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Author: Subject: Slight chance of another storm
EngineerMike
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[*] posted on 9-16-2009 at 06:25 PM


Marty never strikes twice in the same place :lol:
(at least I hope a good laugh is in order :P)




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Dianamo
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[*] posted on 9-17-2009 at 07:44 AM


What's the procedure for naming storms? Was the previous storm Marti...with an "i"?

Also, note the new storm hugging the west coast of MX that is forecast to disappear. I hope so!




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[*] posted on 9-17-2009 at 10:59 AM


Looks like yet another tropical depression is going to spin up into a storm right behind Marty. It's in a very risky place.



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[*] posted on 9-17-2009 at 11:22 AM


Don't forget to turn the clouds ON. Center right of picture.

http://www.stormpulse.com/pacific
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comitan
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[*] posted on 9-17-2009 at 03:10 PM


ABPZ20 KNHC 171741
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT THU SEP 17 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM MARTY...LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF
ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION AND CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS IT
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




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[*] posted on 9-17-2009 at 03:14 PM


Still far away but ....

model.gif - 29kB
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DianaT
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[*] posted on 9-17-2009 at 04:10 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by Diver
Still far away but ....


Some of those computer models can drive one crazy. With Jimena, not only did the actual report change every 4 hours, so did the computer models----

Guess these storms have real minds of their own and do what they want and reserve the right to change with no warning.

Sure hope this heads west!

Diane




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woody with a view
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[*] posted on 9-17-2009 at 04:59 PM


look out hawaii....



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[*] posted on 9-17-2009 at 05:08 PM


Look out La Paz, we have a whole system of clouds from Marty, it really looks like the whole system is coming this way, no they couldn't be wrong. :light:



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[*] posted on 9-17-2009 at 07:37 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by Diver
Still far away but ....


Wow! Look at the 8PM models. They all just converged and place the storm over Baja in 48 hours!




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Russ
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[*] posted on 9-17-2009 at 07:46 PM


AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS STILL APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM
MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 10 MPH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 TO 50 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.




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Crusoe
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[*] posted on 9-17-2009 at 07:50 PM


OVER BAJA IN 48 HRS???????? WTF
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[*] posted on 9-17-2009 at 07:58 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by jdtrotter
Guess these storms have real minds of their own and do what they want and reserve the right to change with no warning.
Diane


Probably the reason that for a long time they all had only female names.:biggrin::biggrin:




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[*] posted on 9-18-2009 at 07:35 AM


here is this mornings "Model of the Hour" dont much like the looks of it at all....but hey...dont like it?...wait till the next one! we might get rid of our skanky palapa yet! tee hee

[Edited on 9-18-2009 by shari]

ep200998_model.gif - 32kB




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[*] posted on 9-18-2009 at 02:01 PM


I hope this is as crazy as it sounds... but I just watched the satellite loop and what I think I'm seeing appears that Marty has broken up and is heading back to Baja. God, I hope I'm delusional!

[Edited on 9-18-2009 by Russ]

Marty 9:18:09??.jpg - 47kB




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[*] posted on 9-18-2009 at 02:09 PM


Still headed WNW at 7mph.

Does seem to have enlarged and become more organized. Let's wait and see.
----------------

Don't forget to turn on the clouds, center right:

http://www.stormpulse.com/pacific

[Edited on 9-18-2009 by DENNIS]
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[*] posted on 9-18-2009 at 02:27 PM


Dennis, watch the animation about the 5th frame down.. http://www.eebmike.com/ ~~ or http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/epac/sloop-wv.html

[Edited on 9-18-2009 by Russ]




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comitan
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[*] posted on 9-18-2009 at 04:46 PM


They say Marty is going to go west, with all the clouds still over us and more coming I still think its going to breakup over La Paz. Have a couple more days before I worry about the next one, still have everything prepared.



Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.

Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)

Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.

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HaciendaCerritos
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[*] posted on 9-18-2009 at 05:18 PM


Here at Los Cerritos you couldn't prove it by us that Marty is heading West. The wind is up and the ocean is "angry" as they say here. Our famous "Palapa at the pool" is swaying and I may need to tie it down again.

Very weird weather.
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HaciendaCerritos
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[*] posted on 9-18-2009 at 05:27 PM


You know what, you may be right about it splitting - this looks like "2 eyed Marty" to me with one of those eyes heading EAST!



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