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vgabndo
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3461
Registered: 12-8-2003
Location: Mt. Shasta, CA
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Mood: Checking-off my bucket list.
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Waiting for 17-20 foot waves.
17-20 is the highest estimates we've seen. All the surf reports are calling for very high surf on Tuesday. Good morning normal surf today.
Undoubtedly, there are people who cannot afford to give the anchor of sanity even the slightest tug. Sam Harris
"The situation is far too dire for pessimism."
Bill Kauth
Carl Sagan said, "We are a way for the cosmos to know itself."
PEACE, LOVE AND FISH TACOS
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Bob H
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5867
Registered: 8-19-2003
Location: San Diego
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Beautiful "good morning" photo while sipping on my coffee!
Would love to see a comparison shot Tuesday.
The SAME boiling water that softens the potato hardens the egg. It's about what you are made of NOT the circumstance.
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Mexitron
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3397
Registered: 9-21-2003
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
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Mood: Happy!
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Awesome!
Looks like it'll park itself off L.A.:
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height
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mojo_norte
Senior Nomad
Posts: 725
Registered: 2-14-2006
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Bump..
any bumps this AM ?
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
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Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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the enormous swell headed our way is the talk of the town as it will certainly incur some damages. Asuncion village faces south so the some of the
structures built close to the beach will be affected IF the swell gets even close to what is predicted. The waves especially at high tide will pass
over the unstable sand bank and wash it away. People forget that there were 2 rows of houses where there is only beach now down by the area where all
the kids swim and events are held.
So worry is present and it will be a dramatic event here for sure. Vgbundo...you may want to assess your camp and get it ready to move to higher
ground!
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Ateo
Elite Nomad
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It's gonna be big. I'm tracking it on Surfline and waiting for their update tonight. Looks like it's gonna peak Tuesday evening.
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Mexitron
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3397
Registered: 9-21-2003
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
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Mood: Happy!
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Pequena should be epic....and crowded...
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vgabndo
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3461
Registered: 12-8-2003
Location: Mt. Shasta, CA
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Mood: Checking-off my bucket list.
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Mojo...it looks just normal today. The swell frequency has dropped maybe a second or more to more like 9 second intervals right now. Normal, to me,
would be more like 12 second intervals. If I didn't have internet, I wouldn't suspect a darned thing!!
I'd be curious to know how often these surf forecasts are wildly inaccurate. Just before the clock strikes Wednesday, I guess we're going to find out
about this one when an 85% high tide joins the forecast (conservative) 15-17 foot waves.
I just rigged a field expedient contractor's "dumpy level" from a shovel a 2 foot spirit level and a mirror. The pavement at the Pemex is only about
12 feet above the highest place I've ever seen wet on the beach. It this doesn't turn out to be a non-event, it could be an EVENT!
Bob, I promise pictures if there is a way!
[Edited on 8-24-2014 by vgabndo]
Undoubtedly, there are people who cannot afford to give the anchor of sanity even the slightest tug. Sam Harris
"The situation is far too dire for pessimism."
Bill Kauth
Carl Sagan said, "We are a way for the cosmos to know itself."
PEACE, LOVE AND FISH TACOS
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Ateo
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5898
Registered: 7-18-2011
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My best guess would be 10-12 foot surf, but the update this evening should be pretty solid. I know Surfline's long range charts run a tad hot, and
they're saying 26'-30' foot for Asuncion Bay Tuesday evening. That's total BS.
[Edited on 8-24-2014 by Ateo]
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willardguy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6451
Registered: 9-19-2009
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lowell's fading fast up here around jesus..
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vgabndo
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3461
Registered: 12-8-2003
Location: Mt. Shasta, CA
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Mood: Checking-off my bucket list.
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Well yes...a dozen feet of water over the street on the main drag would be the Bahia Asuncion version of the Japanese tsunami! If there was any
chance that this could come to pass, I can't imagine there wouldn't be more panic in the air. That would wipe out most every coastal village in the
neighborhood. The police here are still unconcerned. The fishermen's boats are still tied out in the bay. Too bad I'm not a surfer, my anxiety
could be colored by my excitement!
Undoubtedly, there are people who cannot afford to give the anchor of sanity even the slightest tug. Sam Harris
"The situation is far too dire for pessimism."
Bill Kauth
Carl Sagan said, "We are a way for the cosmos to know itself."
PEACE, LOVE AND FISH TACOS
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bajabuddha
Banned
Posts: 4024
Registered: 4-12-2013
Location: Baja New Mexico
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Mood: Always cranky unless medicated
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I only visited BA once a few years ago, and there was a 'cane spinning off to the west of the South Cape much like this one. No clouds or precip, but
man, the pounding at night from the surf kept me from sleeping, let alone surf-casting or launching my 14' inflatable. As Marie goes north, i'd get
out my earplugs along with the popcorn.
Also of note; the third 'named' storm of the North Atlantic systems just developed today; Marie is the THIRTEENTH of the Eastern Pacific. El Niņos
are global engines! It's been an anomalous blessing they've all turned westward so far... one month to go.
Buena suerte Baja.
I don't have a BUCKET LIST, but I do have a F***- IT LIST a mile long!
86 - 45*
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pappy
Senior Nomad
Posts: 679
Registered: 12-10-2003
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pequena is pretty much always crowded these days-certainly during the swell season. interesting they estimating it will come that far up into alta
California. should make for some impressive surf at the proper spots.
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willardguy
Elite Nomad
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
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Location: Nopolo
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Mood: mellow
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This baby is turning into a cat 5 sometime today.
Should indeed make for an interesting surf along the Baja coast.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
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Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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I have never seen predictions this high and pretty sure the swell wont be 20' but a 15' wave at high tide will definitively pass over the sand bank in
town. If I had one of those places at the edge, I would be thinking seriously about moving some valuables to higher ground.
We are fortunate here at the point to have rocks to break the waves...but the explosion of surf over them will be dramatic...no point washing the
windows...hahaha.
Hey Blanca...that house ruining your unobstructed view might take a beating...how close to the beach is it?
Lets hope our new Pemex will withstand the storm!
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chuckie
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6082
Registered: 2-20-2012
Location: Kansas Prairies
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Mood: Weary
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Charge your camera batteries, everyone....
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bajabuddha
Banned
Posts: 4024
Registered: 4-12-2013
Location: Baja New Mexico
Member Is Offline
Mood: Always cranky unless medicated
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Also from www.wunderground:
"...Although Marie is expected to remain well off the coast of Mexico,
very large swells will affect southwestern Mexico through tomorrow
and much of the Pacific coast of the Baja California peninsula
during the next few days. These swells will cause dangerous
life-threatening surf and rip currents."
Keep us posted, and pic's PUH-LEEUZZZE !!
I don't have a BUCKET LIST, but I do have a F***- IT LIST a mile long!
86 - 45*
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13047
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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often here people are complacent because storms so rarely actually hit here...so people are in denial about the big swell coming...tick tick tick
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vgabndo
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3461
Registered: 12-8-2003
Location: Mt. Shasta, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: Checking-off my bucket list.
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Here's the projection for Wednesday morning. Red is 20, orange 15, and tan 12 feet. in 3D from Surfing Mag.
[Edited on 8-24-2014 by vgabndo]
Undoubtedly, there are people who cannot afford to give the anchor of sanity even the slightest tug. Sam Harris
"The situation is far too dire for pessimism."
Bill Kauth
Carl Sagan said, "We are a way for the cosmos to know itself."
PEACE, LOVE AND FISH TACOS
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