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Author: Subject: Look out below! hurricane Miriam...
BajaBlanca
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 01:18 PM


I don't evenknow where to start preparing for this hurricane .... our palapa roof will end up in abreojos for sure ....




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micah202
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 01:30 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by BajaBlanca
I don't evenknow where to start preparing for this hurricane .... our palapa roof will end up in abreojos for sure ....


...maybe warn the people of abreojos then!
...g'luck

[Edited on 9-24-2012 by micah202]
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DavidE
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 02:32 PM


SUPPOSEDLY, the center of the storm is going to be HERE as a remnant low with 30 kt winds on Saturday



[url=https://maps.google.com/maps?hl=en&q=map+27.0N+113.0W&ie=UTF-8]

[Edited on 9-24-2012 by DavidE]




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landyacht318
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 02:41 PM


They are really calling on Miriam to rapidly weaken before reaching land. As fast as or faster than an Atlantic hurricane moving over land. I don't see it.

Gonna be a lot of rain regardless, and far reaching on both sides of the storm's center.
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redmesa
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 03:01 PM


In hurricanes from what they say and what I have experienced, the winds are bad but the sudden huge rainstorm and high surf are what cause most of the damage. i.e. Galveston. I have been in B.A. in two rain storms and it was shocking the amount damage done to the town. My heart is going out to the people there and I so hope Miriam has a heart and dissipates quickly.
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BillP
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 03:12 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by DavidE
SUPPOSEDLY, the center of the storm is going to be HERE as a remnant low with 30 kt winds on Saturday



[url=https://maps.google.com/maps?hl=en&q=map+27.0N+113.0W&ie=UTF-8]

[Edited on 9-24-2012 by DavidE]

David, check your u2u
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surfdoc
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 03:35 PM


Gypsy..........no worries the pups and I will check up on your place !!!

Putting the seat in the Yak... white water down the hill to the Coop store Yeehaa!
And stocking up on Tecate and TP...........

Thanks for the links and updates !!!!
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 03:41 PM


STan, when that arroyo by your house runs, you will be stranded as the road washes out down from you...maybe you should stay at Gypsies if it rains for more than 4 hours...seriously dude. From there you can access town and drive around in all the water! It's gonna be a freak show.



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mulegemichael
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 04:44 PM


we've weathered julio, juan and jimena and are a little worn out from mucking out but are committed to doing it again if it happens...my honey says, "it weeds out the weak"....whatever...she's kidding, of course...just hope we don't see water over our roof again.



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Russ
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 04:59 PM


I'm hoping she'll let me get home on Tues.




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Ken Cooke
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 06:10 PM






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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 06:44 PM
Hurricane Miriam (Cat 3) Forecast Storm Tracks


24 Sept 2012, 9:00 hrs (Pacific) ... look out GUERRERO NEGRO (?).

Google Earth KMZ (dynamic link) file may be downloaded here (also Atlantic basin) ... http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/models/data.cgi

Checkmark box will be UNchecked. Checkmark it once, it turns off again. Checkmark it a 2nd time and it stays on.

I like to monitor:

* Orange "traffic cone"-looking placemarks are worldwide ocean buoys (Google it --- and YES, these are your USA taxpayer dollars at work; for the citizens of all countries).
* White is real-time visible cloud cover.
* Green is real-time rain/precipitation.


1400 pixel image here




[Edited on 2012-9-25 by bryanmckenzie]
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bryanmckenzie
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 06:53 PM
Gee, it doesn't look all that big from up here ...


Gee, it doesn't look all that big from up here (7,100 miles up).



1400 pixel image here

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bryanmckenzie
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 06:59 PM
Closeup of the most likely path ...


... Jeez, it's been quiet here on the Atlantic side all season. :P What's up with THREE major Pacific storms in just a few months?

1400 pixel image here





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SFandH
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 07:05 PM


Great images, thanks.



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shari
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 07:19 PM


it' supposed to rain starting wednesday evening here



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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 07:22 PM


My guess and hope is it will dissipate offshore and only bring minor winds and heavy rains.............judging by the surf sites I visit. Definitely some swell coming, but the hurricane looks like it'll fall apart. BUT- who knows what nature's opinion is??



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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 07:36 PM


De nada, amigo.

Quote:
Originally posted by SFandH
Great images, thanks.


[Edited on 2012-9-25 by bryanmckenzie]
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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 07:55 PM


Chris Dunn is the ch5 weatherman in phx and a So.Cal native and fisherman. He sent this email tonight with a couple of links and will keep an eye on this storm for us and send updates.


"I will record a special update and post this evening. Right now the storm could go either way as there is no clear-cut forecast track. Even if the center stays off the coast, Baja could see some heavier rain (1-3”). Not sure if that would cause widespread flooding problems in Mulege…it could if it came in one day.

Here are a couple of links for you:

http://classic.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/ep201213_m... I like weather underground stuff

http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=enp_wind Closer view of eastern Pacific WWIII model of wind field

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=mmlt Grid point output from the GFS model for Loreto. Mulege doesn’t have one available, so this was the closest I could find. Keep in mind this is just ONE possible solution…and there isn’t a lot of consensus between all the models right now. Check out the “models” section on Weather underground!

Intensity forecast shows a rapid decline in wind speed once it gets away from 80° water. Looks like the center is very close to Clarion right now.
-Chris Dunn






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KPHO CBS 5 News

cdunn@cbs5az.com




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[*] posted on 9-24-2012 at 09:09 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by woody with a view
new models show it going towards vizcaino putting BA in the heavy quadrant. at least it is predicted to fall apart prior to landfall. the waves, however, will still be impressively large!


I'll send pics of Abre Woody :spingrin:
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