BajaNomad

Hurricane Adrian Watch / Tropical Storm

Russ - 6-10-2011 at 06:17 AM

This one grew pretty fast.....

[Edited on 6-11-2011 by Russ]

Adrian 7:10 pm.jpg - 41kB

Russ - 6-10-2011 at 06:19 AM

Here's a satellite shot

SATAdrain 7:10 pm.jpg - 48kB

tiotomasbcs - 6-10-2011 at 08:56 AM

Humongous! This may affect travel north/south on La Careterra. Sea temperature would normally steer Adrian out to the west. Is there warm water up in Baja Norte? Ocean temps/maps, por favor. I'm planning a trip north next week and don't want to play Hide & Seek!:O Tio

DavidE - 6-10-2011 at 09:40 AM

Westward Ho!

Upper level winds steering mechanism plus sub 80F water to the north is pointing the critter toward hawaii. In another few days watch for spinoff clouds and moisture which may precipitate over the mountains.

Cypress - 6-10-2011 at 12:22 PM

Yea, this one's going west-northwest. No sweat for Baja. Hawaii? Probably not. There's a lot of water between here and there.:yes:

June 11 update

Russ - 6-11-2011 at 06:51 AM



SAT 6:11:11.jpg - 47kB

Russ - 6-11-2011 at 07:11 AM

There is a storm in the eastern Pacific that may influence Adrians direction toward Baja. I noticed it on a video loop from NOAA
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/epac/flash-rb.html

? June 11.jpg - 47kB

oladulce - 6-11-2011 at 09:37 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by tiotomasbcs
... Is there warm water up in Baja Norte? Ocean temps/maps, por favor.


Even in Baja Sur the ocean temp here at 26 latitude Pacific side has been fluctuating between 54-56 degrees. I'll go down and take it's temp after the cold, damp fog lifts so I can see where I'm going. Between daily 30-40 mph dirt-blowing wind, pungent sewer-smelling red tide, and the numbing water temp, it's still very much lovely spring conditions here. I'll go out on a limb and say we're safe from severe tropical activity coming close to here for a while.

[Edited on 6-11-2011 by oladulce]

Hook - 6-11-2011 at 09:55 AM

Wouldnt mind if some of Adrian's latent moisture finds a way to get over here to Sonora. Ranchers really need it.

Eli - 6-11-2011 at 01:29 PM

Hook, Ditto for Baja.

Down graded

Russ - 6-11-2011 at 02:05 PM



TS Adrian 6:11 pm.jpg - 31kB

Hook - 6-11-2011 at 02:30 PM

Pretty amazing how fast it went from a Cat 4 to a TS, when this was supposed to be a rare annular hurricane. Those are supposed to be rather resistant to colder water, wind shear and dry air masses.

Bob H - 6-11-2011 at 05:27 PM

It's going to go out to sea!

MIAMI – Forecasters say Hurricane Adrian has weakened to a Category 2 storm off the Pacific coast of Mexico and is expected to stay offshore.

Forecasters say maximum sustained winds for the first hurricane of the 2011 season decreased Friday evening to about 110 mph (177 kph). It is expected to weaken further over the next two days.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami predicts the storm's center will stay well offshore but will generate large swells that could affect the southwestern coast of Mexico into the weekend.

The center of the storm was about 505 miles (813 km) south of the southern tip of Baja, Calif. It is moving west-northwest at 9 mph (14 kph).

Bob H - 6-11-2011 at 05:32 PM

And, this looks like it will be a good thing for surfing conditions along the West coast of Baja, for sure!