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geraldalexander7
Nomad
Posts: 100
Registered: 5-3-2017
Location: La Paz-Winter/California-Summer
Member Is Offline
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Hurricane Olaf
Keeping an eye on Olaf.
It may brush the Pacific coast of Baja Sur Friday.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep5+shtml/023829.s...
[Edited on 9-9-2021 by geraldalexander7]
[Edited on 9-10-2021 by BajaNomad]
Facebook.com/Gerald Beltran
Casas & Condos for rent in La Paz...$100US per/month.....Daily & weekly rates also.
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BigBearRider
Super Nomad
Posts: 1299
Registered: 4-30-2015
Location: Big Bear, Punta Chivato, and Cabo
Member Is Offline
Mood: 
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It’s been upgraded to Hurricane Olaf again…. Maybe a direct hit on Cabo.
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David K
Honored Nomad
Posts: 64849
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: San Diego County
Member Is Offline
Mood: Have Baja Fever
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Don Pisto
Banned
Posts: 1282
Registered: 8-1-2018
Location: El Pescador
Member Is Offline
Mood: weary like everyone else
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oh its coming......some gnarly video's on fb from CSL
there's only two things in life but I forget what they are........
John Hiatt
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bajalinda
Senior Nomad
Posts: 551
Registered: 6-7-2008
Location: Pacific Coast, BCS
Member Is Offline
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definite gusts of wind coming from the east here at La Aguja - normally winds are from the northwest here. Report from friend of heavy rain now in La
Paz. Be safe you all.
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David K
Honored Nomad
Posts: 64849
Registered: 8-30-2002
Location: San Diego County
Member Is Offline
Mood: Have Baja Fever
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Stay safe you two! Viva Playas Pacificas!!
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bajalinda
Senior Nomad
Posts: 551
Registered: 6-7-2008
Location: Pacific Coast, BCS
Member Is Offline
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Thanks David. Getting the first outer band right now. (It's just past noon there to give you a time reference.)
[Edited on 9-9-2021 by bajalinda]
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pauldavidmena
Super Nomad
Posts: 1715
Registered: 5-23-2013
Location: Centerville, MA, USA
Member Is Offline
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This screenshot was taken about 20 minutes ago. 
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Don Jorge
Senior Nomad
Posts: 647
Registered: 8-29-2003
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Just WhatApped with my tocayo, friend and local panga fisherman in Puerto San Carlos, Mag Bay and mentioned a possible close encounter with Olaf
coming to their neighborhood soon.
He had not heard anything about Olaf and was grateful for for the heads up.
I am sure the Port Captain and all the larger commercial seiners, trawlers etc know of Olaf but I was surprised this panga guy was unaware of the
potential disturbance brushing by soon.
Hoping it cruises by offshore a tad and leaves nothing but a greening Sonoran desert in the Magdalena Plain region.
�And it never failed that during the dry years the people forgot about the rich years, and during the wet years they lost all memory of the dry
years. It was always that way.�― John Steinbeck
"All models are wrong, but some are useful." George E.P. Box
"Nature bats last." Doug "Hayduke" Peac-ck
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Don Jorge
Senior Nomad
Posts: 647
Registered: 8-29-2003
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Hurricane Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 8A
1200 PM MDT Thu Sep 09 2021
"A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Baja California Sur, Mexico, north of Santa Fe to Cabo San Lazaro"
It is between Mag Bay and Cabo but where exactly is Sante Fe? Or what? Cannot find it on the almanac, etc?
Thanks for any help.
�And it never failed that during the dry years the people forgot about the rich years, and during the wet years they lost all memory of the dry
years. It was always that way.�― John Steinbeck
"All models are wrong, but some are useful." George E.P. Box
"Nature bats last." Doug "Hayduke" Peac-ck
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white whale
Nomad
Posts: 158
Registered: 12-15-2015
Location: canada
Member Is Offline
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wow, a one day hurricane warning. The NOAA archive starts tuesday night with formation notice and then weds night with TS watch, and now Hurricane
watch and warning.
Direct hit coming looks like.
This ain't no party, this ain't no disco, this ain't no foolin' around Life During Wartime
- Talking Heads '79
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bajalinda
Senior Nomad
Posts: 551
Registered: 6-7-2008
Location: Pacific Coast, BCS
Member Is Offline
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There is an old well-known ranch Sante Fe located west of Las Pocitas. Between Las Pocitas and the Pacific - closer to the Pacific. Take another
look at the almanac - it's there.
[Edited on 9-9-2021 by bajalinda]
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shari
Select Nomad
Posts: 13048
Registered: 3-10-2006
Location: bahia asuncion, baja sur
Member Is Offline
Mood: there is no reality except the one contained within us "Herman Hesse"
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My thoughts are with all of you in harms way down there...be safe amigos, dont cross running arroyos, hunker down and be prepared! Please update us as
long as you have internet. It's gonna be a long night on the tip!
