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mulegemichael
Super Nomad
Posts: 2310
Registered: 12-24-2007
Location: sequim,wa. and mulege
Member Is Offline
Mood: up on step
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Jimena
Looks like we might get a little wet. Tropical storm Jimena is off the coast around acapulco and is headed n/nw...cross your fingers, amigos.
dyslexia is never having to say you\'re yrros.
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
Member Is Offline
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TS Jimena
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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Since GFDL usually is the closest with their forecast, Cabo may be in for an event.
http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/ep200913_model
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joel
Nomad
Posts: 361
Registered: 2-2-2007
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More humidity. Nice.
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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Only 2 of the ships models predict it coming this way, but I'm with Vandenberg the GFDL model has shown to be the most accurate, batten down the
hatches.
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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Hey Woody...happy now?? I was checking the discussion on this baby and found
this to be rather interesting....especially the part about "the highest value I have ever seen" hmmmm. Well, it will be something to get our panties
in a knot over for the next week....will it or wont it...go west or east....cabo or mulege....etc etc....and it wont cool our temps down this week
either...dang.
good luck everyone...hope it goes way west...we wanna go see if there is tuna next week.
The large-scale environment appears extremely favorable
for continued rapid strengthening...with very warm SSTs over
30c...very high mid-level humidity and low shear. The SHIPS rapid
intensification index is forecasting a 95 percent chance of a 35 kt
increase during the next 24 hours...the highest value I have ever
seen. In addition...all guidance shows this system becoming either
a category three or four hurricane. Thus...the official forecast
will show continued rapid strengthening...showing a 35-kt increase
from the 1200 UTC synoptic intensity of 60 kt. SSTs decrease in the
long-range...and weakening is shown after day 3.
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
Member Is Offline
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This one looks pretty scary
http://www.stormpulse.com/pacific/fullscreen/current
According to the above site, Tues Jimena will be 246 miles ssw of Cabo San Lucas as a hurricane cat 4.
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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The stormpulse site is really good, also click on the arrows left bottom corner.
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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woody with a view
PITA Nomad
Posts: 15939
Registered: 11-8-2004
Location: Looking at the Coronado Islands
Member Is Offline
Mood: Everchangin'
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WOW!
let's hope it stays offshore. better for everyone that way. either way, the surf will be impressive.... work sucks!!!!!!
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Santiago
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3511
Registered: 8-27-2003
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| Quote: | Originally posted by shari
good luck everyone...hope it goes way west...we wanna go see if there is tuna next week.
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Hey Shari: If it does go up your side, will it push warm water into your area? And might those warm waters have tuna and dorado? By the week after?
Just curious......
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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santiago...this weeks storm pushed the warm water to us finally...it is up to the mid and high 70's now which has been lovely for cooling off with
swims the last few days...Juan is jonsein to get out and look for tuna.
Some Punta Banda nomads will try their luck on monday to give a chance for he water to clear up a bit more after the huge swell we had.
White sea bass are in the little cove by our place...man oh man...what a delicioso fish we had last night on the barbie.
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vandenberg
Elite Nomad
Posts: 5118
Registered: 6-21-2005
Location: Nopolo
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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Here a warning we got from the Baja Insider, one of the great information sites on approaching weather.
We know that sometimes news from our region is slow to reach our friends up north so we wanted to alert our readers to a developing hurricane in the
Eastern Pacific.
Hurricane Jimena is now moving to the WNW some 740 miles SE of Cabo San Lucas. Current forecasts call for Hurricane Jimena to become a Major Hurricane
(one of Category 3 or greater and winds in excess of 96kts) this weekend. Hurricane Jimena is over very warm water and strengthening quickly off the
southern coast of Mexico.
The five day forecast calls for Hurricane Jimena to pass west of the peninsula late Tuesday and Wednesday as a Category 2 Storm. But the similarities
to Hurricane John of 2003 are striking, so we here at the BajaInsider will be following this storm closely. Our 24hr coverage of the storm will begin
Sunday night and continue until the threat to Baja has passed. (or we lose connection here in La Paz)
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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I think we may get a double whami, another threat just popped up down south and if it forms, it will follow Jimena buy just 3-4 days.
[Edited on 8-29-2009 by comitan]
[Edited on 8-29-2009 by comitan]
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by comitan
I think we may get a double whami, another threat just popped up down south and if it forms, it will follow Jimena buy just 3-4 days.
[Edited on 8-29-2009 by comitan]
[Edited on 8-29-2009 by comitan] |
Wiley
If you are looking at wunderground and talking about invest 94...that is Jimena. For some reason they left it up. Look at the date....friday.
If not, I dont see what you are talking about.
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comitan
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 4177
Registered: 3-27-2004
Location: La Paz
Member Is Offline
Mood: mellow
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No not Jimena, Its coming thru Panama area way down in Hurricane alley. And anything at this point with warm water can turn.
[Edited on 8-29-2009 by comitan]
Strive For The Ideal, But Deal With What\'s Real.
Every day is a new day, better than the day before.(from some song)
Lord, Keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.
“The sincere pursuit of truth requires you to entertain the possibility that everything you believe to be true may in fact be false”
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Russ
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6742
Registered: 7-4-2004
Location: Punta Chivato
Member Is Offline
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Everyone has their favorite sit to watch storms develop http://www.eebmike.com/ has a good write up on Jimena, imagery and predicted paths.
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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arrowhead
Banned
Posts: 912
Registered: 5-5-2009
Member Is Offline
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On the current forecast, Jimena is going to go right over Isla Socorro.
No soy por ni contra apatía.
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BajaWarrior
Super Nomad
Posts: 2307
Registered: 9-27-2006
Location: Mission Bay, San Diego. Playa Hermosa, San Felipe.
Member Is Offline
Mood: Anxious to get south
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Russ
Everyone has their favorite sit to watch storms develop http://www.eebmike.com/ has a good write up on Jimena, imagery and predicted paths. |
I like this forecast Russ.
Go west Jimena!
Hurricanes that push big waves combined with high tides spell disaster for my beach...
Photo from '95.
Haven't had a bad trip yet....
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Russ
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6742
Registered: 7-4-2004
Location: Punta Chivato
Member Is Offline
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This is http://www.eebmike.com/ info this morning. I tried to consolidate some of the info on to one page. Hope it works.
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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Bob and Susan
Elite Nomad
Posts: 8813
Registered: 8-20-2003
Location: Mulege BCS on the BAY
Member Is Offline
Mood: Full Time Residents
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we better prepare for punishment
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