Weather outlook

It's the season so keep an eye out for some possible bad weather. 3 storms developing now to keep track of.

looks like the water is warming up Finally






Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Aug 3 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Hector, located well southwest of Baja California Sur.

1. Satellite images indicate that a low pressure area has formed about
700 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, and is already showing
some signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form over the weekend or early next week. The low is
forecast to move slowly westward over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. A large area of disturbed weather centered several hundred miles
southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec remains poorly organized.
However, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
development during the next several days, and a tropical depression
or tropical storm is expected to form by early next week while it
moves west-northwestward off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

3. A tropical wave just west of Central America is producing
disorganized cloudiness and showers. While development of this
system is possible over the next several days, strong upper-level
winds from a system to the northwest could prevent significant
organization. The wave is expected to move westward or
west-northwestward during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Blake

Quote: Originally posted by blackwolfmt

looks like the water is warming up Finally[/size]

Yep..... San Diego's Scripps Pier records highest ocean temperature in its 102-year history

http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/science/sd-me-scripps-pier-20180802-story.html

[Edited on 8-4-2018 by motoged]

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blackwolfmt - 8-4-2018 at 09:19 AM

maybe DK will chime in and explain the unusual warmth of San Diego's coastal waters



http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/weather/sd-me-warmth-coa...

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chippy - 8-4-2018 at 01:29 PM

Quote: Originally posted by blackwolfmt

maybe DK will chime in and explain the unusual warmth of San Diego's coastal waters http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/weather/sd-me-warmth-coa...

I think it will reinforce his take on "global warming". .2 degrees warmer than the previous record set in 1931 isn´t much of an alarm.
https://scripps.ucsd.edu/news/highest-ever-seawater-temperat...


[Edited on 8-4-2018 by chippy]

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John Harper - 8-4-2018 at 01:49 PM

Quote: Originally posted by chippy

Quote: Originally posted by blackwolfmt   maybe DK will chime in and explain the unusual warmth of San Diego's coastal waters http://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/weather/sd-me-warmth-coa... I think it will reinforce his take on "global warming". .2 degrees warmer than the previous record set in 1931 isn´t much of an alarm.

Here's a recent article on some islands that are being consumed, hard to deny this reality:

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/26/world/asia/solomon-island...

John

[Edited on 8-4-2018 by John Harper]

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bajabuddha - 8-4-2018 at 02:24 PM

Next up: Flat-Earthers. Yep, they're out there, AND they have the right to vote.

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blackwolfmt - 8-4-2018 at 04:13 PM

Time for a Aug 4th update don't want to totally hijack Russ's thread




ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 4 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Hector, located over the far southwestern part of the basin.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure centered about 825 miles south-southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula continue to show signs of
organization. Environmental conditions are likely to support
additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to
form by early next week as the system moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. Satellite data indicate that a broad low pressure area has formed
several hundred miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico.
Environmental conditions are conducive for significant development,
and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form
tonight or tomorrow while the system moves west-northwestward
off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

3. Satellite images indicate that a low pressure area located about 275
miles south-southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico, has become
significantly better defined this morning, and a tropical depression
could be forming. If current trends continue, advisories could be
initiated this afternoon or evening on this system. The low is
forecast to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, relatively
close to Mexico, and interests along the southern coast of Mexico
should monitor the progress of this system. Heavy rainfall and
gusty winds could affect coastal regions of Guerrero northwestward
to Jalisco over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Blake

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