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Author: Subject: should i trade dollars for pesos now??
maspacifico
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[*] posted on 8-2-2008 at 12:12 PM


Yea Cypress,
BUT, these are "our" snakes! Where is the antivenom?
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mikeintj
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[*] posted on 8-2-2008 at 12:18 PM


You cannot predict changes to exchange rates.

The idea that you can predict what the exchange rate will be in X months time is one of the most tested theories in economics, maybe the most tested theory. It has been rejected by almost all economists.

Therefore, the best forecast for the exchange rate in X months time is the current exchange rate.

So forget trying to make a bundle on exchange rates, and quit worrying about what to do with your pesos/dollars on the basis of what may happen to the exchange rate in the future. Base all your decisions on the current exchange rate.
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Bruce R Leech
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[*] posted on 8-2-2008 at 12:18 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by maspacifico
Bruce,

That will always stick with Slick Willy, and I was peeed off when he lied about it...........but in retrospect what did it really cost you and I other than the impeachment fiasco? Take a look at our deficit counter and tell me which lie you want to be told. No head from a chubby girl.......or WMD? And, I believed Bush!

http://www.deficitsdomatter.org/



unfortunately they are all a bunch of lier's including the 2 that are running this year. it is just a shame that the job cant draw a person that has true integrity. and that goes for most politicians in the world today.




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oxxo
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[*] posted on 8-2-2008 at 12:31 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by elizabeth
Why the Bancomer cd's in dollar accounts...and not some in peso accounts?


Sorry Elizabeth, I was a bit imprecise. I should have said convert dollars into peso accounts paying about 6%.

Bancomer (a Spanish chartered bank) is seriously going after the US expatriot population in Mexico with their "Preferred Customer" program. They have special branches with English speaking staff in selected locations in Baja (Los Cabos in particular) and throughout Mexico. They have online banking in English and deposits are guaranteed to a certain amount. It might be worth a trip to Los Cabos to set up an account even if you live in the boonies of Baja. Then you could deposit, transfer funds, everything online.

At this time Bancomer is "bullish" on the American market. Their staff has told me that that their analysts predict that the dollar will come back strong relative to the Mexican peso in 2 to 3 years.
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Cypress
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[*] posted on 8-2-2008 at 12:49 PM


maspacifico, Our snakes?:?: Antivenom? Term limits. Term limits. And more term limits:bounce:
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elizabeth
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[*] posted on 8-2-2008 at 12:58 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by oxxo
Quote:
Originally posted by elizabeth
Why the Bancomer cd's in dollar accounts...and not some in peso accounts?


Sorry Elizabeth, I was a bit imprecise. I should have said convert dollars into peso accounts paying about 6%.

Bancomer (a Spanish chartered bank) is seriously going after the US expatriot population in Mexico with their "Preferred Customer" program. They have special branches with English speaking staff in selected locations in Baja (Los Cabos in particular) and throughout Mexico. They have online banking in English and deposits are guaranteed to a certain amount. It might be worth a trip to Los Cabos to set up an account even if you live in the boonies of Baja. Then you could deposit, transfer funds, everything online.

At this time Bancomer is "bullish" on the American market. Their staff has told me that that their analysts predict that the dollar will come back strong relative to the Mexican peso in 2 to 3 years.


Thanks for the explanation.
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maspacifico
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[*] posted on 8-2-2008 at 01:07 PM


Cypress,
Term limits? That's another can of worms we'll never see opened! Snakes won't vote themselves out of the holes and the 35% of the population that bother to vote don't seem to care as long as "their" party wins, and I am off to get....maspacifico!
We are officially "off topic"!

Pam,
Listen to oxxo, he is making sense with the CD's and Bancomer's Preferred Customer accounts. They have a branch in Todos Santos. Not sure if I agree our dollar is coming back anytime soon though......the rest of the world is looking at our bailout programs like we are drunken sailors.
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maspacifico
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[*] posted on 8-2-2008 at 01:24 PM


The online thing isn't the easiest get onto. The bank officer will walk you through it if you are at one of their Preferred sites. Once you get on though, it is all in English and pretty simple. I make my wife do it, she loves tedious, that's why she's with me!
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flyfishinPam
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[*] posted on 8-2-2008 at 06:37 PM


elizabeth, if you want to learn online banking with bancomer i am an expert. i'll be happy to show you.
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Skeet/Loreto
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[*] posted on 8-3-2008 at 02:28 AM


Pam:
I have some Advice for you and others, based on my,EXPERIENCE OF 38 YEARS IN BAJA SUR,-.

