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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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Muchas gracias to all of you who post the updated maps here...I have a very slow computer and takes ages to get the material we need onto the screen
so I depend on NOMAD POWER! I print them out twice a day for the proteccion civil here...our volunteer disaster squad. Batten down the hatches and be
safe..don't underestimate mother nature...these things can speed up at any moment and take any direction...I talked to an amigo in La Paz this morning
who didn't even know about it! I'm glad the water here is too cold and just pushes those nasty storms away and keeps our village cool man.
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oldlady
Banned
Posts: 1714
Registered: 10-31-2005
Location: BCS
Member Is Offline
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Thanks for the forward sightings, Judy. Looks like the La Paz area will be on the "dirty side" Please take it seriously everyone, and be safe!
ol
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Marie-Rose
Senior Nomad
Posts: 894
Registered: 10-2-2003
Location: Victoria, B.C. and Todos Santos
Member Is Offline
Mood: Worried...
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Stay safe everyone and post as often as you can! We count on all you nomads there
to let us know what happening
Remember, when in Mexico, yes may be no and no may be
maybe!
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edinnopolo
Nomad
Posts: 138
Registered: 5-1-2005
Member Is Offline
Mood: laid back
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However Shari, these computer models have your area as a target. Button down and suerte
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DianaT
Select Nomad
Posts: 10020
Registered: 12-17-2004
Member Is Offline
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Quote: |
However Shari, these computer models have your area as a target. Button down and suerte
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I hope not because we are not there and we don't have window storm protection yet.
Diane
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edinnopolo
Nomad
Posts: 138
Registered: 5-1-2005
Member Is Offline
Mood: laid back
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It's definitely getting more organized
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tortuga
Nomad
Posts: 277
Registered: 8-11-2007
Location: Bellevue, Idaho or Los Barriles B.C.S.
Member Is Offline
Mood: Muy Despacio
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Henrietta
Hope this isn't redundant This one is Sept. 3 8.00 A.M.
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heike
Junior Nomad
Posts: 79
Registered: 4-28-2006
Location: Los Barriles
Member Is Offline
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We've got hurricane film on our windows, I am sure we will be fine! Good luck to everyone else!
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BCSTech
Senior Nomad
Posts: 584
Registered: 4-16-2006
Location: Todos Santos, BCS / Placerville, CA.
Member Is Offline
Mood: Carpe Manana
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Starting to cloud up here in Todos Santos.
Hey, Marie Rose, Maryanne said we could all have a hurricane party at her house. I'm cleaning out my liquor cabinet. You and Fred wanna come down?
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Marie-Rose
Senior Nomad
Posts: 894
Registered: 10-2-2003
Location: Victoria, B.C. and Todos Santos
Member Is Offline
Mood: Worried...
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You are going to make us cry... would love to be there, hurricane and all
Sounds like you guys have been having one party after the other... any excuse
All kidding aside, stay safe and we are glad you are all taking care of each other!!
Remember, when in Mexico, yes may be no and no may be
maybe!
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tortuga
Nomad
Posts: 277
Registered: 8-11-2007
Location: Bellevue, Idaho or Los Barriles B.C.S.
Member Is Offline
Mood: Muy Despacio
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Henrietta
Boy one thing I learned about these cone projections it is almost mute till 24 hrs. before landfall. Last year with John I was not worried about my
area on Thursday prior to landfall.
That all changed however Friday afternon after John's wobble, as they put it !
Not putting down N.H.C I am sure it is hard at best to forecast these things accurately . If it wasn't for them and web sites like this one info
would be hard to get about eastern Pacific (weather channel to interested with Atlantic basin .)
Well to all who will be affected by Henrietta God bless you, our thoughts and prayers are with you.
Tortuga
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BCSTech
Senior Nomad
Posts: 584
Registered: 4-16-2006
Location: Todos Santos, BCS / Placerville, CA.
Member Is Offline
Mood: Carpe Manana
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Quote: | Boy one thing I learned about these cone projections it is almost mute till 24 hrs. before landfall. Last year with John I was not worried about my
area on Thursday prior to landfall. | Amen to that. I don't think anyone had a real grip on John's direction
until about 3 hours before landfall.
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oxxo
Banned
Posts: 2347
Registered: 5-17-2006
Location: Wherever I am, I'm there
Member Is Offline
Mood: If I was feeling any better, I'd be twins!
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Noon, Los Cabos time.
Wind is up to about 15 to 20 knots. Surf is up to 8' to 10' that normally sees 2' to 4'. Long swells at about 5 to 6 seconds. I can clearly see the
horizon out at sea to the south. Clouds building to the southeast but not that dark grey color. Some businesses are beginning to board their
windows. Very long lines at the Pemex stations. We filled up last night with no line. Just stocked up on bottled water, pizza, and Tecate.
It appears that Henriette is going to pass Los Cabos about 30 to 40 miles west out at sea. That could change. However that will put Los Cabos in the
dangerous northeast quadrant of the hurricane. We are expecting lots of rain and high winds, but not a direct hit.
