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Author: Subject: Henrietta
shari
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Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"

[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 09:08 AM


Muchas gracias to all of you who post the updated maps here...I have a very slow computer and takes ages to get the material we need onto the screen so I depend on NOMAD POWER! I print them out twice a day for the proteccion civil here...our volunteer disaster squad. Batten down the hatches and be safe..don't underestimate mother nature...these things can speed up at any moment and take any direction...I talked to an amigo in La Paz this morning who didn't even know about it! I'm glad the water here is too cold and just pushes those nasty storms away and keeps our village cool man.



for info & pics of our little paradise & whale watching info
http://www.bahiaasuncion.com/
https://www.whalemagictours.com/
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oldlady
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 09:34 AM


Thanks for the forward sightings, Judy. Looks like the La Paz area will be on the "dirty side":barf: Please take it seriously everyone, and be safe!
ol
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Marie-Rose
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 09:52 AM


Stay safe everyone and post as often as you can! We count on all you nomads there
to let us know what happening:yes:




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edinnopolo
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 10:00 AM


However Shari, these computer models have your area as a target. Button down and suerte:P:P

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DianaT
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 10:09 AM


Quote:

However Shari, these computer models have your area as a target. Button down and suerte


I hope not because we are not there and we don't have window storm protection yet. :(

Diane




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edinnopolo
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 10:28 AM


It's definitely getting more organized

Henrietta (Small).jpg - 37kB
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tortuga
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 10:45 AM
Henrietta


Hope this isn't redundant This one is Sept. 3 8.00 A.M.

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heike
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 10:48 AM


We've got hurricane film on our windows, I am sure we will be fine! Good luck to everyone else!
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BCSTech
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 10:58 AM


Starting to cloud up here in Todos Santos.

Hey, Marie Rose, Maryanne said we could all have a hurricane party at her house. I'm cleaning out my liquor cabinet. You and Fred wanna come down? :)
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 11:05 AM


You are going to make us cry... would love to be there, hurricane and all:yes:

Sounds like you guys have been having one party after the other... any excuse;)
All kidding aside, stay safe and we are glad you are all taking care of each other!!




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tortuga
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 11:13 AM
Henrietta


Boy one thing I learned about these cone projections it is almost mute till 24 hrs. before landfall. Last year with John I was not worried about my area on Thursday prior to landfall.
That all changed however Friday afternon after John's wobble, as they put it !
Not putting down N.H.C I am sure it is hard at best to forecast these things accurately . If it wasn't for them and web sites like this one info would be hard to get about eastern Pacific (weather channel to interested with Atlantic basin .)
Well to all who will be affected by Henrietta God bless you, our thoughts and prayers are with you.
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BCSTech
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 11:30 AM


Quote:
Boy one thing I learned about these cone projections it is almost mute till 24 hrs. before landfall. Last year with John I was not worried about my area on Thursday prior to landfall.
Amen to that. I don't think anyone had a real grip on John's direction until about 3 hours before landfall.
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oxxo
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 12:08 PM


Noon, Los Cabos time.

Wind is up to about 15 to 20 knots. Surf is up to 8' to 10' that normally sees 2' to 4'. Long swells at about 5 to 6 seconds. I can clearly see the horizon out at sea to the south. Clouds building to the southeast but not that dark grey color. Some businesses are beginning to board their windows. Very long lines at the Pemex stations. We filled up last night with no line. Just stocked up on bottled water, pizza, and Tecate.

It appears that Henriette is going to pass Los Cabos about 30 to 40 miles west out at sea. That could change. However that will put Los Cabos in the dangerous northeast quadrant of the hurricane. We are expecting lots of rain and high winds, but not a direct hit.

The long time residents are being very stoic about the situation. The palms around our place were recently cut back to reduce the crown which will help them survive any high winds and reduce blowing debris. We're going to hunker down and hope for some rain......but not too much!

[Edited on 9-3-2007 by oxxo]
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 12:18 PM


Last night at about 2am we had an impressive thunderstorm show here in La Paz, not much noise because most was happening far away, but the light show was amazing.



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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 12:28 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by oxxo
The palms around our place were recently cut back to reduce the crown which will help them survive any high winds and reduce blowing debris.

