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Author: Subject: McStay family
EnsenadaDr
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[*] posted on 2-5-2013 at 09:36 AM


Still the mystery illudes the Newport Beach community, for over 40 years.... a young. blonde affable bartender disappears from the face of this high society surfing community, rumoured to be somewhere south of the Border...
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durrelllrobert
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[*] posted on 2-5-2013 at 10:20 AM
IMHO I believe that this theory is plausible


http://newsblaze.com/story/20100403100625kays.nb/topstory.ht...


"I'm going to lay out my theory, so don't scoff at me for idle speculation. I'm sure that the FBI is doing that very thing even as I type these words. But here goes nothing. A favorite movie of mine, 1998's A Simple Plan, directed by Sam Raimi, is my model for what happened to the McStays. In the film Hank Mitchell, his brother Jacob, and a friend Lou stumble upon a downed airplane. They find a dead man inside the crash and $4.4 million dollars in cash, stashed in cargo bags.

The brothers and the friend devise a 'simple plan' to lay low and to keep the money as a sort of retirement account for their old age. This is where the irony comes in, this is anything but a 'simple plan' as a rapid sequence of events put a tire iron in the spokes of a well-oiled scheme.

In this parallel the McStays must have discovered some money that they weren't intended to have. I think it was a sum of more than a million dollars. This cash may have been hidden in one of the fountains that Joseph purchased from Mexico. Narco-traffickers may have been attempting to launder vast amounts of drug money by way of these fountain craftsmen on the other side of the border. The McStays were not supposed to be aware of this scheme.

As such their men on the American side would retrieve this money and smuggle it away to another safehouse. But Joseph accidentally discovered this money when he was working on one of these fountains. The amount was so great, that he decided to keep it after discussing the situation with Summer.

In the film Bill Paxton does something similar with Bridgett Fonda. The money pushes their button. This is where a 'simple plan' comes into play.

And so this would explain why the bank accounts suddenly went dead. The McStays would operate strictly on a cash-only-basis, going forward. They figured that could hide out in Mexico undetected, maybe in some simple village up in the mountains, away from civilization. And their cash would stretch out as far as the eye can see.

Fitting in with my theory, the McStays had to hide out in the states from the 4th to the 8th. They didn't want to cross over into Mexico too rapidly, lest the traffickers might surprise them at the crossing. Why leave the white Isuzu Trooper in San Ysidro? Because the Bad Men knew of the vehicle from the news, so they had to get rid of it. And what about the last call to the business partner?

This is why I think he knew. He may have tipped off the McStays that 'they' were looking for them. This would also explain why he won't give his name or provide the media with a statement of some kind. Also, I believe the police know of his involvement and are providing him with a makeshift 'witness protection program.' This would also explain why it took so long to report the disappearance to the authorities. Enough time was allowed for the McStays to hide away in the remotest regions of Mexico.

And then you might wonder why the McStays didn't just return the money to these traffickers? The reason why is this wasn't even an option! Even if they did return the money, they would still be killed to silence them. This is how these ruthless criminals operate, in say, Ciudad Juarez. The McStays had no choice but to flee with the money in tow. They had but one choice-a permanent departure from their once beautiful life.




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[*] posted on 2-5-2013 at 10:51 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by durrelllrobert
IMHO I believe that this theory is plausible


and it is EQUALLY probable that they were abducted by space aliens.
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[*] posted on 4-9-2013 at 08:05 PM


the latest:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/04/09/investigators-say-m...

[Edited on 4-10-2013 by BajaNomad]




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[*] posted on 4-9-2013 at 08:43 PM


--
San Diego Sheriff Department was the primary lead on our case from the very beginning with many other agencies , including the FBI and DOJ, assisting in running down all the tips that came across Detective DuGal’s desk.

This morning at 8:30am my phone rings with a number I clearly recognize as the lead Detective on the case. He assured me that a Press Release was being conducted “as we speak” and he read off to me what was to be said. SDSD has been very supportive throughout this whole ordeal and clearly wants to resolve our missing family person’s case.

The FBI has always taken part in our case because there are small minor children involved. The portion of the FBI that investigates missing children has been assisting SDSD from day one. I know that my mom and I are happy with SDSD and are optimistic with the resources that the FBI brings to the table.

