BajaNomad - Tropical Depression 11E-Now TS Julio

Tropical Depression 11E-Now TS Julio

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Hook - 8-23-2008 at 10:59 AM

This has the chance of forming into at least a trop storm and possibly impacting the peninsula.

description

[Edited on 8-23-2008 by Hook]

[Edited on 8-24-2008 by Hook]

rpleger - 8-23-2008 at 11:09 AM

Hook....thanks for the heads up...we will keep an eye on it...

Thanks again

Osprey - 8-23-2008 at 11:23 AM

we're getting some rain from it's northernmost outer bands right now in East Cape but most of the tracks will now take it west like the rest.

We could get some more rain Sunday night or Monday

DianaT - 8-23-2008 at 11:41 AM

Interesting one---one model shows it headed straight for our area. A little rain would be nice, but lots of rain at one time really causes lots of damage around here.

vandenberg - 8-23-2008 at 12:35 PM

Does look promising for at least some rain.

11E 8-23.gif - 38kB

BajaWarrior - 8-23-2008 at 01:01 PM

Ya, not good. Looks like it'll punch back out heading east at around Gonzaga Bay by Thursdayif that image is correct...

We'll be north of there for 6 days starting Tuesday. We might get a little wet...

Julio

bajajudy - 8-23-2008 at 03:32 PM

Now TS Julio

We are under a tropical storm watch

AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM SANTA
FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AROUND THE PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO
BUENAVISTA ON THE EAST COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

[Edited on 8-23-2008 by bajajudy]

cabobaja - 8-23-2008 at 03:59 PM

Reporting from Elias Callas. I have not seen this much rain and lighting, thunder activity in years. Of course there is no explanation here in BCS. It can pour here for an hour, and not a drop in Todos or Cabo.

*&%&, it just starting pouring. I gota go.

bajajudy - 8-23-2008 at 08:42 PM

I do not like the looks of this even if it is only a tropical storm
...can you say Fay?

I live on an island if the San Jose arroyo floods.

julio.gif - 30kB

bajaguy - 8-23-2008 at 09:19 PM

Interesting link from NOAA:

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browsp3.html

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/WCIR2.html

[Edited on 8-24-2008 by bajaguy]

Hook - 8-23-2008 at 10:30 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by bajajudy
I do not like the looks of this even if it is only a tropical storm
...can you say Fay?

I live on an island if the San Jose arroyo floods.

How about that GFS model.............a circumnavigation of Bahia de La Paz?

flyfishinPam - 8-24-2008 at 06:11 AM

the leading edge of the cloudmass is visible to the south of Loreto and approaching pretty quickly. water looks smooth for now so I sent out the boats, they were tentative pending conditions. I don't think we'll be fishing tomorrow but we'll see. rain is good we can always use it, prepare ahead of time.

Bob and Susan - 8-24-2008 at 06:32 AM

here is sunday's update

looks like alot of water

"prepare for punishment" :saint:

palmeto99 - 8-24-2008 at 07:15 AM

Sure glad I buttoned up the shack and headed north last week.
Good luck and stay safe. :cool:

cabobaja - 8-24-2008 at 07:49 AM

It's pouring and it is going to get worse. No wind yet. Supposed to hit us dead on late this afternoon.

bobw - 8-24-2008 at 07:51 AM

Good luck to all Nomads in the path...

oxxo - 8-24-2008 at 07:59 AM

9am just west of San Jose.

Light rain, with an occasional shower. Wind about 20 with higher gusts. 100% cloud cover. Very angry surf. Storm center expected to pass later today. It's one of those popcorn and cerveza days.

longlegsinlapaz - 8-24-2008 at 08:16 AM

9:15 AM Centenario

Rained during the night.....now raining intermittently light-moderate & calm, virtually NO wind & I'm up on a hill where there is always a breeze! Unfortunately, all the various BUGS musta also checked the weather site too, because it appears they're moving inside, with luggage! :no:

CaboRon - 8-24-2008 at 08:18 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by cabobaja
It's pouring and it is going to get worse. No wind yet. Supposed to hit us dead on late this afternoon.