The long time residents are being very stoic about the situation. The palms around our place were recently cut back to reduce the crown which will
help them survive any high winds and reduce blowing debris. We're going to hunker down and hope for some rain......but not too much!
[Edited on 9-3-2007 by oxxo]
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JESSE
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3370
Registered: 11-5-2002
Member Is Offline
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Last night at about 2am we had an impressive thunderstorm show here in La Paz, not much noise because most was happening far away, but the light show
was amazing.
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bancoduo
Banned
Posts: 1003
Registered: 10-3-2005
Location: el carcel publico mazatlan sin.
Member Is Offline
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Quote: | Originally posted by oxxo
The palms around our place were recently cut back to reduce the crown which will help them survive any high winds and reduce blowing debris.
[Edited on 9-3-2007 by oxxo] | Carrot top palm trees in Mexico? The condo's can't be far behind.
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
Member Is Offline
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Storm shutters are up
Looks like she wont be too strong of a hurricane but who knows. Actually still isnt a hurricane
000
WTPZ41 KNHC 032054
TCDEP1
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112007
200 PM PDT MON SEP 03 2007
WHILE HENRIETTE'S SATELLITE APPEARANCE HAS IMPROVED DURING THE
DAY...AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS UNABLE TO FIND
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 60 KT
BASED ON A PEAK SFMR WIND OF 58 KT. THE CYCLONE HAS ANOTHER 24-36
HOURS OVER OPEN WATERS AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR HENRIETTE
TO BECOME A HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING BAJA CALIFORNIA. INTENSITY
GUIDANCE HAS BEEN TRENDING WEAKER AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
NUDGED LOWER.
HENRIETTE CONTINUES TO CRAWL ALONG WITH AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE
OF 315/05. THE OVERALL FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS UNCHANGED. THE
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 2
DAYS IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE
WEST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. DYNAMICAL MODELS REMAIN
REASONABLY CLUSTERED ABOUT A TRACK THAT TAKES THE CYCLONE TOWARD
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IN 36-48 HOURS. DESPITE
THE CLUSTERING...DYNAMICAL MODELS HAVE CONSISTENTLY BEEN TOO FAST
IN THEIR FORWARD SPEED. BASED ON THIS TENDENCY...THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN THE MODEL CONSENSUS DURING THE
FIRST 36 HOURS. ONCE IT CROSSES THE BAJA PENINSULA...HENRIETTE IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTHWARD OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...WITH A
SECOND LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN
48-72 HOURS. DISSIPATION OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO IS EXPECTED
SHORTLY AFTER LANDFALL. WHILE IT IS DOUBTFUL THAT THE CYCLONE
WOULD SURVIVE A TRACK OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF NORTHWESTERN
MEXICO...SOME OF THE RESIDUAL MOISTURE COULD MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 03/2100Z 20.1N 108.5W 60 KT
12HR VT 04/0600Z 20.9N 109.2W 65 KT
24HR VT 04/1800Z 22.3N 110.2W 70 KT
36HR VT 05/0600Z 23.8N 110.9W 70 KT
48HR VT 05/1800Z 25.4N 111.2W 55 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 06/1800Z 29.5N 111.0W 30 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
Member Is Offline
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Here you go Shari
I am very busy adjusting my sails..more later
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JZ
Select Nomad
Posts: 10532
Registered: 10-3-2003
Member Is Offline
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Quote: | Originally posted by heike
We've got hurricane film on our windows, I am sure we will be fine! Good luck to everyone else! |
What is hurricane film and how much protection does it offer?
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Diver
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4729
Registered: 11-15-2004
Member Is Offline
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3M says the following about their Ultra Film;
In the event of a windstorm, these films may have significant safety and security value. They can reduce the risk of injury from flying shards of
broken glass, and possibly help prevent debris and water penetration through the window depending on the severity of the storm (and the type of glass,
framing system, size and velocity of objects, and more)."
Some film manufacturers claim to be Hurricane proof but I wouldn't count on it.
Also, it's surprising how much water damage can be done from water being forced in through operable window frames and door frames. Takes more than
film to stop a hurricane; just ask some of our friends who were in their house in Cabo Pulmo for John !
.
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heike
Junior Nomad
Posts: 79
Registered: 4-28-2006
Location: Los Barriles
Member Is Offline
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It is a film that is applied from the inside, it is about 7 mm thick and will withstand I think up to a #4 hurricane. My son owns a company in
Portland OR. and is in the process of starting a Mx. business in Los Barriles (where my house is) It also security and sun protection, we went with a
very light shade protection and I noticed about 3-5 deg. difference in our house, the securtiy part is that you can hit it with a sledge hammer and
not break thru the window, yes the window shatters but stays in place. Hope this is helpful. I can have my Son email you if you have more questions,
he could give you a better "official" breakdown
Heike
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