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WideAngleWandering
Nomad
Posts: 416
Registered: 3-13-2012
Location: US-Based but traveling
Member Is Offline
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I sure hope this storm is just big enough to be entertaining but doesn't cause too much damage.
If one were traveling south from Asuncion to avoid potential washed out roads & storm damage, it looks like being in Loreto by Friday would do the
trick? The bit people are warning me about is the stretch from Santa Rosalia to Concepcion.
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David K
Honored Nomad
Posts: 65087
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: San Diego County
Member Is Offline
Mood: Have Baja Fever
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| Quote: | Originally posted by WideAngleWandering
I sure hope this storm is just big enough to be entertaining but doesn't cause too much damage.
If one were traveling south from Asuncion to avoid potential washed out roads & storm damage, it looks like being in Loreto by Friday would do the
trick? The bit people are warning me about is the stretch from Santa Rosalia to Concepcion. |
The large Magdalena arroyo is between Santa Rosalia and Mulege... even with the dozen new bridges, it got flooded on the Mulege side and cut traffic
at least a day.
Along Bahia Concepcion, the hazard is mainly from rock slides, but the small arroyos coming down from the mountain may be torrents.
Get somewhere you can stay put for a week if needed.
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bigmike58
Nomad
Posts: 286
Registered: 1-20-2012
Location: Homeland CA/Mulege
Member Is Offline
Mood: Fish on!
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Here is the special report video that Chris Dunn did for us.
http://www.kpho.com/category/247096/cbs-5-meteorologist-chri...
Shouldn\'t one have to pass a urine test to get a welfare check or Sec.8 housing?
........... I had to pass one to earn it for them!
\"I\'ve now been in 57 states? I think one left to go?\"
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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good report....but not real encouraging for us here in the danger zone! Let's hope she cools her jets a bit before turning. It's a crap shoot.
[Edited on 9-25-2012 by shari]
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WideAngleWandering
Nomad
Posts: 416
Registered: 3-13-2012
Location: US-Based but traveling
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by David K
Get somewhere you can stay put for a week if needed. |
Just trying trying to decide where. Asuncion to watch what happens or drive drive drive to get down to Loreto and La Paz to avoid what happens 
Good luck everybody.
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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From the La Paz hurricane site:
GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AS
SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR INCREASES AHEAD OF A SLOWLY ADVANCING
MID-/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH NOTED TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF MIRIAM
IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. BY DAYS 3-5...THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE
FORECASTING A LARGE MID-/UPPER-LEVEL LOW DEVELOPING NEAR 30N 130W.
THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE VERTICAL SHEAR ABOVE 30 KT...
WHICH SHOULD INDUCE MORE RAPID WEAKENING AND POSSIBLE DISSIPATION
BEFORE MIRIAM REACHES BAJA CALIFORNIA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND FOLLOWS A BLEND OF THE SHIPS
AND LGEM MODELS.
So, most likely, just rain!!
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David K
Honored Nomad
Posts: 65087
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: San Diego County
Member Is Offline
Mood: Have Baja Fever
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| Quote: | Originally posted by shari
good report....but not real encouraging for us here in the danger zone! Let's hope she cools her jets a bit before turning. It's a crap shoot.
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Wowsers, that map you posted has it hitting you at 2am Sunday. Yesterday's map had it hitting Abreojos.
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Mulegena
Super Nomad
Posts: 2412
Registered: 11-7-2006
Member Is Offline
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Latest sat photo update shows a big debris storm spinning off. Mulege and southland are in no danger of a hit or a flooding, imo, but we's gonna get
our heads wet later today.
Gonna go get prepared.
Latah!
"Raise your words, not your voice. It's rain that grows flowers, not thunder." ~Rumi
"It's the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it." ~ Aristotle
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redmesa
Senior Nomad
Posts: 580
Registered: 3-12-2008
Location: Van Isle and Bahia Asuncion
Member Is Offline
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Looks like they are picking Tortuga!
http://www.surf-forecast.com/breaks/Bahia-Tortugas/forecasts...
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TecateRay
Nomad
Posts: 346
Registered: 9-6-2006
Location: La Mesa, CA
Member Is Offline
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Hurricane Miriam - When & Where will it hit??
From what I can tell it looks like it will hit somewhere around Bahia Tortugas on Saturday or Sunday. It will likely be a tropical storm by then.
Any storm watchers out there have a feel for the impacts on travel down Hwy 1 and lingering effects elsewhere ? I'm heading south Wednesday and plan
on about 8 days to Cabo.
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Bajaboy
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4375
Registered: 10-9-2003
Location: Bahia Asuncion, BCS, Mexico
Member Is Offline
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Wednesday...tomorrow...or Wednesday next week? I plan to head down on Monday and will report as best I can.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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We have seen this several times before...all the models point to us and everyone is racing the clock to get prepared for the worst...but for the last
10 years the storms have snuck over to the gulf side before reaching us...the problem with this is that many folks think the same thing will
happen...we are lulled into complacency thinking its wont get to us again.