Where are you ?????????????????

While all weather posts are welcome ... if there is no clue as to your location ... the post is close to worthless.

Please, location, location, location.

CaboRon

[Edited on 8-24-2008 by CaboRon]

rob - 8-24-2008 at 08:42 AM

Sunday 9.44am, Rancho la Aguja, Pacific Coast due west of La Paz.

Outer band hit us 34 minutes ago - heavy rain, little wind. No swell.

palmeto99 - 8-24-2008 at 09:18 AM

Are there anymore reports of this storm?

longlegsinlapaz - 8-24-2008 at 09:20 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by CaboRon

Quote:

Originally posted by cabobaja
It's pouring and it is going to get worse. No wind yet. Supposed to hit us dead on late this afternoon.

Where are you ?????????????????

While all weather posts are welcome ... if there is no clue as to your location ... the post is close to worthless.

Please, location, location, location.

CaboRon

Well, based on his username, I'd guess Cabo, but in light of the fact that you're CaboRon & happen to be in Todos Santos, I guess that might screw up that logic!

Relax & look out the window. For all practical purposes, you don't need to start worrying until & unless the wind picks up big time (100 mph) or you start to see pangas floating past your place! :lol:

maspacifico - 8-24-2008 at 09:24 AM

I'm on the East Cape south of Los Frailes. Gusty winds about 30, my five gallon rain gauge says about 2" since midnight. That's when we had to abandon the upstairs bed. Hasn't rained much in the last couple hours here, just the wind. Looks like Cabo and Todos Santos are going to be in the way on this one. Does anyone know how the arroyo's are around La Ribera? Have some people supposed to fly out late today from SJD.

cabobaja - 8-24-2008 at 09:28 AM

CaboRon, if you had read my earlier post you would have seen I am 18 miles south of you in Elias Calles.

CaboRon - 8-24-2008 at 09:28 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by longlegsinlapaz

Quote:

Originally posted by CaboRon

Quote:

Originally posted by cabobaja
It's pouring and it is going to get worse. No wind yet. Supposed to hit us dead on late this afternoon.

Where are you ?????????????????

While all weather posts are welcome ... if there is no clue as to your location ... the post is close to worthless.

Please, location, location, location.

CaboRon

Hey, what can I say Longleggs, I was planning on retireing in Cabo San Lucas ...

Things change .....

The name came long before the move.

If I change my name now, I would lose my super duper nomad status :lol:

CaboRon

[Edited on 8-24-2008 by CaboRon]

CaboRon - 8-24-2008 at 09:31 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by cabobaja
CaboRon, if you had read my earlier post you would have seen I am 18 miles south of you in Elias Calles.

It would be simpler if you would put your location in the sidebar.

On a weather thread, I only read the most current entries, not yesterdays, which have little or no meaning to the current conditions.

NBD

CAboRon

oxxo - 8-24-2008 at 10:21 AM

11am, just west of San Jose

Some rain, but not heavy. Wind about 25 to 30. Wind is easterly, which means the center of the storm is west of us. Still have power. No flooding in my area. All roads open in my area. BIG SURF. Really, not too much going on at this time.

BajaJudy, can you give us a report? What is the status of the arroyo out your way?

palmeto99 - 8-24-2008 at 10:21 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by longlegsinlapaz

Quote:

Originally posted by CaboRon

Quote:

Originally posted by cabobaja
It's pouring and it is going to get worse. No wind yet. Supposed to hit us dead on late this afternoon.

Where are you ?????????????????

While all weather posts are welcome ... if there is no clue as to your location ... the post is close to worthless.

Please, location, location, location.

CaboRon

And to think that I thought you were a show girl from Bolivia. :lol:

Bob H - 8-24-2008 at 10:31 AM

August 24th from the National Hurricane Center's site...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep1+shtml/145013.sh...

You may have to copy and paste this link to make it work.

Bob H

[Edited on 8-24-2008 by Bob H]

[Edited on 8-25-2008 by BajaNomad]

David K - 8-24-2008 at 10:58 AM

This makes a trip south of San Felipe interesting for next weekend!

