BajaNomad

Norman Up the SOC?---- dead

Russ - 9-28-2012 at 07:16 AM

Oh Boy!



[Edited on 9-30-2012 by Russ]

Norman 9:28 am.jpg - 47kB

bajajudy - 9-28-2012 at 07:22 AM

Norman
You bad boy
Where did you come from?
More rain!?!?!?!?!?

Russ - 9-28-2012 at 07:23 AM

Sat. shot

Norman 9:29 #2.jpg - 48kB

bajajudy - 9-28-2012 at 07:23 AM

satellite data and ship observations indicate that the low
pressure area between the West Coast of Mainland Mexico and Baja
California now has a closed surface circulation. SHIPS observations
of 45 to 50 kt from elevated anemometers suggest that the initial
intensity is around 40 kt...and advisories are being initiated on
Tropical Storm Norman at this time. Norman is situated in an
environment of 15 to 20 kt of southwesterly shear...as microwave
imagery indicates that the surface center is displaced about a
degree to the southwest of the mid-level circulation. This shear is
forecast by the global models to continue until the center moves
inland...so the NHC forecast only shows a little intensification
before landfall. After the center moves inland...quick weakening is
expected...and the cyclone is expected to dissipate by 48 hours.

The initial motion estimate is 360/14...as Norman is situated
between a subtropical ridge centered over the Gulf of Mexico and a
mid-level low to the west. A general northward motion is expected
during the next day or so...and Norman is forecast to make landfall
within 24 hours. After landfall...the weakening cyclone may turn
northwestward before dissipating. The NHC forecast is near the
middle of the guidance envelope through landfall.

Users are reminded not to focus on the exact track of the
center since Norman has a large area of tropical-storm force
winds. In addition...heavy rainfall and flash flooding are also
expected over portions of the Mexican states of sinaloa and far
western Durango.


Forecast positions and Max winds


init 28/1500z 22.8n 108.6w 40 kt 45 mph
12h 29/0000z 24.8n 108.8w 45 kt 50 mph
24h 29/1200z 26.5n 109.2w 30 kt 35 mph...inland
36h 30/0000z 27.5n 109.9w 25 kt 30 mph...Post-trop/remnt low
48h 30/1200z...dissipated

shari - 9-28-2012 at 07:31 AM

lets hope Norman doesnt turn NW...is it raining in the cape area still?

woody with a view - 9-28-2012 at 07:37 AM

there are some Blue Moon mysto surf spots up along both coasts (and islands!) in the gulf....

DENNIS - 9-28-2012 at 08:09 AM

Jeeeezo....Stormpulse shows Norman [can we call it Norm?] being sucked up into the gulf like a vacuum cleaner.

https://secure.www.stormpulse.com/products/pacific

Be sure to turn on the clouds............

vjfamily - 9-28-2012 at 08:18 AM

Steady rain for the last hour in Buenavista. Very overcast, not much wind.

mulegemichael - 9-28-2012 at 08:45 AM

duh....i can't remember how to turn on the clouds??

comitan - 9-28-2012 at 08:55 AM

Not to worry it looks like its going east and causing havoc, floods on the mainland. Then its going to Texas for some much needed rain

[Edited on 9-28-2012 by comitan]

DENNIS - 9-28-2012 at 10:01 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by mulegemichael
duh....i can't remember how to turn on the clouds??

Click on the little radio Button next to "CLOUDS" in the box.
I know it ain't easy, Mike, but I have confidence that you can do it. :lol:



.

[Edited on 9-28-2012 by DENNIS]

BillP - 9-28-2012 at 05:07 PM

Click here for some La Paz storm pics. They got a lot of rain!

Russ - 9-29-2012 at 07:02 AM

Just when we thought we'd seen the last of Normans' influence over here there are projected paths bringing what's left back across the SOC. We had some heavy rains this morning and right now it looks like Mulege is getting hammered again.

storm_114.jpg - 47kB

desertcpl - 9-29-2012 at 07:08 AM

my feeling is, it might just keep coming up the gulf and the warmer waters, I think Dennis might be right, the gulf is acting like a vacuum cleaner

R.I.P. Tropical Depression Norman

DavidE - 9-29-2012 at 07:15 AM

Ferocious wind shear is knocking the liverwurst out what little remains of the tropical wave...





Russ - 9-29-2012 at 07:29 AM

It may have had the stuffing knocked out of it but we had some heavy showers this morning that didn't show on the satellite. We've had enough rain for awhile now. Any more is just clean up work.

dtbushpilot - 9-29-2012 at 07:36 AM

Any new east cape weather reports? Heading south from San Diego tomorrow morning, hope the road is still there....

vandenberg - 9-29-2012 at 08:20 AM

The remnants of Norman are turning towards Mulege. Heavy rains here in Nopolo, no wind.
This storm made an about face. I know we need rain, but this is a little excessive.:?::biggrin::biggrin:

Marie-Rose - 9-29-2012 at 08:24 AM

Huge washouts in El Triumfo. :O
I have no idea of how to share pics posted on my Facebook... sorry!

Business As Usual

Mulegena - 9-29-2012 at 08:25 AM

A BIG spashdown at 6 this morning got me scrambling to close windows-- sunny with partial clouds to the north now, 9:30 a.m.

vandenberg - 9-29-2012 at 09:00 AM

Still raining in Loreto

norman.gif - 21kB

bigmike58 - 9-29-2012 at 09:02 AM

Aye yi yi......turn east!!

vandenberg - 9-29-2012 at 11:50 AM

Raining cats and dogs here in Nopolo.:no:
Getting old.:yes:

[Edited on 9-29-2012 by vandenberg]

BillP - 9-29-2012 at 01:15 PM

A bunch of new La Paz flooding pics here

Russ - 9-29-2012 at 05:51 PM

Good news. I just checked the satellite shots and it shows Norman is dead. Only a few light clouds. Light band of clouds South of Mulege and clear skies else where. :bounce:

bigmike58 - 9-29-2012 at 06:41 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by Russ
Good news. I just checked the satellite shots and it shows Norman is dead. Only a few light clouds. Light band of clouds South of Mulege and clear skies else where. :bounce:



Thanks for the good news Russ!!!!:spingrin:

Russ - 9-30-2012 at 06:17 AM

Need to get out and look for pitayas (sp) before they swell up and pop open.
Nice morning here. 80º ~ calm & clear skies except to the SSE.