BajaNomad - TS, Hurricane, TS Dora

TS, Hurricane, TS Dora

Katiejay99 - 7-18-2011 at 01:07 PM

Anyone watching the weather?

There was a post recently by someone (I forgot who) saying that "hurricane season has started early)...... I have felt the same way this season because so far everything has wandered towards the North/Northwesterly direction. Most years they all head due west or west-northwest up until mid August. This is the first year I have ever seen it where we have felt compelled to keep our eyes out for anything coming our way since the very onset of hurricane season.

Does anyone else notice this?

[Edited on 7-18-2011 by Katiejay99]

[Edited on 7-20-2011 by Katiejay99]

[Edited on 7-24-2011 by Katiejay99]

storm on the way

vandenberg - 7-18-2011 at 01:07 PM

This one should stir up some good surf.

But, like Katiejay stated, kind of early for getting this close.
Hope it's not an indication of things to come.

[Edited on 7-18-2011 by vandenberg]

ep201104_5day.gif - 34kB

DENNIS - 7-18-2011 at 02:26 PM

This one you'll have to watch closely, Ed. It has badass potential.

joel - 7-18-2011 at 02:39 PM

Something to hope for in an otherwise calm Pacific.... And something to talk about night and day.

msteve1014 - 7-18-2011 at 03:53 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by vandenberg
This one should stir up some good surf.

I don't want "good surf", but I do want the warm water to push on up, with some fish. I will be in La Bocana on the 23rd

JESSE - 7-18-2011 at 03:57 PM

We need rain, please come in.

msteve1014 - 7-18-2011 at 04:01 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by JESSE
We need rain, please come in.

Be careful what you wish for. Do you feel lucky? well do you? :tumble:

tiotomasbcs - 7-18-2011 at 04:41 PM

Early season Teaser or Player? :no:

Let it rain , let it rain! If I may request from the Higher Ups, no tree downing, roof crashing, power outing winds! Our inter shore water temps are still mid 70s. Beautiful clouds today but low Humidity! Goin Surfin. Hasta. Tio

woody with a view - 7-18-2011 at 06:02 PM

look out below!

shari - 7-18-2011 at 07:37 PM

hmmm....Dora could go anywhere...except here of course cause the water is still freezing...she should push some warm water and fish up our way though....and excellent surf!!!!

storm_194.gif - 26kB

woody with a view - 7-18-2011 at 07:40 PM

i'm going with lime green dots or dark green triangles.....

shari - 7-18-2011 at 07:44 PM

darn....we are rooting for the same shapes woody....I was hoping to win back that case of beer!

mulegemichael - 7-18-2011 at 07:51 PM

i like water but i don't like floating sofas...we've had those....been there, done that...no floating appliances, either....please.

bajajudy - 7-18-2011 at 10:01 PM

Ah, Dora
She is still too far away to worry
BUT we will all have our eyes on all the weather channels.
Hey woody...you da man

Eli - 7-18-2011 at 10:13 PM

Judy, I will be watching your post, I count on you to tell me what's going on up there.

We have had steady rains off and on for seveal days and most of the night here in Coatepec, I wonder if it is the same storm front getting ready to head North up your way.

dtbushpilot - 7-18-2011 at 10:24 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by woody with a view
i'm going with lime green dots or dark green triangles.....

Those dark green triangles have it going right over my house, might not have to water the plants for a few days

...dt

Katiejay99 - 7-19-2011 at 07:06 AM

Having some fun with my graphics program....

[/img]

[Edited on 7-19-2011 by Katiejay99]

joel - 7-19-2011 at 07:44 AM

Looking good.

Eli - 7-19-2011 at 07:18 PM

I had to share a quote from my daughter who lives in L.B. I Love her perspectives.