Juan remembers the last storm that did alot of damage...the reports all said it would only be a tropical low when it hit us and it cranked up again
and did alot of damage...so he is more worried than I am! (I wasn't here for that one)
But I imagine with the 2-3 day of rain they are forecasting, the highways will be a mess starting on thursday so make sure you check the road closures
before setting out anywhere past central baja. I think this site will have great up to date info on the latest road reports...IF our internet doesnt
get knocked out.
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DavidE
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3814
Registered: 12-1-2003
Location: Baja California México
Member Is Offline
Mood: 'At home we demand facts and get them. In Mexico one subsists on rumor and never demands anything.' Charles Flandrau,
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I would packs LOTS of snacks, beverages, some blankets, repellent, flashlights, batteries, and keep the gas tank as full as possible. If I were headed
south and did not pass many northbound diesel big rigs starting around San Quintin, I would grow very suspicious. Filling up with lots of rain, and a
possible gas shortage means the possibility of a gasolinera sucking down to the bitter end. That means water and sediment. I would not start a trip
under those conditions without having a new fuel filter in place and carrying 2 spares and the means to change them. Another tip is to ask at
Antonio's Baja Cactus station but remember, their reports arrive, obsolete.
A Lot To See And A Lot To Do
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TecateRay
Nomad
Posts: 346
Registered: 9-6-2006
Location: La Mesa, CA
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Bajaboy
Wednesday...tomorrow...or Wednesday next week? I plan to head down on Monday and will report as best I can. |
Tomorrow. So this weekend a storm hit could definitely mess things up.
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vgabndo
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3461
Registered: 12-8-2003
Location: Mt. Shasta, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: Checking-off my bucket list.
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In honor of the surf being up...
I'll use the term "b-tchin'" This NASA live view of the earth can be backed-up using the slider on the bottom. It may have been posted before.
http://earthdata.nasa.gov/labs/worldview/
I hope positive outcomes for everyone in the path. Otherwise, think of the giant geologic smile on the face of the aquafer as the bounty seeps-in!
Be prepared goes without saying.
Julio Sculpture...
Undoubtedly, there are people who cannot afford to give the anchor of sanity even the slightest tug. Sam Harris
"The situation is far too dire for pessimism."
Bill Kauth
Carl Sagan said, "We are a way for the cosmos to know itself."
PEACE, LOVE AND FISH TACOS
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Bajatripper
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3151
Registered: 3-20-2010
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by DavidE
If I were headed south and did not pass many northbound diesel big rigs starting around San Quintin, I would grow very suspicious.
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Another key to this observation is one starts seeing the trucks pulled over at whatever truckstops there are along the way before one actually arrives
at the problem area. I just experienced this on our return trip when a couple of arroyos at Rosarito were flooded.
A good thing, too, for it would make one heck of a long convoy if they all just kept on truckin' until they got to the arroyos. I'd hate to have to
pass them all once traffic got flowing again.
As usual, your advice is spot on, David.
There most certainly is but one side to every story: the TRUTH. Variations of it are nothing but lies.
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Pescador
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3587
Registered: 10-17-2002
Location: Baja California Sur
Member Is Offline
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The last two rainstorms have really messed up the main highway due to flooding in the Vados. Because we have already received two major rains in the
Loreto to Vizcaino area, everything is saturated (we still have standing water), so if we get heavy rain out of Miriam, the vados will run really full
and I would expect some serious road closures until the water level goes down in the arroyos. All of the weather reports are indicating that we will
start seeing rain at least on Friday and maybe even Thursday. So, the problem is not whether the hurricane or tropical storm makes landfall, but how
much water in the form of rain we get out of this. While I do not expect a lot of wind on the Santa Rosalia side (predictions are for 20-25 knots),
we are preparing for a major rainfall, and in terms of the highway, that can cause just as many problems.
Reports on this web site are usually pretty timely and accurate, and since there are enough nomads living up and down the peninsula, you should be
able to get pretty current and updated information on the highway.
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DavidE
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3814
Registered: 12-1-2003
Location: Baja California México
Member Is Offline
Mood: 'At home we demand facts and get them. In Mexico one subsists on rumor and never demands anything.' Charles Flandrau,
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Inconvenience may be hard to take, but as I deal with lots of rain I must keep in mind that of all the things that are precious on the Baja California
peninsula, water ranks near the top. Aquifers must be replenished. The cattle we see as we drive must have water and almost all of their supply relies
on maintaining a dependable water table level. Ancient fig trees planted by early missionaries will die in a prolonged drought. Fertile soil in Cd
Constitucion will have salt leached downward and provide more bountiful crops. Wild honeybees will go riot with the honey production and that makes me
smile.
Now where did I put that @#$%^&!! Mop!
A Lot To See And A Lot To Do
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TecateRay
Nomad
Posts: 346
Registered: 9-6-2006
Location: La Mesa, CA
Member Is Offline
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Thanks for all the info and advice. I will check in daily (if there is wi-fi) to keep up to date. 
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roundtuit
Senior Nomad
Posts: 607
Registered: 12-21-2004
Member Is Offline
Mood: Wife's Job
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Will be headed for Mulege Monday so I'm sure all of us would appreciate any info here
Never learned from a book-Only from mistakes, mine and yours
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