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Author: Subject: Henrietta
BCSTech
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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 03:38 PM


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Cabo radar images are all out of date by several hours
What do you base this on? Why would they update an image that is hours old every 10 minutes? Whenever we had a rainfall here, I could see a corresponding rain band on the radar.
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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 03:47 PM


BCSTech,
The current Cabo radar image I am seeing is dated 9/4/07, 19:40:35. Subtract 6 hours for La Paz time. They stopped updating at 1:40 PM, apparently, unless you have a different source than I do.




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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 03:50 PM


Todos Santos 4:50 p.m.
Started to really blow here in Todos Santos and electricity is out.
Large caps on the ocean visible from two miles away.
Out of Pacifico; we're having a Negra Modelo...
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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 03:59 PM


amir...you should have prepared:lol:

next time you'll know:P




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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 04:04 PM


Quote:
The current Cabo radar image I am seeing is dated 9/4/07, 19:40:35
Sorry, I thought you were saying they were always out of date by several hours, not just this afternoon. But you're spot on. They probably lost their internet connection in the middle of the storm at 1:40 and couldn't update.
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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 04:07 PM


In 20 minutes I'll be having a live interview with Ms. Claudia Magaña from the Suites Las Palas in San Jose del Cabo and she is going to give us a report on the current situation as the eye of the hurricane is right tere, right now.
Tune in.
saludos




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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 04:53 PM


Hey Fernando, Caught your show. To bad about that phone connection but it was interesting... Alan
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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 04:55 PM


Thanks, maybe their phone was about to quit? she said the power was out.



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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 05:07 PM


6PM - winds 25+ baro 29.69 -

[Edited on 9-5-2007 by Russ]

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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 05:11 PM


Hey Amir, is the power off on your side of the creek? Out over here...



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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 05:12 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by Russ
Tomorrow high tide at 11AM And it is one of the highest this month or in the last few weeks. I'm using the Guymas chart it seems a little closer on the times than Santa Rosalia's


That is no bueno Russ, that puts the hurricane just south and east of all you guys near Mulege. Perhaps the fact that it will not push directly up the SOC could be a limiting factor hopefully.




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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 05:28 PM


Infrared Loop from Intellicast - through 23:30 GMT

torm.hen.ani3.gif - 48kB




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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 05:29 PM


HURRICANE HENRIETTE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112007
500 PM PDT TUE SEP 04 2007

...HENRIETTE MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA
PENINSULA FROM LORETO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...AND FROM BAHIA
MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF LORETO TO
MULEGE.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA NORTHWARD
TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FOR ALTATA NORTHWARD TO BAHIA KINO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HENRIETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST OR JUST WEST
OF CABO PULMO ON THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT
40 MILES...80 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA
PENINSULA.

HENRIETTE IS MOVING ON A MOTION BETWEEN THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND
NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
OF HENRIETTE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE SEA OF CORTEZ WITHIN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. HENRIETTE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE HENRIETTE MOVES
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA FOLLOWED BY LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH WHILE CROSSING THE SEA OF CORTEZ.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
HENRIETTE.

HENRIETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3
TO 5 INCHES ALONG THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS
AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.

torm.hen.for2.gif - 9kB




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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 05:30 PM


Sharks what makes you think its not going up the SOC.:?::?::?:



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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 05:50 PM


If the storm tracked, say along the mainland or up the middle of the gulf then I figure more water would be theoretically pushed in front of it rather than by it crossing land and emerging back on to an area uptonow not affected by rising seas. I'm taking about La Paz in particular. If the storm does stays over the land it will do just what John did, dump it's load of water. I worry more about that whole stretch between La Paz and Loreto more than anywhere else.
The mountains there are such a magnet for moisture. THe arroyos have shown what created them. Don't stay or cross any arroyo during intense rainfall. As was seen last year the whole desert is awash in places. Were talkin' VW size rocks and the force to carve out a new landscape. I'm glad the new bridges are in place near Mulege. It shows the great hindsight Mexicans impress me with. That and their urgency to get help fast to those who need it. I heard stories of folks out there repairing washouts stone by stone just hours after the flood. I wish we would all learn a great lesson from all that happened. I'm confident strangers will help strangers as well if needed. Afterall, it is Baja.




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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 05:53 PM


People push a car through a flooded street as Hurricane Henriette hits Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, Tuesday, Sept. 4, 2007. (AP Photo/Guillermo Arias)

capt.69d7eae576d648c2a485f59626a600b1.mexico_tropical_weather_lcga116.jpg - 30kB




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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 05:55 PM


Hurricane Henriette causes rough seas in Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, Tuesday, Sept. 4, 2007. (AP Photo/Guillermo Arias)

capt.e8328d672b954304a0ae7fd8699e09cc.mexico_tropical_weather_lcga113.jpg - 33kB




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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 06:03 PM


My thinking is all the tropical flow that Henriette is spewing of is going over northern Mexico, whatever is pulling that will affect the storm track. With this scenario the storm would come up the east coast of the Baja short of Loreto and head to the mainland, you like that.:lol::lol::lol:



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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 06:15 PM


Power just out in Chametla....not sure how long the back-up
will keep this puppy going.
Good Luck everyone
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[*] posted on 9-4-2007 at 06:21 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by BCSTech
Hey Amir, is the power off on your side of the creek? Out over here...


Todos Santos 7:00 p.m.
Yes, Alan, power has been out for a few hours. I'm on an external power supply for the satellite modem so I got offline for awhile. It's getting dark quickly so we're getting the candles out...

The wind has been blowing hard but hardly any rain. Cannot see the ocean as before. It feels like a typical winter day on the Oregon coast, even the temperature dropped quite a bit when the wind started. The wind was blowing from the northwest at first, but now it is coming more from the south.
Occasional wind howling and whistling feels like a great show of nature, except we're thinking of the folks on the Cortez side and none of this must be amusing to them.

Our thoughts and prayers are with you who are getting battered two years in a row...

[Edited on 9-5-2007 by amir]
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