We simply want to know what happened to our missing loved ones. We are grateful that there has been so much love and support the past 3 years.
--

http://www.mcstayfamily.org/new




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[*] posted on 4-10-2013 at 12:41 PM
McStays Left San Diego Voluntarily


McStay family's vehicle, a white 1996 Isuzu Trooper, was found abandoned in a San Ysidro parking lot on Feb. 8. - Nelvin C. Cepeda / Union-Tribune

FALLBROOK - "While the three-year investigation into the missing McStay family has yielded few clues, sheriff's detectives said Tuesday that evidence seems to indicate the foursome traveled into Mexico of their own free will.

Because the family is believed to be out of the country, the case has been transferred to the FBI as the lead investigative agency. The FBI has more international resources, as well as agents who specialize in missing persons cases that involve children.

The announcement Tuesday is the first time sheriff's investigators have revealed a strong consensus in the case.

The McStays - Joseph, wife Summer, and young sons Gianni and Joey Jr. - disappeared from their new Fallbrook home in February 2010, shocking their friends and family. Investigators had little to go on as they worked to determine if the family ran off or fell victim to foul play.

They haven't been heard from or seen since Feb. 4, 2010.

Mike McStay, Joseph McStay's brother, has agonized over the mystery ever since. He said Tuesday that while physical and circumstantial evidence seems to point to a trip to Mexico, no one has actually spotted them down there.

"They've never really been able to confirm anything. It's really just circumstantial evidence," he said.

The family apparently left in a hurry. Groceries were found abandoned on the kitchen counter, and their two dogs in the backyard.

The family's Isuzu Trooper was found parked in a lot in San Ysidro and towed days after their disappearance, with two car seats and a child's asthma medicine inside.

On the family's computer, investigators found Internet searches for passport requirements to bring children into Mexico.

A surveillance tape at the border four days after their disappearance seems to show a man, woman and two children crossing, but the video quality is poor.

The Sheriff's Department, with help from the FBI, ran down hundreds of tips that have come in over the years, with no success.

Sheriff's Lt. Glenn Giannantonio said he gathered all the investigators working the case about a month ago and asked for their best conclusions.

"We may never know for sure, but do we think it was them (in the video)? The answer is yes," Giannantonio said.

"There is nothing to show that they went other than voluntarily when they are seen crossing the border," he said. "They walk past three customs agents and make no attempt to get any help." Detectives found no other indications of a struggle or crime scene.

With that, they decided the FBI would be the most appropriate agency to follow up. Still, tips keep coming in. Sheriff's homicide Detective Troy DuGal, who has handled the case from the beginning, just got three or four new leads last week, including a possible sighting in New York. They will all be checked out, Giannantonio said.

Mike McStay, who lives in Orange County, has his own doubts about who is really seen crossing in that video.

He said he has sent his own team down to Mexico three times, scouring Baja down to Cabo San Lucas and over to Guerrero Negro. A lack of funds has prevented him from making more trips.

He said he welcomes the FBI's added resources and continued help from the Sheriff's Department."

A reward of up to $1,000 is being offered for information that leads to a resolution in the case. Tipsters can remain anonymous by contacting Crime Stoppers at (888) 580-8477 or sdcrimestoppers.com.




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[*] posted on 4-10-2013 at 12:50 PM


Here's the new book on the subject:

http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/no-good-byes-rick-baker/1114...
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[*] posted on 4-10-2013 at 01:13 PM


I'm not understanding the money inside the fountain theory. Dont the cartels usually try and move dollars FROM the US TO Mexico? Why would money be inside a fountain imported INTO the US?

Also, if they were hiding out in Mexico with large sums of dollars, it would have to be a rural area or they would have been spotted in a populated area by now. Passing lots of dollars in a rural area can be very unsafe.

Interesting story. I suspect they have met an untimely fate. So hard to disappear these days.




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[*] posted on 4-10-2013 at 01:48 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by Gypsy Jan
A surveillance tape at the border four days after their disappearance seems to show a man, woman and two children crossing, but the video quality is poor.




Seems that camera equipment in sensitive areas should have higher quality images. What good is it if you can't identify people twenty feet away.

