Waiting for 17-20 foot waves.

17-20 is the highest estimates we've seen. All the surf reports are calling for very high surf on Tuesday. Good morning normal surf today.

Beautiful "good morning" photo while sipping on my coffee!

Would love to see a comparison shot Tuesday.

the enormous swell headed our way is the talk of the town as it will certainly incur some damages. Asuncion village faces south so the some of the structures built close to the beach will be affected IF the swell gets even close to what is predicted. The waves especially at high tide will pass over the unstable sand bank and wash it away. People forget that there were 2 rows of houses where there is only beach now down by the area where all the kids swim and events are held.

So worry is present and it will be a dramatic event here for sure. Vgbundo...you may want to assess your camp and get it ready to move to higher ground!

Mojo...it looks just normal today. The swell frequency has dropped maybe a second or more to more like 9 second intervals right now. Normal, to me, would be more like 12 second intervals. If I didn't have internet, I wouldn't suspect a darned thing!!

I'd be curious to know how often these surf forecasts are wildly inaccurate. Just before the clock strikes Wednesday, I guess we're going to find out about this one when an 85% high tide joins the forecast (conservative) 15-17 foot waves.

I just rigged a field expedient contractor's "dumpy level" from a shovel a 2 foot spirit level and a mirror. The pavement at the Pemex is only about 12 feet above the highest place I've ever seen wet on the beach. It this doesn't turn out to be a non-event, it could be an EVENT!

Bob, I promise pictures if there is a way!

[Edited on 8-24-2014 by vgabndo]

I only visited BA once a few years ago, and there was a 'cane spinning off to the west of the South Cape much like this one. No clouds or precip, but man, the pounding at night from the surf kept me from sleeping, let alone surf-casting or launching my 14' inflatable. As Marie goes north, i'd get out my earplugs along with the popcorn.

Also of note; the third 'named' storm of the North Atlantic systems just developed today; Marie is the THIRTEENTH of the Eastern Pacific. El Niños are global engines! It's been an anomalous blessing they've all turned westward so far... one month to go.
Buena suerte Baja.

This baby is turning into a cat 5 sometime today.
Should indeed make for an interesting surf along the Baja coast.

Here's the projection for Wednesday morning. Red is 20, orange 15, and tan 12 feet. in 3D from Surfing Mag.


[Edited on 8-24-2014 by vgabndo]

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/eastern-pacific/2014/H...
Marie just hit Cat-5 already today. Still going to chug parallel 500 miles out, but as John's mujer said, "Ee's a BEEG JUAN !!"

I'm basing my preparations on the understanding that wave height will grow gradually over the next couple of days. We have a wave buoy almost directly down swell from us and about 90 miles away. If Buoy Weather has live data from it, won't we have a real clear picture of whether the drastic predictions might be real?

I have to admit, I've been critical of people in the south east who don't get out of the way of hurricanes. Where I sit, on this absolutely gorgeous day at the beach, it is hard to believe it is possible that there could be salt water running through the Campground Wednesday!

Hope the new Pemex doesn't get flooded out With all the new building in town, I always wonder what will happen to the natural flow of water with a big rain. Luckily a few houses have been built behind us so I think we are now protected.

.... I thought witches' ta taas were cold....

Surfline ruined surfing!

Quote:

Originally posted by BooJumMan Surfline ruined surfing!

Quote:

Originally posted by bajabuddha .... I thought witches' ta taas were cold....

this is a Baja witch...hahahaha....so Buoyweather just changed the wave height forecast to 19' for tomorrow's morning high tide...oh oh.

right now it is 8-9' so double that will be ominous here where the towns sand bank is unstable and unprotected. There was a row of houses where the palms are and a road in front of that in the not too distant past.



they are going to have to pull the pangas up onto the street at the public boat launch area too. I wonder if the little pier will withstand the beating.

.

...Vagabondo,,Shari..et all..please keep on posting on wind,wave & rain levels as above--your inf will help correlate upcoming conditions for a boat I'm watching-out for up the way a bit

...please be sure to mention your location and time when mentioning conditions

gracias micah...looks very eerily calm. We have a bigger swell here in Asuncion and building from the south. Waves are now passing over the pier here and hte tide is nearly out. It will be an interesting afternoon/evening with some loss of sleep I imagine. The wind has switched to the south bringing very hot air...about 10 knots.

