tehag - 10-19-2007 at 07:07 AM
TS Kiko has broken out of its holding pattern, is strengthening, and may just be coming our way. Watch it!
Hook - 10-19-2007 at 08:08 AM
Wonder how/if it will be affected by the smokin' strong high pressure that's setting up in the Southwest? Temps approaching 100 and high winds
predicted by Sunday and continuing into the next week.
vandenberg - 10-19-2007 at 01:21 PM
Keep an eye on this one. The GFDL computer graph, which is usually right on, shows it going right up the Pacific coast side.
Bajalero - 10-19-2007 at 07:02 PM
We're building high pressure in Socal right now- 1st significant Santa Ana of the season. Looks to max out Sunday and Monday so the SOC is likely to
get blown out for a few days. I imagine Kiko will bump into that and stay out of the gulf
FWIW, justa WAG
vandenberg - 10-20-2007 at 06:46 AM
Latest 5 day prediction
vandenberg - 10-20-2007 at 06:48 AM
and computer graphes, with the GFDL usually the most accurate
kiko
tehag - 10-20-2007 at 01:58 PM
Sitting relatively still on warm water for days on end have allowed Kiko to grow quite large. In the sat image it looks to be over 200 miles wide.
Even if the barely defined eye misses Baja completely, we are going to have some weather from this one. It has also gotten much stronger. Not yet the
"H" word, but only 5MPH short now. Again, watch this one!
Al G - 10-20-2007 at 02:19 PM
The GFDL seems most alway the accurate so this one could bring a lot of rain...hoping it slips more west.
Edit: sorry Van...missed your reference to GDFL
[Edited on 10-20-2007 by Al G]
bajajazz - 10-20-2007 at 10:34 PM
The latest GFDL I looked at it is the strangest storm track I've ever seen. It shows Kiko moving east and doing a bank shot off the Mexican mainland,
then carooming back across the Sea of Cortez, going straight across the Baja peninsula and entering the Pacific somewhere around Todos Santos.
Oddness, Murray, oddness.
Russ - 10-21-2007 at 05:28 AM
"SINCE KIKO IS CURRENTLY MOVING PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF MEXICO AND THE WESTWARD TURN IS BY NO MEANS CERTAIN TO MATERIALIZE...INTERESTS ALONG THE
WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO AND IN BAJA CALIFORNIA...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE KIKO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS."
vandenberg - 10-21-2007 at 06:23 AM
The GFDL graph still has it coming in our direction.
shari - 10-21-2007 at 10:22 AM
don't know if it's from Kiko but there is a rather big SSW swell building! Was that supposed to be a secret???
Minnow - 10-21-2007 at 12:19 PM
Supposed to be 5 to 10 in SD by tuesday.
SWELL
rob - 10-21-2007 at 03:49 PM
Here at the rancho (due west of La Paz on the Pacific) there are LARGE swells this afternoon - I think at least 5-6 feet off the point and building.
So unfriendly in fact, we did not go for our usual afternoon swim on our "safe" beach.
bajajudy - 10-21-2007 at 04:00 PM
It is swell here in San Jose as well
However, we are taking down our storm shutters tomorrow after over a month of darkness.