Von - 8-24-2008 at 11:10 AM

Hey, I dont see nada from here.

The sky pretty clear.

Ill be waiting for it...hahahahaha....

vandenberg - 8-24-2008 at 11:34 AM

Had the first downpour here in Nopolo. Heavy rain for about 20 min. with some windgusts to maybe 25 mph.
This is, according to sat.pics, only the beginning of this storm and it's very outer reaches. Lots to come. It's just reaching Cabo.

livencabo - 8-24-2008 at 11:42 AM

When and if the going gets rough, try NOAA as long as your computer and or cell phone works. Cabo Mil on the computer via iTunes got me through one long night.The worst part of a severe weather event is the isolation and wondering how long before the roof or the doors or windows are going to blow out.
If you are in the path of an arroyo or at the shoreline, consider moving yourself to a place where you can appreciate the power of nature without a too subjective experience.
As a final note, I was a bit miffed and downright rude to a Mexican family who invited themselves into my house as FAUSTO approached. I sure sang another tune when that storm broadsided Todos and they sprang into action to protect my house, my car, my pets and me. After the storm subsided they cleaned up my place, fallen trees and all and went back to repair their sti ck and mud walls and palapa roof.

[Edited on 8-24-2008 by livencabo]

BajaWarrior - 8-24-2008 at 11:51 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by David K
This makes a trip south of San Felipe interesting for next weekend!

David,

we're heading down this Tuesday and staying until the Holiday, so we should catch all of that lousy weather. Stop on by if your near...

bajalou - 8-24-2008 at 12:17 PM

This afternoon the predictions showing it missing San Felipe

http://www.eebmike.com/

What will they predict tomorrow?

David K - 8-24-2008 at 12:21 PM

Lou are you there now??

Bob and Susan - 8-24-2008 at 01:04 PM

lots of water here...in mulege on the bay

lots of mud too...

it quit for now

bajajudy - 8-24-2008 at 01:10 PM

We had a little over an inch of rain during the night.
Now sprinkles and gusts of no more than 20mph.
Still pretty dark but nothing scary.
Road open as of now(2:00pm) but not much traffic. Well, except for the dump truck puerto los cabos is sending down the road to fill in the holes.
Here is 1,000 words
http://smn.cna.gob.mx/satelite/goesE/loops/ir4mex/default1.h...

BajaWarrior - 8-24-2008 at 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by bajalou
This afternoon the predictions showing it missing San Felipe

http://www.eebmike.com/

What will they predict tomorrow?

I don't know Lou...

That looks like a direct hit or very close to me, just give it another day of forecast... plus factor in the high tides we're experiancing on Thursday, high waves and storm surge, spells recipe for disaster for the homes on the beaches...

Hopefully it won't bring a lot of rain, as the roads are in bad enough shape as it is...

bajalou - 8-24-2008 at 01:21 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by David K
Lou are you there now??

No David, I'm in New Mexico.

bajalou - 8-24-2008 at 01:26 PM

The predictions from Weather Underground I just looked at show 2 paths way to the east, onshore in Sonora or close. 1 ending around LA Bay and 2 heading out to sea from Cabo.

Of course the Sonora tracks would produce some rain and wind, but nothing like Nora in 97 when if came almost directly over San Felipe.

Always hoping for the best--

vandenberg - 8-24-2008 at 01:45 PM

The latest animation kind of shows Julio taking a small westerly turn away from Baja's west coast. So, maybe the peninsula in for a good soaking without the winds. Steady rain here in Nopolo, but nothing we can't handle. Temps dropped into high 70's. Nice. :bounce:

[Edited on 8-24-2008 by vandenberg]

CaboRon - 8-24-2008 at 01:53 PM

1450 hr. here is Todos Santos

We are getting very blustery winds with a dark sky.

Seems to be in bands of very dark to light sky.

No real rain so far but a lot of wind.

Power was off and on a couple of times but holding now.

Temp. is 87 F. Wind coming from the West South West ..