A nomad just told me that the low lying areas just at the edge of town past the Pemex already has standing water on it...hmmm.

I sure hope Bahia Asuncion and its neighbours don't get smacked hard with this one....lots of work to prepare for damage control.

Paul's up nice n high... More likely for Pinos ( main beach ) erosion, Looks like Hotel Asuncion might be more beach front than they wanna be. Bet will see some impressive surf.
In time Shari we may be surfing the Hotel Asuncion Reef from the beach front Campo Sirena

Quote:

Originally posted by BajaRat .......Looks like Hotel Asuncion might be more beach front than they wanna be. Bet will see some impressive surf. In time Shari we may be surfing the Hotel Asuncion Reef from the beach front Campo Sirena

For someone whose dream place was destroyed by fire, I am surprised at your post.

I hope that if the giant surf appears, no one is adversely affected.

have the XXL boys arrived in town yet?

...is that south or east cape?

....heh-if you ever want google to go nutz...just punch-in beunavista

....some can find big storms to be exhilarating --you should hear some meteorologists--downright -cheering- for the storms!!

....what are the winds like up and down the west side??



[Edited on 8-26-2014 by micah202]

.
....okay Shari....pictures-yer got pictures!?...nudge nudge

Quote:

Originally posted by micah202 Quote: Originally posted by DianaT Quote: Originally posted by shari Back to town now for some live high tide action...woo hooo. Woo hoo?? I guess to watch destruction that is caused by mother nature, and that will cost other people and the town a lot in clean up, is just exciting to some people. ....some can find big storms to be exhilarating --you should hear some meteorologists--downright -cheering- for the storms!! ....what are the winds like up and down the west side?? [Edited on 8-26-2014 by micah202]

True, I guess when it does not directly affect an individual, they can find it exhilarating. Tornado chasers get really excited in the name of science, and I sometimes wonder how they feel about the human cost.

In this thread there has been the direct hope for the destruction of someone's property by someone who lost their property, and then to find all of the destruction in one's community exciting, says a lot.

I am sure the photos will be very good.

[Edited on 8-26-2014 by DianaT]

me neither--and if I learnt -anything- 'recently'....it's not to throw tequila on a fire...
...DEFINITELY O.T. material



[Edited on 8-26-2014 by micah202]

...ohhh,,yeh..quite a story on the BofC
.....I recall something of a midnight 'carwash' myself

Huge waves


Well, yesterday and today simply do not compare. Our waves just started growing and growing and smashing about an hour ago! The pounding is non stop!We guess they are over ten feet high and climbing. Nasty mess out there.







FOR THOSE FAMILIAR WITH LA BOCANA, FROM OUR HOUSE WE CAN SEE HUGE WAVES AT ROCA BALLENA, SOME 6 MILES SOUTH AND IN SOME AREAS. OUT THERE WHERE WE HAVE NEVER SEEN WAVES BEFORE.













WE HAVE HEARD THAT THE WATER HAS REACHED UP TP THE NEW BEACH RESTAURANT AND CABANAS ... MAYBE THIS CALLS FOR MARGAITAS SO WE CAN TAKE SOME PICS.

....SHhhh....or you'll soon be VentanaWest

It's a once in a lifetime break, you missed it.

Here we are at the cabanas restaurant, enjoying some wicked margaritas and beer.

Quote:

Originally posted by msteve1014 It's a once in a lifetime break, you missed it.

,,,,,some of th'wavecult is so obsessed they'll still wait out for the -next- one

Here at the restaurant, today....remnants from this mornings flood.











[Edited on 8-27-2014 by BajaBlanca]

Hmmm...those pesky scientists kept saying something like this was going to happen and they said it will happen more often. They sure do get lucky with their science

Scientists said we would have hurricanes in the tropics? Boy, they really went out on a limb with that prediction

Always has to be one on every damned thread... now you have your DIP-loma, go out and find some WMD's...

Shari, to heck with all that wave bologna... how 'bout pics of the marg's??? Have one for Chuckie, and maybe one with me some day...
bb

Quote:

Originally posted by BajaBlanca Here at the restaurant, today....remnants from this mornings flood. Thank you BajaBlanca for the cool photos. [Edited on 8-27-2014 by BajaBlanca]