bajajudy - 10-15-2009 at 03:53 PM
http://www.stormpulse.com/pacific
woody with a view - 10-15-2009 at 04:41 PM
look out below!!!!!
models say cabo is the bullseye!!!!!!
[Edited on 10-15-2009 by woody in ob]
landyacht318 - 10-15-2009 at 04:47 PM
Right now they are saying this thing will be a Cat 3 by sunday. And a Cat 4 by Tuesday, when it takes a swing to the north.
The future Hurricane RICK.
You people in TS better hope the GFDL model is inaccurate this time.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/ep200920_model.html
[Edited on 10-15-2009 by landyacht318]
[Edited on 10-16-2009 by landyacht318]
BajaWarrior - 10-15-2009 at 08:37 PM
Hopefully, this will go west, spare Baja, and bring waves all the way to San Diego...
DENNIS - 10-15-2009 at 09:03 PM
JESUSCRISTO......That's a nasty looking storm. Hope it heads off west and/or loses strength.
landyacht318 - 10-15-2009 at 09:58 PM
This one started spinning so quickly. It appears angry.
From the NHC.
THE MAIN INTENSITY FORECAST PROBLEM TONIGHT IS NOT IF RICK WILL
INTENSIFY...BUT HOW QUICKLY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
EXCEPTIONALLY CONDUCIVE FOR STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS
WITH SSTS OF ABOUT 30C...ABOUT 2C WARMER THAN AVERAGE...LIGHT
SHEAR...AND HIGH MID-LEVEL RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. THE SHIPS RAPID
INTENSIFICATION INDEX RESPONDS TO THESE CONDITIONS BY SHOWING AN 82
PERCENT CHANCE OF A 30 KT INCREASE IN STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...ABOUT 11 TIMES HIGHER THAN THE SAMPLE MEAN. WITH OTHER
GUIDANCE SHOW SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
WILL SHOW RAPID INTENSIFICATION DURING THE FIRST 24 HOURS OF THE
PERIOD...STARTING FROM A SYNOPTIC INTENSITY OF 40 KT. LATER ON...
ALL RELIABLE GUIDANCE BRINGS RICK TO MAJOR HURRICANE INTENSITY
WITHIN THREE DAYS...AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. "
woody with a view - 10-16-2009 at 06:31 AM
batten down the thatches!!!!
buddies in juanico are smiling, tho!!!
T minus 13 days, and a wake up.....