"Dora, there is no need to be an overachiever now, being a Tropical Storm is a perfectly acceptable path to choose. Hurricanes are overrated. Trust me, you don't want to become one."

tiotomasbcs - 7-20-2011 at 03:58 AM

I will be doing a little Storm prep manana! Gas, generator, , tarps, food, beer, and vehicles gassed up. Looks like a good chance of a little Action . Go Dora the Explorer--love it KJ. Hope your hija is corecto, Eli. :yes:

Tio

Katiejay99 - 7-20-2011 at 05:45 AM

Thanks Tio. I do love playing with graphics. We met - do you remember? - at the Cerritos Surf Colony.

It doesn't look like Dora will hurt us any, but always a good idea to be prepared. I am taking down my canopy and tying down anything that may blow away just in case. Remember how we tied down the Palapa at the Hacienda Cerritos a couple of years back? Now THAT was fun!

BajaNews - 7-20-2011 at 05:51 AM

AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.3 WEST. DORA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST AND A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DORA IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...140 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DORA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND DORA COULD BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE BY LATE TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.

ep201104_model.gif - 32kB

oladulce - 7-20-2011 at 07:57 AM

Shari mentioned their freezing ocean conditions and it's the same here even farther South on the Pacific side of central Baja Sur. After several days of muy feo winds last week the water temp plummeted from the mid 70's to it's current 59°- 60°.

5-9° in mid July! We don't have to worry about tropical activity approaching from offshore until some of these icebergs melt.

Ateo - 7-20-2011 at 08:00 AM

Heading down this week. I love the smell of wet desert.

classicbajabronco - 7-20-2011 at 08:18 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by ateo
Heading down this week. I love the smell of wet desert.

Hopefully you love Bobo's too! As they come out after a rain.

El Jefe - 7-20-2011 at 09:33 AM

Latest storm track looks like Dora will miss us completely down here at the end of the world. Too bad, we could sure use the rain. Maybe she will spin off some thunder storms to at least dampen things. There is just too much cool water out there to the SW.

BFS - 7-20-2011 at 01:28 PM

Looks like it is time to go wait it out on the tip. Could be special...

DavidE - 7-20-2011 at 02:15 PM

DATELINE: Todos Santos 2:00 PM:

Thunder, lightning and a soft rain after enduring an overnight low of 88F with 82% humidity.

The steering mechanism for Dora, the upper level winds are unstable so my general impression is that those models are mere suggestions rather than examples of expected routing.

When a hurricane gets trapped over cold water it tends to dump a hellacious amount of water. Dora may well end up flooding the tip.

Time to whet the old knife in preparation to carve another hurricane notch on the handle of my weather staff.

Katiejay99 - 7-20-2011 at 02:35 PM

Yes, this rolling thunder has been very ominous. Power out now - running on battery and Telcel 3g. EEB Mike shows disturbances between here (todos santos) and La Paz.

Leo - 7-20-2011 at 03:52 PM

Hang in there KatieJ. make sure you have some juice left for the vents and enjoy the smell of the desert after the rains.

bajabass - 7-20-2011 at 03:55 PM

We had a real thunder and lightning show over here in La Paz last night, and a slight shower. A little wind and clouds so far today. Let it rain!

BajaNews - 7-20-2011 at 05:38 PM

AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.8 WEST. DORA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DORA IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DORA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

ep201104_model.gif - 32kB

woody with a view - 7-20-2011 at 05:49 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by BFS
Looks like it is time to go wait it out on the tip. Could be special...

get some for me, brah!

Dominica - 7-21-2011 at 12:47 AM

Well let's hope it goes out to sea...season is from June through Nov...of course always more active late Aug thru Oct....I did hear it was going to be another very active season all the way around the Caribbean Basin and Mexico...

BajaNews - 7-21-2011 at 06:13 AM

AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.1 WEST. DORA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 140 MPH...220
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DORA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
TO BEGIN BY FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 942 MB...27.82 INCHES.

ep201104_model.gif - 32kB

Katiejay99 - 7-21-2011 at 06:21 AM

Current Satellite:

[Edited on 7-21-2011 by Katiejay99]

bajajudy - 7-21-2011 at 06:51 AM

Wicked looking mega hurricane
Fortunately it is not headed our way!
As we all keep saying....a little rain would be nice.