Hold onto as much CASH as you can afford.

Do not worry too much about a short.. 10% Loss.

Depending on who wins the Election will change things. I beleive if the Demos get in we will see 20% interest again, just as we did when Carter got in as President.
I was building 2 Fourplexs in Montana and got stuck with some 14.75 Interest. Added three years to my Profit Line.

If the Reps Win we will see a lot more Money put into the System by the Energy People-Pickins Plan as set forth by T Boone Pickins., Oil Drilling will start up in Anwar and other places.

Just Hold onto to the Cash>

Skeet
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Skeet/Loreto
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[*] posted on 8-3-2008 at 02:36 AM


Pam:When the Economy goes Sour you will know by the actions of the few People who control Loreto. Watch their Actions by the Delagado in doing Street work etc..
There will not be much you can do about it!
Relax and enjoy living in Loreto and on the Sea.
Might have to go a Year with out making Money, but it will come back!!!
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Bob and Susan
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[*] posted on 8-3-2008 at 06:43 AM


T Boone Pickins has a plan to reduce
dependence on foreign oil using
wind power and natural gas

remember the seinfeld episode that "george" wanted to be nick-named "t-bone"???

[Edited on 8-3-2008 by Bob and Susan]

home_vid2.jpg - 11kB




our website is:
http://www.mulege.org
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Bajajorge
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[*] posted on 8-3-2008 at 09:40 AM


Quote:
tell us where this 11 to 1 place is :P


11 to 1 was at El Dorado Ranch and Pete's Camp in San Felipe as of about June-July. They may have changed since then to 10 to 1, seeing that pesos were 9.9 to 1 yesterday.

Terry, as for paying modida I'm not going to say when the last time was, or how much. Ain't gonna jinx myself. As for the gold card, the last time I used that it caused decension in the ranks.
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oxxo
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[*] posted on 8-3-2008 at 11:23 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by Skeet/Loreto I beleive if the Demos get in we will see 20% interest again,


And what is your point? And why is it bad to pay what the current true cost of money is rather than borrowing from the Chinese and letting our children/grandchildren worry about paying it back? And high interest rates would only encourage Americans to save and invest at home rather than in Mexico. But not to worry, money will not go up to 20% regardless of what party is elected.
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Skeet/Loreto
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[*] posted on 8-3-2008 at 01:30 PM


0xx0- How can you say that Money will not go up as it did in the Carter years????

I remember talking to many people who stated the same thing> I think you are 100% Wrong!

I also was involved with making some money in Pesos startng in 1975 when people did not think the Mesicano Peso would go to from 8 to 1 to 3,000 to 1 !!!. I got up to 148% on 28 Day notes at the Bank in Villa Constitution.

A good many of my Friends are putting their Cash in their Home Banks{Holes in the Back yard} awaiting the bottom, then they will bring it Forth and Buy Cheap.


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oxxo
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[*] posted on 8-3-2008 at 02:50 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by Skeet/Loreto
How can you say that Money will not go up as it did in the Carter years????


Hmmmm, let me think about this.......:light: I guess I can say it for the same reasons you say that it will go up to 20% just like in the Carter years, which is out of context and not entirely accurate.

Furthermore, I am saying that should the cost of money go up to 20%, that is probably not a bad scenario. It means that passbook savings accounts will be paying 10%+, more US dollars will be placed into savings (which is long overdue), and Americans will find it less attractive to invest in foreign economies, and more foreign currency will flow into US banks. It could be just what the economic doctor ordered. And US speculators will lose their pants, which would be nobody's fault but their own.
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comitan
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[*] posted on 8-3-2008 at 03:10 PM


Pam just go with the flow if you try to beat the game you will probably get burnt. Just remember you are not in the speculating business.



Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.

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[*] posted on 8-3-2008 at 03:23 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by Bajajorge
When traveling back to Baja I make sure I have at least 1000 pesos for the trip.


Holy cow, you actually have $100 in pesos on you at any time in Baja. What a scary thought.




�I won\'t insult your intelligence by suggesting that you really believe what you just said.� William F. Buckley, Jr.
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Bajajorge
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[*] posted on 8-6-2008 at 08:54 AM


Quote:
I quit buying T-shirts and blankets a few years ago, now when in Mexico I just drink alot. Come to think of it, I drink alot in the US too. But, that don't make me all bad..:spingrin::saint:

Holy cow, you actually have $100 in pesos on you at any time in Baja. What a scary thought.
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bajalera
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[*] posted on 8-6-2008 at 11:56 AM


Just ignore Gull--he's envious of us wealthy Nomads.



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