CaboRon

vandenberg - 8-24-2008 at 01:54 PM

Sat. image

julio1 (Custom).jpg - 48kB

Pebbles - 8-24-2008 at 02:26 PM

I live in Loreto Bay in Nopolo.
It is 3:30PM Sunday.
We had a nice rain a couple of hours ago.
Now it is a gentle rain with no wind

You're just kidding....right??

Sharksbaja - 8-24-2008 at 02:34 PM

snap_a.jpg - 48kB

Bob H - 8-24-2008 at 02:40 PM

TROPICAL STORM JULIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112008
2100 UTC SUN AUG 24 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS ON THE WEST COAST AROUND
THE PENINSULA AND NORTHWARD TO MULEGE ON THE EAST COAST.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO EL
POCITO...AND ALONG THE EAST COAST NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN
BAUTISTA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 110.2W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 60SE 60SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 110.2W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 110.1W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 24.4N 111.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 60SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 25.9N 111.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 60SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 27.4N 112.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 28.4N 113.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 29.5N 113.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 110.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

Bob H - 8-24-2008 at 02:43 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by David K
This makes a trip south of San Felipe interesting for next weekend!

David, I would think that it will all be over by the time you get down there on Saturday... you will probably have wonderful weather with nice breezes.
Bob H

Pebbles - 8-24-2008 at 03:05 PM

I am not kidding.
I am just stating what is happening right now in Loreto Bay. In fact I just went over to Loreto Bay Inn and there are very few people there.
There is a group of guys sitting under a covering by the pool having a drink.
Obviously there is a big storm around but right now at 4:00 pm it is a gentle rain with no wind.

bajajudy - 8-24-2008 at 03:10 PM

Sharks
I know that looks bad but it has been a non event here too.
We have had sprinkles and some gusts but nothing serious.
The rain is welcomed and the wind has blown all the dead leaves off my ficus and jasmine...kind of a wind pruning.

[Edited on 8-24-2008 by bajajudy]

Sharksbaja - 8-24-2008 at 03:18 PM

Thanks Judy for the words of moral support . Granted the storm lacks the punch of John but remember the flood that swept thru Mulege had little or no winds with it. It's those big mountains behind there.

Do you have a pic of the beans?

CaboRon - 8-24-2008 at 03:20 PM

1615 hrs. Todos Santos Sunday

Another band approaching from WSW with lightening included in this one.

Lightening is still about two miles off the coast.
Temp. 84 F.

Will be shutting down soon as I am afraid the fifteen foot mast on my roof might become a lightening rod. So will disconnect the transmitter/receiver ... shut of power to trans and unplug the LAN cable from my computer.

This is my first storm so I am not sure what to expect.

I am hoping my power stays on as I have a triple feature running in my home theatre !!!

Rain just started.

More updates later.

CaboRon

[Edited on 8-24-2008 by CaboRon]

longlegsinlapaz - 8-24-2008 at 03:49 PM

Judy summed it up well! Other than a little rain, Julio is a non-event for Centenario/La Paz area. No thunder & lightening here since Saturday around noon. It DOES look bad on the weather sites, but it must just be clouds, Still no wind here...nary a breeze.

Of course, in typical fashion, it could just be waiting for nightfall to lamblast us! :lol:

Bob and Susan - 8-24-2008 at 04:06 PM

sharkman...5:04 and just light sprinkles here on the bay

the pubelo looks pretty clear still...from here

the clouds are up in the mountains

Cypress - 8-24-2008 at 04:11 PM

Julio? Maybe a little rain, at most, less than half that of Hurricane John.

WTF!

That's six feet of water spilling over the banks of the Rio Mulege.

Just joking! :lol:

Expect it will be a breeze with a few showers. A welcome rain and maybe cool things off. :yes:

oxxo - 8-24-2008 at 04:11 PM

5pm Its over in my section of San Jose. Not much rain at all today. Some gusty winds. That's about it. Ocean is laying down nicely. People are out walking the beach right now.

bigmike - 8-24-2008 at 04:15 PM

Wow we just had a small thunderstorm and rain here in Punta Banda south of Ensenada, hope it rains alot as we need it badly.

CaboRon - 8-24-2008 at 04:18 PM

1715 hrs. Todos Santos

Lightening has passed and now it is

Raining like crazy, never seen this much rain in my life.

