BajaNomad

WEATHER at alfonsina's

feathers 2014 - 6-4-2015 at 11:07 AM

we are planning on leaving sunday to head down to alfonsina's for a week does anyone know if the hurricane will effect that week ie wind rain ect.
thanks in advance
mel

bajabuddha - 6-4-2015 at 11:30 AM

Welcome to Nomads, feathers.... where everyone is an expert on these matters. I can guarantee you there ain't no crystal ball on this one, amigo. There are a lot of variables involved; the ambient ocean temps aren't up to full-crank like they will be in a month or so, and that takes some of the 'oomph' out of a storm like this. However, with an El Niño fueling in warmer water, it trows all kinds of glitches in the works.

Most computer models have a pretty consistent northern track to Blanca; how far, how much is all up in the air (pun intended), and even the pro's aren't committing. If it makes it to Gonzaga it'll only be a tropical depression, but that doesn't mean frijoles what the weather will do. If you do get down there and there is heavy precip, stay out of flooded arroyos. Have extra cerveza to wait it out if you have to.

Stay tuned, news at 11:00. You.... and we...... will know more in a few days. After all, it is a female name, so it has to be fickle....
;)

David K - 6-4-2015 at 11:59 AM

Here is a detailed sea (tides, wind, swell) and weather 2 day forecast for Puertecitos, which is 45 miles north of Alfonsina's:
http://www.tide-forecast.com/locations/Puertecitos-Baja-Cali...

Look at it 2 days before you go, in addition to the hurricane tracking maps...

Here is Hurricane Blanca, mentioned above:
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/east-pacific/2015/hurr...

and

http://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/east-pacific

and

http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Hurricane/PacificSatellite....

Hook - 6-4-2015 at 12:14 PM

Surprised no one has mentioned checking the personal weather station (PWS) right at Alphonsina's. You can check conditions before you leave on Sunday and even in-route, if you have a smart phone with 4G LTE capability.

The forecast within this link takes into account the influences of Blanca.

http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?...

Right now, all looks pretty good. Humidity bumps up on Sunday-Tuesday, probably as a result of wherever Blanca is.

[Edited on 6-4-2015 by Hook]

David K - 6-4-2015 at 12:38 PM

Quote: Originally posted by Hook  
Surprised no one has mentioned checking the personal weather station (PWS) right at Alphonsina's. You can check conditions before you leave on Sunday and even in-route, if you have a smart phone with 4G LTE capability.

The forecast within this link takes into account the influences of Blanca.

http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?...

Right now, all looks pretty good. Humidity bumps up on Sunday-Tuesday, probably as a result of wherever Blanca is.

[Edited on 6-4-2015 by Hook]


That's nice, a 10 day forecast too (for ALFONSINA'S) but is it a real station there or just an estimate based on location? Thanks Hook. I think there was a weather monitor for Papa Fernandez' as well (just 3 miles north of ALFONSINA'S, across Bahía San Luis Gonzaga. There was a live web cam at Papa's too... Here it is: http://www.papafernandez.com/ You can see ALFONSINA'S across the bay, right above the white structure in the camera view.

mtgoat666 - 6-4-2015 at 12:53 PM

Quote: Originally posted by feathers 2014  
we are planning on leaving sunday to head down to alfonsina's for a week does anyone know if the hurricane will effect that week ie wind rain ect.
thanks in advance
mel


People here probably know no more than what they read in forecast discussions at San Diego NWS and NHC websites.
What I read was that moisture from hurricane Blanca remnants will be over that part of Baja on about Tuesday, plus or minus a day and plus or minus 400 miles or so. So it may rain then, may not, eh. NWS predicts it will just be remnants of a tropical low at that point, so probably not very dramatic.

Hook - 6-4-2015 at 01:26 PM

It's a real PWS, David. There is also one at Punta Final

http://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboa...

I seem to remember one at Papa Fernandez's but it is not up right now. That doesnt stop a weather link from generating a prediction.

I think the bottom line for the OP is that it is likely to be very humid in Gonzaga that week. Whether it gets so humid that it rains (in the form of thunderstorms), is hard to predict. But it is likely to be sticky, at least.

desertcpl - 6-4-2015 at 01:39 PM


for sure have a bug out plan

I got caught in a really bad storm at PT Final, no warning

it was not nice. it lasted for 3 days

I bugged out the first day,, but not with out some damage to my Tacoma

David K - 6-4-2015 at 04:10 PM

The way that highway south of Puertecitos was cut through the lava, expect many landslides of rock onto the highway after any rain or tremor!