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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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Hurricaine Paul rain, wind & road reports
It appears that Paul will be wreaking havoc along the baja peninsula. It would be great to have up to the minute rain, wind and road reports por
favor...hunker down amigos...be safe...get prepared for power and water outages...stock up on cerveza!
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Osprey
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3694
Registered: 5-23-2004
Location: Baja Ca. Sur
Member Is Offline
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Power went out from 9 PM to 2:30 AM in our little town at East Cape. No wind, drizzle all night and still coming down.
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Mula
Super Nomad
Posts: 1655
Registered: 8-16-2011
Location: San Nicolas y Lopez Mateos
Member Is Offline
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Puerto A. Lopex Mateos:
Just started raining - not heavily but steady at 7:30a.m.
Not a breath of wind or air moving.
Grey, grey, grey.
Suffocating!
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Shimmer
Junior Nomad
Posts: 69
Registered: 11-29-2005
Location: Todos Santo BCS
Member Is Offline
Mood: In the Question
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raining... Todos.
Todos Santos...heavy cloud cover and steady rain since 5am 'ish. no wind. feels/looks like a couple days of this ahead of us.
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Russ
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6742
Registered: 7-4-2004
Location: Punta Chivato
Member Is Offline
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Overcast & calm 74º
Bahia Concepcion where life starts...given a chance!
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Pescador
Ultra Nomad
Posts: 3587
Registered: 10-17-2002
Location: Baja California Sur
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by Russ
Overcast & calm 74º |
For once, we are on the right side of the Peninsula.
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Udo
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6346
Registered: 4-26-2008
Location: Black Hills, SD/Ensenada/San Felipe
Member Is Offline
Mood: TEQUILA!
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From the latest report, looks like you will not get a direct hit, Shari.
But, whomever has a leaky roof...be prepared with the buckets.
Udo
Youth is wasted on the young!
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bajalinda
Senior Nomad
Posts: 551
Registered: 6-7-2008
Location: Pacific Coast, BCS
Member Is Offline
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Ditto what Mula and Shimmer posted. We're right between you two. Started raining here a bit before 7 AM. Still very light gentle rain - no wind to
speak of.
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mulegemichael
Super Nomad
Posts: 2310
Registered: 12-24-2007
Location: sequim,wa. and mulege
Member Is Offline
Mood: up on step
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flat calm and 73 in mulege at 9am
dyslexia is never having to say you\'re yrros.
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bajajudy
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6886
Registered: 10-4-2004
Location: San Jose del Cabo,BCS
Member Is Offline
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68 on my porch
Started raining about 8 last night and has been a steady drizzle up until about an hour ago when it really started coming down. Very little wind so
far.
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rts551
Elite Nomad
Posts: 6699
Registered: 9-5-2003
Member Is Offline
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It appears there is currently two cells. Paul is moving up the coast. The other cell is over the tip of Baja creating the rain currently going on
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DENNIS
Platinum Nomad
Posts: 29510
Registered: 9-2-2006
Location: Punta Banda
Member Is Offline
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| Quote: | Originally posted by rts551
It appears there is currently two cells. Paul is moving up the coast. The other cell is over the tip of Baja creating the rain currently going on
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Exactly. Lookee here:
https://secure.www.stormpulse.com/products/pacific
Remember to turn on the clouds....click on the radio button next to CLOUDS in the box.
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capitolkat
Senior Nomad
Posts: 510
Registered: 3-9-2006
Member Is Offline
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Ligth rain here in La paz but is clearing, light winds, have friends out fishing today around ceravallo, I'll give their report on the water when they
get back in.
Life is too short to drink bad wine
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Mula
Super Nomad
Posts: 1655
Registered: 8-16-2011
Location: San Nicolas y Lopez Mateos
Member Is Offline
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12 noon in Lopez Mateos.
Still raining steadily. Not light, but not hard, either.
A little wind ruffling the palm fronds and grey, grey, grey.