DavidE - 7-21-2011 at 07:30 AM

Me no like steering linkage positions for this puppy.

That gigantic bubble of hot air over much of the continental US has reduced barometric pressure readings enough to cause a high degree probably of error in those Dora forecast models.

I am going to offer a guess that states Dora is going to take a slightly more northerly track, but then somewhere around 22 / 30 take an abrupt hook to the right and then slow down or stall, all the while weakening because of cool(er) sea surface temperatures. Like all cyclones Dora is carrying a lot of moisture, and it is rainfall or rather floodfall that I am concerned with. northward to around Loreto.

Pull-ease, this isn't a serious forecast but rather some light chatter. Being an aged student of the guru of meterologists, Harry Geise, allows me to have fun sometimes.

Let's see how wrong I am/was!

Hirrocane Dora May Have Reached Category 5

DavidE - 7-21-2011 at 09:39 AM

A hurricane hunter reported eye wall wind speeds slightly in excess of 156 mph. Keep an eye on this turkey; I for one do not trust the NWS analysi nor long-range forecast.

tiotomasbcs - 7-21-2011 at 10:12 AM

Dora looks awesome! Very shapely, too. :spingrin:

Watch out for a right turn. Remember thats what has happened the last few years. I won't mention names?! Every body in the southern tip area & Pacific coastline should pay attention. We will know very soon. Suerte. Tio

BajaBlanca - 7-21-2011 at 10:17 AM

ocean water is still freezing here in la bocana

humid here today (very unusual for us) and light clouds

no sign of rain anywhere

Bob H - 7-21-2011 at 11:54 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by BajaBlanca
ocean water is still freezing here in la bocana

humid here today (very unusual for us) and light clouds

no sign of rain anywhere

If Dora hits that cold water, it will fizzle out quickly.

vandenberg - 7-21-2011 at 11:58 AM

I believe that as soon as she hits the much colder water of the Baja coast, she will peter out in a hurry.

BajaNews - 7-21-2011 at 12:07 PM

AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.9 WEST. DORA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK DORA IS EXPECTED TO STAY WELL
OFFSHORE OF MEXICO.

SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO 155 MPH...250 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DORA IS A
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN BY TONIGHT...AND A RAPID WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 929 MB...27.43 INCHES.

ep201104_model.gif - 29kB

Katiejay99 - 7-21-2011 at 05:42 PM

Looks like Dora is trying to peter out....

[/img]

BajaNews - 7-21-2011 at 10:55 PM

800 PM PDT

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST. DORA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF DORA WOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...BUT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY REACH PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA BY FRIDAY
NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DORA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH
TONIGHT...WITH A MORE RAPID DECREASE IN WINDS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE
WARNING AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY DORA WILL AFFECT THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SWELLS WILL
BEGIN AFFECTING THE COAST OF THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA LATER TONIGHT. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.

ep201104_model.gif - 30kB

BajaNews - 7-22-2011 at 06:03 AM

SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 109.2W
ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM S OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MEXICO FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST. DORA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK
DORA IS EXPECTED TO PASS SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DORA IS NOW A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND DORA COULD BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM BY TONIGHT.

HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

ep201104_model.gif - 29kB

tiotomasbcs - 7-22-2011 at 06:36 AM

Thanks for the Updates! Dora is coming apart. Looking for her on our horizon but only small waves. Sale Tio

woody with a view - 7-22-2011 at 06:37 AM

post some pics later today when they arrive.....

bajajudy - 7-22-2011 at 11:52 AM

Just back from San Lucas
Huge waves, lotsa foam, and NO ONE in the water at Old Man nor Zippers
Very partly cloudy skies here, no wind and HOT

Katiejay99 - 7-22-2011 at 12:56 PM

She's coming in slow and very quiet so far...

