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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
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Mood: Everchangin'
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First Major Storm of the Season
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height
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mtgoat666
Select Nomad
Posts: 18118
Registered: 9-16-2006
Location: San Diego
Member Is Offline
Mood: Hot n spicy
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Perhaps you are prematurely posting!
The NHC forecasters aren't forecasting anything yet!
Windyty is just computer model output without human interpretation, so is garbage prediction for anything beyond 24 or 48 hours. Windyty is most
often wrong at multi-day forecasts,...
I trust a real weather forecaster,... And If only Crissy Russo had a brain!
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dtbushpilot
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3288
Registered: 1-11-2007
Location: Buena Vista BCS
Member Is Offline
Mood: Tranquilo
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And why the heck does Chrissy Russo need a brain?
"Life is tough".....It's even tougher if you're stupid.....
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KaceyJ
Nomad
Posts: 391
Registered: 10-7-2011
Location: there
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Dt , I don't think brains are a job requirement for forecasters these days.
https://www.youtube.com/embed/dsYfn8yg41w?autoplay=1&rel...
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dtbushpilot
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3288
Registered: 1-11-2007
Location: Buena Vista BCS
Member Is Offline
Mood: Tranquilo
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She can forecast my weather any time...
"Life is tough".....It's even tougher if you're stupid.....
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mikeymarlin
Junior Nomad
Posts: 94
Registered: 3-17-2014
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WELL-- the weather certainly looks MUCH better in Mexico !!!!
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Udo
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6343
Registered: 4-26-2008
Location: Black Hills, SD/Ensenada/San Felipe
Member Is Offline
Mood: TEQUILA!
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Udo
Youth is wasted on the young!
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bajatrailrider
Super Nomad
Posts: 2427
Registered: 1-24-2015
Location: Mexico
Member Is Offline
Mood: Happy
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Quote: Originally posted by mtgoat666  | Perhaps you are prematurely posting!
The NHC forecasters aren't forecasting anything yet!
Windyty is just computer model output without human interpretation, so is garbage prediction for anything beyond 24 or 48 hours. Windyty is most
often wrong at multi-day forecasts,...
I trust a real weather forecaster,... And If only Crissy Russo had a brain! |
Its nice to know your
brainless posts are beyond off road forums 666.
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Hook
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9009
Registered: 3-13-2004
Location: Sonora
Member Is Offline
Mood: Inquisitive
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She really does have a great wardrobe.
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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and i agree that inside 90 hours is basically a sure thing.
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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look out below!
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height
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StuckSucks
Super Nomad
Posts: 2318
Registered: 10-17-2013
Member Is Offline
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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT WED JUN 29 2016
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
A broad area of disturbed weather has developed in association
with a tropical wave several hundred miles south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec. A low pressure system is expected to form later this
week, and environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for
a tropical depression to develop over the weekend while the system
moves generally westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph,
remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
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AKgringo
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6004
Registered: 9-20-2014
Location: Anchorage, AK (no mas!)
Member Is Offline
Mood: Retireded
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Good advice Buddah! Some of that water that is stockpiled could be fortified with something like malted barley. Of course all the excess
carbohydrates would be fermented out first, and some hops added as a preservative.
It also makes good trading material for labor or other things you forgot to stash!
If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!
"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
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Hook
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9009
Registered: 3-13-2004
Location: Sonora
Member Is Offline
Mood: Inquisitive
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I believe the original prediction now has a 70% chance of forming into a TD in the next five days, according to NOAA. Or maybe it is a subsequent one.
*********************
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU JUN 30 2016
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
A large area of disturbed weather is located a few hundred miles
south of the coast of southern Mexico. A broad area of low pressure
is expected to form in this area during the next day or so, and
environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for a tropical
depression to develop over the weekend while the system moves
generally westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining
well offshore of the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
$$
Forecaster Stewart
[Edited on 6-30-2016 by Hook]
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Mexitron
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3397
Registered: 9-21-2003
Location: Fort Worth, Texas
Member Is Offline
Mood: Happy!
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Looking pretty active, that one goes way north---those can generate nice surf for days if they stall out off CA.
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Bajahowodd
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9274
Registered: 12-15-2008
Location: Disneyland Adjacent and anywhere in Baja
Member Is Offline
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Yanet Garcia, considered the hottest weather forecaster in the world. She worked for Televisa in Monterrey. It has been said that when she farts, they
hear it in Canada.
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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beep, beep, toot, toot!
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willardguy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6451
Registered: 9-19-2009
Member Is Offline
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 .....took it down, stories of claymore's and rocket launchers were inevitable!
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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looks like the active phase of the MJO is going to swing into effect over the next 10 days, if the model run is to be believed!
http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=npac_height
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Hook
Elite Nomad
Posts: 9009
Registered: 3-13-2004
Location: Sonora
Member Is Offline
Mood: Inquisitive
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We officially have our first named storm of the season. This is the latest a named storm has formed since "reliable" records began in 1971.
Tropical Storm Agatha is not expected to reach hurricane status and is not expected to make land.
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