CaboRon

Hook - 8-24-2008 at 04:57 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by CaboRon
1715 hrs. Todos Santos

Lightening has passed and now it is

Raining like crazy, never seen this much rain in my life.

CaboRon

Rain coming down straight or wind associated with it, Ron?

Very threatening skies to the SW over here on the Sonoran coast.

David K - 8-24-2008 at 05:02 PM

Marv Sherrill and others in L.A. Bay... and any Gonzaga Bay Nomads, Puertecitos and San Felipe area Nomads... Please let us hear from you as the storm hits... Thanks!

CaboRon - 8-24-2008 at 05:28 PM

Hook,

The rain was coming in sideways from the West.

AT 1830 hrs now we are back to calm with light rain.

Maybe it's over, hard to tell.

CAboRon

Pebbles - 8-24-2008 at 05:43 PM

6:40PM. Still continuous gentle rain but no wind in Loreto Bay. However it is looking darker in the south.
Just drove into town. The traffic signal is working by El Pescador. I can't remember the last time it was working.
They just put in the world's biggest speed bumps in Loreto Bay. Glad to see they had money leftover to fixed the traffic signal.

shari - 8-24-2008 at 06:15 PM

thanks all for your udates as we are glued to this site to find out how fast it is approaching our area...we had a gorgeous clear sunny day, 15 knots of wind from the west and nice warm water...we were swimming all afternoon keeping an eye on the nasty looking clouds over Mulege and hoping the west wind continues to blow to keep most of it away from us..although a nice little rain would be lovely....be safe fellow nomads and keep the reports coming....much appreciated.

Report from San Juanico at 6:30 pm PST

Juan del Rio - 8-24-2008 at 06:56 PM

Here is a report from Jaime Adkins in San Juanico:

"Forget the forecast, we just got blasted with a few inches of rain at about 30knts. If that's what's coming it should be green real here real soon. Charging my batteries during the break. Could be down for days. I'll keep you posted on the situation in the arroyos."

If I get anything else from the San Juanico area, I'll post.

Pebbles - 8-24-2008 at 07:00 PM

8:000pm in Loreto Bay. It is dark now; a little breeze but right now is not raining at all.

vandenberg - 8-24-2008 at 07:10 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Pebbles
They just put in the world's biggest speed bumps in Loreto Bay.

What do they need "TOPES" for :?:

Aren't you folks supposed to live in a car free environment, with electric carts, bicicles and walking shoes. :biggrin:

palmeto99 - 8-24-2008 at 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by vandenberg

Quote:

Originally posted by Pebbles
They just put in the world's biggest speed bumps in Loreto Bay.

What do they need "TOPES" for :?:

Aren't you folks supposed to live in a car free environment, with electric carts, bicicles and walking shoes. :biggrin:

Vandenberg,

Seems the attitude is swelling to larger proportions.
:cool:

Bob and Susan - 8-24-2008 at 07:53 PM

i heard the plane to loreto from lax was turned back today...

could not land

BajaNews - 8-24-2008 at 08:10 PM

TROPICAL STORM JULIO ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112008
800 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 2008

...JULIO BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ABREOJOS ON THE WEST COAST AROUND
THE PENINSULA AND NORTHWARD TO MULEGE ON THE EAST COAST.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NORTH OF PUNTA ABREOJOS TO EL POCITO...
AND ALONG THE EAST COAST NORTH OF MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN
BAUTISTA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIO WAS
ESTIMATED TO BE INLAND OVER THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA NEAR
LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.1 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES... 85 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO.

JULIO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH
A TURN TO THE NORTH EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. THE FORECAST TRACK TAKES
THE CENTER OF JULIO UP THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA BY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JULIO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

JULIO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.

flyfishinPam - 8-24-2008 at 08:14 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Bob and Susan
i heard the plane to loreto from lax was turned back today...

could not land

Airport is closed till Tuesday.
Raining hard in Loreto now. Thunder and lightning too. From the sat img it may go through the night.