[Edited on 9-3-2007 by oxxo]
Carrot top palm trees in Mexico? The condo's can't be far behind.:lol::lol::lol:
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bajajudy
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 02:03 PM


Storm shutters are up:bounce::bounce::bounce::bounce:

Looks like she wont be too strong of a hurricane but who knows. Actually still isnt a hurricane

000
WTPZ41 KNHC 032054
TCDEP1
TROPICAL STORM HENRIETTE DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112007
200 PM PDT MON SEP 03 2007

WHILE HENRIETTE'S SATELLITE APPEARANCE HAS IMPROVED DURING THE
DAY...AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS UNABLE TO FIND
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 60 KT
BASED ON A PEAK SFMR WIND OF 58 KT. THE CYCLONE HAS ANOTHER 24-36
HOURS OVER OPEN WATERS AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST CALLS FOR HENRIETTE
TO BECOME A HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING BAJA CALIFORNIA. INTENSITY
GUIDANCE HAS BEEN TRENDING WEAKER AND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
NUDGED LOWER.

HENRIETTE CONTINUES TO CRAWL ALONG WITH AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE
OF 315/05. THE OVERALL FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS UNCHANGED. THE
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 2
DAYS IN RESPONSE TO A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE
WEST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. DYNAMICAL MODELS REMAIN
REASONABLY CLUSTERED ABOUT A TRACK THAT TAKES THE CYCLONE TOWARD
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA IN 36-48 HOURS. DESPITE
THE CLUSTERING...DYNAMICAL MODELS HAVE CONSISTENTLY BEEN TOO FAST
IN THEIR FORWARD SPEED. BASED ON THIS TENDENCY...THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN THE MODEL CONSENSUS DURING THE
FIRST 36 HOURS. ONCE IT CROSSES THE BAJA PENINSULA...HENRIETTE IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTHWARD OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA...WITH A
SECOND LANDFALL OVER THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO IN
48-72 HOURS. DISSIPATION OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO IS EXPECTED
SHORTLY AFTER LANDFALL. WHILE IT IS DOUBTFUL THAT THE CYCLONE
WOULD SURVIVE A TRACK OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF NORTHWESTERN
MEXICO...SOME OF THE RESIDUAL MOISTURE COULD MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 03/2100Z 20.1N 108.5W 60 KT
12HR VT 04/0600Z 20.9N 109.2W 65 KT
24HR VT 04/1800Z 22.3N 110.2W 70 KT
36HR VT 05/0600Z 23.8N 110.9W 70 KT
48HR VT 05/1800Z 25.4N 111.2W 55 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 06/1800Z 29.5N 111.0W 30 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED




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bajajudy
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 02:06 PM


Here you go Shari

I am very busy adjusting my sails..more later

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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 02:47 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by heike
We've got hurricane film on our windows, I am sure we will be fine! Good luck to everyone else!


What is hurricane film and how much protection does it offer?
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Diver
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 03:05 PM


3M says the following about their Ultra Film;

In the event of a windstorm, these films may have significant safety and security value. They can reduce the risk of injury from flying shards of broken glass, and possibly help prevent debris and water penetration through the window depending on the severity of the storm (and the type of glass, framing system, size and velocity of objects, and more)."

Some film manufacturers claim to be Hurricane proof but I wouldn't count on it.
Also, it's surprising how much water damage can be done from water being forced in through operable window frames and door frames. Takes more than film to stop a hurricane; just ask some of our friends who were in their house in Cabo Pulmo for John !

.
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heike
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[*] posted on 9-3-2007 at 03:08 PM


It is a film that is applied from the inside, it is about 7 mm thick and will withstand I think up to a #4 hurricane. My son owns a company in Portland OR. and is in the process of starting a Mx. business in Los Barriles (where my house is) It also security and sun protection, we went with a very light shade protection and I noticed about 3-5 deg. difference in our house, the securtiy part is that you can hit it with a sledge hammer and not break thru the window, yes the window shatters but stays in place. Hope this is helpful. I can have my Son email you if you have more questions, he could give you a better "official" breakdown:light:
Heike
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