT
96HR VT 25/1200Z 19.2N 109.4W 75 KT
120HR VT 26/1200Z 22.1N 108.8W 65 KT
Storm grows to hurricane, may head for Baja
Family Guy - 10-21-2003 at 06:36 PM
Associated Press
Oct. 21, 2003 09:20 AM
MEXICO CITY - Yet another Pacific hurricane appears to be headed toward the storm-battered Baja California peninsula, forecasters said Tuesday.
The U.S. National Hurricane Center said that Tropical Storm Patricia grew to hurricane force on Tuesday and the still-iffy long-term forecast track
would put it close to the tip of the Baja California peninsula by Sunday.
The storm was about 430 miles southwest of Acapulco on Tuesday and it was estimated to have maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.
Forecasters said it was likely to strengthen for about two days and then gradually lose force while heading to the north-northwest.
The Los Cabos resort area and the Baja California Sur state capital of La Paz already have been hit by two hurricanes this season and were threatened
by two other storms.
Hurricane Ignacio in August and Hurricane Marty in September killed five people, cut highways, knocked out bridges and damaged 4,000 houses, according
to state spokesman Humberto Zamora.
He said total damage from the two storms was estimated at 1 billion pesos - $90.9 million.
Zamora said the highways and bridges have been restored "and we are working on the housing."