Something else not mentioned above....they left $100,000 bucks in their local bank. ????????
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[*] posted on 4-10-2013 at 02:05 PM


Well, shoot, DENNIS, they are still trying to track you down in Newport Beach...after 20 years.
Quote:
Originally posted by DENNIS
Somebody mentioned this a few days back and I almost don't even want to know what happened.......I mean, how they could vanish from the face of the earth. Hopefully, it was well planned and all good.
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[*] posted on 4-10-2013 at 02:30 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by DENNIS
Quote:
Originally posted by Gypsy Jan
A surveillance tape at the border four days after their disappearance seems to show a man, woman and two children crossing, but the video quality is poor.




Seems that camera equipment in sensitive areas should have higher quality images. What good is it if you can't identify people twenty feet away.

Something else not mentioned above....they left $100,000 bucks in their local bank. ????????


it's only money. perhaps they are not focused on money and find other things to focus on in life!
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[*] posted on 4-10-2013 at 03:05 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by mtgoat666
it's only money. perhaps they are not focused on money and find other things to focus on in life!


I guess his brother was intensly focused on the money shortly after the disappearance.

I heard an interview with the author of the book this AM. I'm sending for it, although I'm not expecting much in new facts, but I need a new bathroom book.
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[*] posted on 4-10-2013 at 03:40 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by DENNIS

I guess his brother was intensly focused on the money shortly after the disappearance.


Some of the links above have a comment from the brother regarding his need to manage the missing brother's finances (mortgage, business commitments, etc).

I am presently responsible for probating my father's estate....and would be offended if someone "guessed" that my efforts to be fiscally/legally responsible (which have been "intense" at times....e.g. questioning accountant why his rate charged is double that of other accountants; why the accountant gave advice to stall paying estate taxes [which led to significant penalty]) were designed to be disreputable.

Clearly there is so much folks do NOT know about this mystery but are willing to be armchair sleuths. The book apparently is one of those efforts.




Don't believe everything you think....
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[*] posted on 4-10-2013 at 04:00 PM


I'm with you, Motoged, having just been the executor of my parents trust (they recently died within 2 months of each other). Someone has to pay the bills, ensure income is properly received/recorded, titles are transferred, mortage paid (not not, as appropriate), etc., until the estate is finalized. Seems his brother was taking care of those things. Somebody had to. Doesn't mean he was stealing. Some posts and atrticles seem to imply a nefarious motive to his brother simply taking care of business. If I read right, the sheriff looked into it and found nothing out of place with what his brother was doing.
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[*] posted on 4-10-2013 at 04:13 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by Hook
I'm not understanding the money inside the fountain theory. Dont the cartels usually try and move dollars FROM the US TO Mexico? Why would money be inside a fountain imported INTO the US?

Also, if they were hiding out in Mexico with large sums of dollars, it would have to be a rural area or they would have been spotted in a populated area by now. Passing lots of dollars in a rural area can be very unsafe.

Interesting story. I suspect they have met an untimely fate. So hard to disappear these days.



Hook

When you get tired of over developing Baja real estate , you invest in racing horses .

http://www.cnn.com/2012/06/12/justice/texas-cartel-horseraci...

;)
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[*] posted on 4-10-2013 at 04:47 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by KaceyJ

When you get tired of over developing Baja real estate , you invest in racing horses .




Yeah...They've built a two lane sprint track right here on the road from Punta Banda to Maneadero.....starting gates, rails and some beautiful horses. It's not a public event track.
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[*] posted on 6-19-2013 at 01:46 PM


I was in front of the plaza in San Jose that Habeneros restaurant is in last week when a Joe McStay's mother walked up and asked me where the police station was located. After explaining it she handed me a missing persons flyer for these folks.

Still missing, still no solid leads. She's still looking.


.

[Edited on 6-21-2013 by Wally]
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[*] posted on 11-14-2013 at 07:52 PM
News report: remains of McStay family possibly ID'd in CA


Car had been observed at San Ysidro crossing, leading to speculation that family was in Baja.

San Diego news report: http://www.10news.com/news/sources-investigators-looking-int...




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[*] posted on 11-14-2013 at 08:09 PM


Big "IF"....we'll see.



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[*] posted on 11-14-2013 at 11:04 PM
McStay Family news


Not looking good:

http://www.utsandiego.com/news/2013/nov/14/remains-missing-m...

From The San Diego Union: "The remains of four people found Monday in the San Bernardino County desert might be those of the McStay family — a father, wife and two young sons who went missing from their Fallbrook home in 2010."




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