BajaNews - 8-24-2008 at 08:22 PM

NOAA 3-day

cone7a.gif - 17kB

bajajudy - 8-24-2008 at 08:28 PM

This storm did not drop below 10mph from the first time I saw any data.
Moving fast is a good thing! When they stall, they accumulate moisture.

Sunman - 8-24-2008 at 08:29 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Juan del Rio
Here is a report from Jaime Adkins in San Juanico:

"Forget the forecast, we just got blasted with a few inches of rain at about 30knts. If that's what's coming it should be green real here real soon. Charging my batteries during the break. Could be down for days. I'll keep you posted on the situation in the arroyos."

If I get anything else from the San Juanico area, I'll post.

PLEASE do, heading that direction on Friday.

BajaNews - 8-24-2008 at 08:33 PM

.

[Edited on 8-25-2008 by BajaNews]

anim7a.gif - 50kB

Pebbles - 8-24-2008 at 09:08 PM

10:00PM
Just took my gin and tonic up to the upper deck and checked the weather.
It is breezy but not raining. Streets actually starting to dry a little but feels like it will be windy and rainy throughout the night. Hope that is all it is.

The world's biggest topes are actually in Nopolo just off highway 1 on the road going to Loreto Bay and they are not in Loreto Bay. They sure are discouraging us from having small cars because a small car will get hung on those suckers. They must be at least 8" tall, 4 feet wide with sharp edges not rounded corners

rpleger - 8-24-2008 at 10:57 PM

Midnight here in Mulegé...a little rain and wind...no big deal yet...

Pebbles - 8-24-2008 at 11:01 PM

Midnight in Loreto Bay
Rain, lightning and a little wind.
Nothing serious but it feels like it will be this way for a while.

Hook - 8-24-2008 at 11:17 PM

What time zone are you guys observing down there? Does BCS observe daylight savings time?

Pebbles - 8-24-2008 at 11:47 PM

yes Loreto has daylight saving time.
I believe it is mountain daylight time; same as Denver.
It is confusing because Sonora where Hermosillo is does not follow daylight saving time. Hermosillo is one hour earlier even though it is east of Baja.
Continue to rain with thunder and lightning at 12:40AM

Pebbles - 8-25-2008 at 01:04 AM

Strong thunder and lightning storm just passed Loreto Bay between 1:00 and 2:00.
There has been a lot of rain and it is continuing.
No wind to speak of.

CJ - 8-25-2008 at 02:51 AM

It's 3:50 AM in Loreto. It has been raining hard with a lot of thunder for the last two hours

losfrailes - 8-25-2008 at 05:26 AM

Ejido San Lucas, just south of Santa Rosalia. BIG TIME rain. its 0621 hours, MST.

Everything gonna be real grean soon!!!!!!!

Post time shows PST, but here its MST

[Edited on 8-25-2008 by losfrailes]

Hook - 8-25-2008 at 05:54 AM

Outer edges of the clouds with high, cold tops starting to reach the Sonoran coast near San Carlos. LARGE drops starting..........but no wind at all.

It's 5:51 here in Sonora, yet WE are on MST..........confusing.

Or have I been living an hour off for my first nine days of retirement in Mexico..............nah, cant be. Happy hours here are ending when they are supposed to. :no:

[Edited on 8-25-2008 by Hook]

Hook - 8-25-2008 at 05:56 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by losfrailes
Ejido San Lucas, just south of Santa Rosalia. BIG TIME rain. its 0621 hours, MST.

Everything gonna be real grean soon!!!!!!!

Post time shows PST, but here its MST

[Edited on 8-25-2008 by losfrailes]

Oh dear.

We need a report from Mulege proper...............I dont think I'd be hanging around the rio right now.

flyfishinPam - 8-25-2008 at 05:56 AM

Starting at midnight lots of rain thunder lightening cell tower was out till about 5am now steady rain at 7am should continue for several more hours. Town must be a mess always is when it rains.

mulege

mulege marv - 8-25-2008 at 05:58 AM

it has been raining hard all nite with several electrical outages. there is no wind just a steady downpour, the river has not shown any signs of excessive flow so far, keeping our fingers crossed.

