after the EPIC winter El Nino it would seem that Neptune is gearing up for an early summer hurricane season! El Nino usually does not produce an
abundance of E. Pac storms.
i hope EVERY ONE of the storms take a track towards the northwest out around Cabo and then hook straight north until they die off north of the
Vizcaino peninsula.....
a guy can dream right? noproblemo2 - 5-28-2010 at 05:28 PM
It is supposed to be a very busy season this year.....Woooosh - 5-28-2010 at 05:35 PM
Huge summer storm swells? hmmm. Can those hurricanes push a little of that 90 degree water with them up this way too?woody with a view - 5-28-2010 at 05:50 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by noproblemo2
It is supposed to be a very busy season this year.....
in the atlantic. they don't coincide.
but if you're right, right on!Osprey - 5-28-2010 at 06:22 PM
Woody, I got word from a local here that it is gonna be an easy time down here this hurricane season. We were on the beach, sitting in the sand in the
moonlight with our ballenas and he told me it was gonna be an "El No No" kind of year. At least I think that's what he said.woody with a view - 5-28-2010 at 06:24 PM
he sounds like a good guy!Cypress - 5-28-2010 at 06:33 PM
These guys have been wrong for the past five years. Sooner or later they've got
to get lucky. Hope their predictions are wrong for this year also, but after 5 years of being wrong the odds are in their favor.noproblemo2 - 5-28-2010 at 06:43 PM
Time will tell...........At this point I'm leaning more towards a large quake more so than a Hurricane tho.
hmmmmmm
BFS - 5-28-2010 at 07:15 PM
Yeah, kinda early to be looking at that tropical storm site, but......if you have to know, I have 1 broken board, 2 snapped fins, sunburnt lips,
aching shoulders, 2 gashes on my ankle, and the camper is falling apart at the seams... its been cranking down here!!!!!!!
Oops I didnt say that.
Bfs
[Edited on 5-29-2010 by BFS]
re "It is supposed to be a very busy season this year..... "
rob - 5-29-2010 at 09:00 AM
Strange, found exactly the opposite . . .
rob
Bajaboy - 5-29-2010 at 09:12 AM
I've read a La Nina is coming and thus cooler waters
The Busy Season Forecast
MrBillM - 5-29-2010 at 09:14 AM
Given the Track record for these Forecasts, anyone who had the same success with their financial planning would be long foreclosed on, broke and
living under cardboard in an alley.
But, it's always a good conversation piece.sancho - 5-29-2010 at 09:36 AM
Read a couple days back, the El Nino
along the equator has lost strength
to the point that, at least to the
writers of the article, it will not be
a factor, The prospects of yellowfin
tuna, Dorado off So. Cal coast will
probably not happen as in past true El Ninos.
I live on the coast, and have not noticed
any Ocean Temps above normal.
To the contrary, some call for La Nina
with drier conditionsclassicbajabronco - 5-29-2010 at 09:40 AM
the water temps off the los cabos have been in the 80's since april..from what I have always heard 80's the magic number.
one thing for sure, it'll be different!
woody with a view - 5-29-2010 at 11:03 AM
The latest El Nino discussion from the Climate Prediction Center/NCEP (August 6, 2009) states that a weak El Nino was present during July 2009 and
expected to strengthen and last through the northern hemisphere winter of 2009-2010.
Even further out, of 18 ENSO models run in July 16 2009, all but 3 indicated some form of El Nino developing with waters temps greater the 0.5 deg C
above normal. the remaining 3 indicated a rise less than 0.5 degs. none indicated La Nina. The average of the peak was 1.25 degrees above normal
occurring in mid Nov. with anomalies 1 deg or grater into April of 2010.Cypress - 5-29-2010 at 11:16 AM
NOAA predicted the past four hurricane seasons would bring numerous storms, they were wrong. The past four seasons were mild. The odds are they'll be
on target this year. But, if there's only one hurricane and it takes your home, then it's a very bad year.BFS - 5-29-2010 at 01:18 PM
Water temps "near" cabo have not been anywhere close to 80 degrees the last 2 months. In fact its the first May I can remember where I have worn a
spring suit here.
I would guess the water temps hovering around 72.classicbajabronco - 5-29-2010 at 01:32 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by BFS
Water temps "near" cabo have not been anywhere close to 80 degrees the last 2 months. In fact its the first May I can remember where I have worn a
spring suit here.
I would guess the water temps hovering around 72.
you must be on the pacific side..it was 86 off the eastcape over a month ago. however it's now about 80....if you'd like I'll walk the 200' to the
water and stick a thermometer in the water for you.
Go to the wunderground link woody started this thread with and see for yourself.
Sooner or later they've got
to get lucky. Hope their predictions are wrong for this year also, but after 5 years of being wrong the odds are in their favor.