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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it looks pretty dark to the south of us...Juan is loading up on yellowtail...his clients wanted to spearfish but after they got all geared up and were
going to jump in...a dozen Orcas surrounded the boat...ummm...change of plan...so they are rod fishing now.
the wind just switched to the south west and the clouds are coming closer.....
when it starts raining at San Ignacio we will bring the cushions in I guess!
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bajacalifornian
Super Nomad
Posts: 1117
Registered: 9-4-2010
Location: Loreto/Lopez Mateos/Rosarito
Member Is Offline
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Light drizzle in Loreto all morning. Been grey since yesterday. Great day for a book.
American by birth, Mexican by choice.
Signature addendum: Danish physicist — Niels Bohr — who said, “The opposite of one profound truth may very well be another profound truth.
Jeff Petersen
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Mula
Super Nomad
Posts: 1655
Registered: 8-16-2011
Location: San Nicolas y Lopez Mateos
Member Is Offline
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The mules are tired of this rain, too!
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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awwww....they look fed up all right!!! in more ways than one.
the problem with this rain cell...the pre Paul rain, is that the ground will be saturated and so when the real rain hits, it will flow faster as it
wont be soaking in...ruh roh! I wonder how bad the roads will get???
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surfdoc
Nomad
Posts: 235
Registered: 8-18-2009
Location: Bahia Asuncion BCS
Member Is Offline
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Guess I'll postpone washing my truck.............again 
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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Not so fast Doc...Paul may get sucked over to the gulf yet...the latest report has him going further east than before....looks like Mag Bay is in for
a snotty couple days...hang in there amigos.
HURRICANE PAUL DISCUSSION NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162012
800 AM PDT MON OCT 15 2012
PAUL IS INTENSIFYING. THE CLOUD PATTERN OF THE CYCLONE IS BECOMING
AN INCREASINGLY SYMMETRIC CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST WITH VERY COLD
CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES. AN EYE SEEN IN MICROWAVE IMAGERY EARLIER
HAS BECOME INTERMITTENTLY VISIBLE IN CONVENTIONAL IMAGERY. DVORAK
CLASSIFICATIONS HAVE INCREASED TO T4.5 FROM BOTH SATELLITE AGENCIES
AT 1200 UTC...AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS INCREASED TO 80
KT.
PAUL HAS ACCELERATED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND THE INITIAL
MOTION ESTIMATE IS 010/11. THE CYCLONE SHOULD BE STEERED NORTHWARD
OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD BY DEEP-LAYER SOUTHERLY FLOW EAST OF A
MID-/UPPER-LEVEL TROPOSPHERIC LOW CUTTING OFF NEAR 23N 118W DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AFTER 48 HOURS...PAUL SHOULD DECELERATE AND
TURN NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTARD AROUND THE CLOSED
LOW. THE TRACK GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 48 HOURS AND
HAS AGAIN SHIFTED FARTHER EASTWARD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
ADJUSTED IN THAT DIRECTION BUT IS NOT QUITE AS FAR EAST AS THE
ECMWF AND GFS SOLUTIONS.
ALTHOUGH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BENEATH PAUL ARE ALREADY GRADUALLY
DECREASING...ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS SHOULD REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION FOR ABOUT 12 HOURS OR SO. AFTER THAT
TIME...INCREASING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE
CLOSED LOW TO THE WEST OF PAUL AND EVEN COOLER WATERS SHOULD RESULT
IN STEADY WEAKENING. THE WEAKENING COULD BECOME MORE RAPID AFTER 48
HOURS WHEN THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE FURTHER...AND
THE CYCLONE COULD DECOUPLE AT THAT TIME. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST
HAS BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD IN THE SHORT TERM TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
CURRENT INTENSIFICATION.
THE EASTWARD SHIFT OF THE TRACK...ALONG WITH THE FORECAST WIND
RADII...REQUIRES THE ISSUANCE OF A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR A
PORTION OF THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA PENINSULA AND AN EXTENSION OF
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
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