Pebbles - 8-25-2008 at 06:24 AM

I complain about the world's biggest topes but my compliments to Nopolo's utility. I dont think electricity ever went off in Loreto Bay.

Main street on South end near Loreto Bay Inn is clear but there are no cars or trucks on the street.

I have to believe the lower streets coming into Loreto Bay are flooded.
Light rain now with very gray skies in Loreto Bay.

Bob and Susan - 8-25-2008 at 06:27 AM

raining hard on the bay here in mulege...

lots of lightning last night

wind really blew at 3am till 5am
the rain was almost horizontal

we got 3 inches of rain between 12am and 6am

ALOT of water came down FAST!!!

Cypress - 8-25-2008 at 07:11 AM

TS Julio is moving at towards the NNW 15 MPH. Centered at 26.3N and 112W about 2 hrs ago.

shari - 8-25-2008 at 07:17 AM

It's 8:15 and the police just announced school cancellation...kids are happy. It is cloudy and humidcalm seas...no wind, no rain but looks ominous out there. Be safe everyone...dont try to cross those arroyos unecessarily.

The police just announced that the highway was closed from north of San Ignacio to La Paz due to wash outs. Hope my laundry dries before it rains....the sun just came out so its looking good.

[Edited on 8-25-2008 by shari]

[Edited on 8-25-2008 by shari]

losfrailes - 8-25-2008 at 07:20 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Cypress
TS Julio is moving at towards the NNW 15 MPH. Centered at 26.3N and 112W about 2 hrs ago.

Wish it would hurry up and get out of here. I have a lake, might even have trout, in front of my home.

David K - 8-25-2008 at 07:44 AM

Hang in there Baja Sur Nomads!

Bob and Susan - 8-25-2008 at 07:49 AM

it's supposed to be clear tomorrow...

looks like we might have one more BIG blast today after the "eye" passes at 2pm

this is the most water i've seen on the bay on mulege since 2003

julio1.jpg - 47kB

rhintransit - 8-25-2008 at 08:30 AM

Loreto
just back from a walk to the marina. appears most people got their small crafts out of there in time but of the fifteen or so pangas left, many sank. a bunch of people working to wade/pull/push/winch them out.
rains continue. now too heavy for my umbrella. motor traffic seems to be picking up. corners towards water of Benito Juarez flooded as usual. I didn't want to try my luck wading in the sewage laden waters to get into town proper.

CaboRon - 8-25-2008 at 08:40 AM

0940 hrs. Todos Santos

These storms are strange ....
About 30 min ago it started raining again after many hours of relative calm.
Very heavy but falling down instead of sideways as it was yesterday.

CaboRon

[Edited on 8-25-2008 by CaboRon]

bajajudy - 8-25-2008 at 08:49 AM

Just back from a swim. Seas confused but not big.
Looked like rain all around us but not a drop has fallen since yesterday afternoon.
Right now(9:45) sunny and steamy but only 80 on the chile thermometer.
Hope all of you north of here are doing ok.
Read in the paper that Comondu was hit pretty hard!
Schools closed here too

Bob and Susan - 8-25-2008 at 09:58 AM

mulege...on the bay...

winds are blowing the rain sideways
VERY heavy rain

winds from the east
storm surge from the sea is now comming ashore

glad we're raised the casitas 4 feet up

water and rivers everywhere around

i think the lower beachfront homes may have some water

Julio

tripledigitken - 8-25-2008 at 10:01 AM

Russ,

Any reports from Chivato? Hope you doing ok!

Ken

vandenberg - 8-25-2008 at 10:05 AM

Steady downpour here in Nopolo withwind from the south with occasional gusts up to 25 mph. Flooded streets, nothing unusual with any kind of rain. Golfcourse holding up nice with small lakes here and there. Most steady rain I've seen here in years, even during Marty and John.

Buoy Report off Santa Rosalia

tripledigitken - 8-25-2008 at 10:15 AM

N27.25 W111.75

11am

Wind

SSE 31-42 Knots

Seas

9 feet @ 7 seconds

Thinking about all you down there. Be safe!

Ken

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