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AKgringo
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Possible storm track? (Flossie updates)
Windy is showing a threat to the cape area! It is a forecast for a storm a week out, but it is worth watching what happens for the next few days.
https://www.windy.com/?2025070312,22.500,-109.789,7
[Edited on 7-1-2025 by AKgringo]
If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!
"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
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StuckSucks
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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jun 26 2025
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
1. Offshore of Central America and Southern Mexico (EP95):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of the coast of
Guatemala is beginning to show some signs of organization.
Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for
development during the next few days, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by late this weekend while the system moves slowly
west-northwestward, off the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
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pauldavidmena
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I saw something similar on weathernerds.org:
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SFandH
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windy.com shows it hitting Cabo one week from today. There's a lot of uncertainty one week out.
https://www.windy.com/?2025070400,20.982,-108.809,5
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AKgringo
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As I said earlier, it is worth watching! Yesterday it did not show it with much of an impact, but the link SF&H posted looks more threatening
than when I posted mine five hours ago.
Then again, it could still fall apart or head west before reaching the cape.
If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!
"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
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pauldavidmena
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The 10-day forecast for Todos Santos reflects the current models bringing rain to the area by next week.
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Timo1
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I just hope Flossie brings us much needed rain
sold out and got out !!!
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pauldavidmena
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If the forecast models are any indication, Flossie just might floss Baja California Sur.
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StuckSucks
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pauldavidmena
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Sure enough, Flossie became a tropical storm but it seems likely to become a tropical depression as it nears Baja.
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pauldavidmena
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As of this morning, the projected path shifted slightly to the west, and the projected arrival time is now Friday instead of Thursday.
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SFandH
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windy.com agrees with the above.
July 4th, 2am:
https://www.windy.com/?2025070409,20.982,-108.809,5
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AKgringo
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Windy rain and thunder mode
If you switch from the wind speed model to rain and thunder, it looks like southern Baja will get some water delivered without getting blown apart!
If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!
"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
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ligui
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Flying into Loreto on Thursday. Looking forward to seeing a little rain if it shows up
Was there when we got about a half an inch a moth ago.
Sure could use a bit more 
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AKgringo
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I was in Los Barriles when it rained a few years ago. Until then, I had not realized that the "storm drain" was the low spot down the center of the
main road!
If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!
"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
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pauldavidmena
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As of this morning, it looks like Flossie might not make a direct hit on Baja after all. One hopes that there might be a stray shower or two, but it
will be another few days before we know for sure.
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StuckSucks
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StuckSucks
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StuckSucks
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Tropical Storm Flossie is centered near 20.6N 111.7W, or about
170 nm southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico at 03/1500 UTC, moving
west-northwest at 9 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is
1001 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50
kt. Latest satellite imagery shows that the system is devoid of
deep convection. Flossie has been reduced to a swirl of low to
mid-level type clouds, and is expected to maintain a general
west-northwestward to northwestward motion during the next couple
of days. Flossie should continue to steadily weaken, with the
cyclone expected to become a post-tropical low later today and a
remnant low tonight. It should dissipate completely by Sat
evening. Swells generated by Flossie will affect portions of the
coast of southwestern Mexico and the Baja California peninsula
during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-
threatening surf and rip current conditions.
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AKgringo
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Anybody down there getting wet right now? I would love to hear a local report from another Nomad.
If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!
"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
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