Eli - 7-22-2011 at 06:46 PM

I just a got a message from my daughter in Los Barriles, they are having REAL RAIN. This is a rare occurance worth celebrating, and I am sure the desert will.

BajaNews - 7-22-2011 at 08:12 PM

AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.5 WEST. DORA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...
DORA WOULD BE MOVING NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE WEST COAST OF SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DORA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
SUNDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

ep201104_model.gif - 27kB

Cielomar - 7-22-2011 at 09:50 PM

Looks like it is going to peter out before it does much good for us on the drought situation. I hope we get an 1-2" but not too optimistic. Went swimming today and the water was "cold" It may portend things to come in September, however..

BajaNews - 7-23-2011 at 05:55 AM

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.5 WEST. DORA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...DORA WOULD BE MOVING NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE WEST COAST OF
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND DORA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY
OR EARLY SUNDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY OFFSHORE OF
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY DORA WILL AFFECT THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF
AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.

ep201104_model.gif - 32kB

bajajudy - 7-23-2011 at 06:31 AM

Nothing happening here
Partly cloudy and calm

tiotomasbcs - 7-23-2011 at 06:38 AM

Calm & quiet w/ beautiful sunrise. Ocean is smooth w/small waves. Large, cumulus clouds marching by out to the south but no winds. Think the cooler water knocked Dora out. Great water temps in mid 70s! Dodged a bullet, no?! :cool:

Tio

Curt63 - 7-23-2011 at 08:39 AM

Glad to hear it Tomas!

Cielomar - 7-23-2011 at 02:59 PM

Wow, what a disappointment. Hot, dry, south winds blowing all day and not a drop of rain from Dora. The puffy clouds were cool, however

Katiejay99 - 7-23-2011 at 04:50 PM

Wind, wind and more wind. Not bad, just windy here in Todos Santos. No rain. bleh.

Bob H - 7-23-2011 at 04:56 PM

Cold Water = One Dora DUD !!

DENNIS - 7-23-2011 at 07:56 PM

Too bad that it wouldn't even give a little rain over land.
Hang in there folks. Your day will come.....soon, I hope.

Bob H - 7-23-2011 at 09:24 PM

Ain't no longer a hurricane, now is she?

BajaNews - 7-23-2011 at 09:58 PM

TROPICAL STORM DORA ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011
800 PM PDT SAT JUL 23 2011

...DORA LOSING ORGANIZATION OVER COLD PACIFIC WATERS...

LOCATION...22.5N 113.4W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM W OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4 WEST. DORA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A NORTHWESTWARD
TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DORA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION AND THEN TO
DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT LOW ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ep201104_model.gif - 27kB

Orale!!!!

BFS - 7-24-2011 at 09:06 AM

She was NO dud.....friday was pure magia

woody with a view - 7-24-2011 at 09:07 AM

prove it! :biggrin:

BFS - 7-24-2011 at 09:22 AM

Hahaha,
Not even for you compa.
Did I mention that it was about 180 degrees out, sticky, sweaty, impossible to sleep. And my arms were soooooo noodled that I couldn't lift the camera? And in a place famous for fishing, and boat launching, NOT wave riding? And that a 27 yr resident said "best since 19.."? You would of hated it.
Yeah Dora was awesome, Id marry her.

[Edited on 7-24-2011 by BFS]

tiotomasbcs - 7-24-2011 at 01:02 PM

Heard Boca was firing! Very Easterly and 10ft?! No secret but pictures are not needed. Noodled was the term I heard, too. Was Mickey, there? Dora?? Plenty Legends like Munoz around the Cape this year. July is Hot even before the Sun rises! :yes:

Tio

woody with a view - 7-24-2011 at 02:25 PM

same as it ever was.....letting the days go by.......