BajaNomad

First Major Storm of the Season

woody with a view - 6-27-2016 at 05:15 AM

http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height

mtgoat666 - 6-27-2016 at 06:12 AM

Perhaps you are prematurely posting!
The NHC forecasters aren't forecasting anything yet!
Windyty is just computer model output without human interpretation, so is garbage prediction for anything beyond 24 or 48 hours. Windyty is most often wrong at multi-day forecasts,...

I trust a real weather forecaster,... And If only Crissy Russo had a brain!

dtbushpilot - 6-27-2016 at 11:56 AM

And why the heck does Chrissy Russo need a brain?

KaceyJ - 6-27-2016 at 12:36 PM

Dt , I don't think brains are a job requirement for forecasters these days.

https://www.youtube.com/embed/dsYfn8yg41w?autoplay=1&rel...

dtbushpilot - 6-27-2016 at 12:42 PM

She can forecast my weather any time...

mikeymarlin - 6-27-2016 at 01:00 PM

WELL-- the weather certainly looks MUCH better in Mexico !!!!

Udo - 6-27-2016 at 01:18 PM

:bounce:

bajatrailrider - 6-27-2016 at 01:52 PM

Quote: Originally posted by mtgoat666  
Perhaps you are prematurely posting!
The NHC forecasters aren't forecasting anything yet!
Windyty is just computer model output without human interpretation, so is garbage prediction for anything beyond 24 or 48 hours. Windyty is most often wrong at multi-day forecasts,...

I trust a real weather forecaster,... And If only Crissy Russo had a brain!
Its nice to know your brainless posts are beyond off road forums 666.:bounce:

Hook - 6-27-2016 at 03:12 PM

Quote: Originally posted by KaceyJ  
Dt , I don't think brains are a job requirement for forecasters these days.

https://www.youtube.com/embed/dsYfn8yg41w?autoplay=1&rel...


She really does have a great wardrobe.

woody with a view - 6-27-2016 at 04:32 PM

and i agree that inside 90 hours is basically a sure thing.

woody with a view - 6-28-2016 at 06:14 PM

look out below!

http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height

StuckSucks - 6-29-2016 at 12:41 PM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED JUN 29 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A broad area of disturbed weather has developed in association
with a tropical wave several hundred miles south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec. A low pressure system is expected to form later this
week, and environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for
a tropical depression to develop over the weekend while the system
moves generally westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph,
remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

AKgringo - 6-29-2016 at 02:16 PM

Good advice Buddah! Some of that water that is stockpiled could be fortified with something like malted barley. Of course all the excess carbohydrates would be fermented out first, and some hops added as a preservative.

It also makes good trading material for labor or other things you forgot to stash!

Hook - 6-30-2016 at 08:19 AM

I believe the original prediction now has a 70% chance of forming into a TD in the next five days, according to NOAA. Or maybe it is a subsequent one.

*********************

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU JUN 30 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A large area of disturbed weather is located a few hundred miles
south of the coast of southern Mexico. A broad area of low pressure
is expected to form in this area during the next day or so, and
environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for a tropical
depression to develop over the weekend while the system moves
generally westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining
well offshore of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart


[Edited on 6-30-2016 by Hook]

Mexitron - 6-30-2016 at 10:10 AM

Looking pretty active, that one goes way north---those can generate nice surf for days if they stall out off CA.

Bajahowodd - 7-1-2016 at 04:52 PM

Quote: Originally posted by Hook  
Quote: Originally posted by KaceyJ  
Dt , I don't think brains are a job requirement for forecasters these days.

https://www.youtube.com/embed/dsYfn8yg41w?autoplay=1&rel...


She really does have a great wardrobe.


Yanet Garcia, considered the hottest weather forecaster in the world. She worked for Televisa in Monterrey. It has been said that when she farts, they hear it in Canada.

woody with a view - 7-1-2016 at 07:38 PM

beep, beep, toot, toot!

willardguy - 7-1-2016 at 07:46 PM

Quote: Originally posted by woody with a view  
beep, beep, toot, toot!


:lol:.....took it down, stories of claymore's and rocket launchers were inevitable!

woody with a view - 7-2-2016 at 06:25 AM

looks like the active phase of the MJO is going to swing into effect over the next 10 days, if the model run is to be believed!
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height

Hook - 7-2-2016 at 10:25 AM

We officially have our first named storm of the season. This is the latest a named storm has formed since "reliable" records began in 1971.

Tropical Storm Agatha is not expected to reach hurricane status and is not expected to make land.

woody with a view - 7-3-2016 at 09:35 AM

the waves travel in the direction the storm is currently traveling. neither of these will provide much surf unless you're in Hawaii.