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4999
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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https://twitter.com/hashtag/HurricaneOLAF
https://twitter.com/NHC_Pacific
[Edited on 9-10-2021 by BajaNomad]
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
https://www.regionalinternet.com
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting - since 1999 |
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4999
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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Hurricane Olaf Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152021
900 PM MDT Thu Sep 09 2021
...EYE OF OLAF ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL AT SAN JOSE DEL CABO MEXICO...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...
SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.0N 109.6W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM ENE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM SSE OF LA PAZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Baja California Sur Mexico from Los Barriles to Cabo San Lazaro.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Baja California Sur Mexico north of Cabo San Lazaro to Puerto San
Andresito
* Baja California Sur Mexico north of Los Barriles to Loreto
Interests elsewhere in Baja California Sur should monitor the
progress of Olaf.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Olaf was located
near latitude 23.0 North, longitude 109.6 West. Olaf is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue through Friday. A turn toward the
west is expected Friday night, followed by a turn toward the
southwest by Saturday night. On the forecast track, the center
of Olaf will move over the southern coast of the Baja California
peninsula during the next hour or so, and then move very near or
over southern Baja California Sur tonight and on Friday. The
hurricane will begin to move westward away from land late Friday or
early Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h)
with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected through
Friday as Olaf interacts with land. Further weakening is likely
over the weekend after Olaf moves away from Baja California Sur.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
(165 km). A weather station at Cabo San Lucas reported sustained
winds of 47 mph (76 km/h) and a gust to 84 mph (135 km/h) during the
past couple of hours.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb (28.77 inches). A
Weatherflow station near San Jose del Cabo recently reported a
pressure of 979 mb (28.91 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are spreading across the coast within
the hurricane warning area at this time and should continue to
spread northward through Friday. Tropical storm conditions are
also occuring over portions of Baja California Sur and will spread
northward during the next several hours, making outside preparations
difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property
should be rushed to completion.
Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in southern
portions of the tropical storm warning area Friday night.
RAINFALL: Olaf is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 5
to 10 inches with maximum amounts of 15 inches across portions of
southern Baja California Sur through Friday. This rainfall may
trigger significant and life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
coastal flooding within the warning areas in regions of onshore
winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
damaging waves.
SURF: Swells generated by Olaf are affecting portions of the coasts
of southern Baja California Sur, Nayarit, and Sinaloa, and will
spread northward along the west coast of Baja California Sur through
Saturday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 1200 AM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP5+shtml/100247...
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
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BigBearRider
Super Nomad
Posts: 1299
Registered: 4-30-2015
Location: Big Bear, Punta Chivato, and Cabo
Member Is Offline
Mood:
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It’s so windy and rainy that all the Oxxos closed early.
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4999
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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Los Cabos airport and La Paz malecon - both a few hours ago.
[Edited on 9-10-2021 by BajaNomad]
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
https://www.regionalinternet.com
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting - since 1999 |
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4999
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
https://www.regionalinternet.com
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting - since 1999 |
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BajaBruno
Super Nomad
Posts: 1035
Registered: 9-6-2006
Location: Back in CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: Happy
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Your last photo was the most appropriate for the conditions, but you need a bigger bottle.
Christopher Bruno, Elk Grove, CA.
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BajaNomad
Super Administrator
Posts: 4999
Registered: 8-1-2002
Location: San Diego, CA
Member Is Offline
Mood: INTP-A
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Hurricane Olaf Intermediate Advisory Number 10A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152021
1200 AM MDT Fri Sep 10 2021
...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL FROM OLAF CONTINUE OVER
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR...
SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.4N 110.2W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM NNW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SSE OF LA PAZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Olaf was located
near latitude 23.4 North, longitude 110.2 West. Olaf is moving
toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue today. A turn toward the west is expected
tonight, followed by a turn toward the southwest by Saturday night.
On the forecast track, the center of Olaf will move along the
southwestern coast of Baja California Sur today. The hurricane
will begin to move westward away from land tonight or early
Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 90 mph (150 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional gradual weakening is expected today
as Olaf interacts with land. Further weakening is likely over the
weekend after Olaf moves away from Baja California Sur.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105
miles (165 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Olaf can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP5 and WMO header WTPZ45 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?key_messages
WIND: Hurricane conditions are occurring within the hurricane
warning area and will continue to spread northward today. Tropical
storm conditions are also occuring over portions of Baja California
Sur and will spread northward within the tropical storm warning
area today.
RAINFALL: Olaf is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 5
to 10 inches with maximum amounts of 15 inches across portions of
southern Baja California Sur through today. This rainfall may
trigger significant and life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce
coastal flooding within the warning areas in regions of onshore
winds. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
damaging waves.
SURF: Swells generated by Olaf are affecting portions of the coasts
of southern Baja California Sur, Nayarit, and Sinaloa, and will
spread northward along the west coast of Baja California Sur through
Saturday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP5+shtml/100551...
When I was young, I admired clever people. Now that I am old, I admire kind people.
– Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel
We know we must go back if we live, and we don`t know why.
– John Steinbeck, Log from the Sea of Cortez
https://www.regionalinternet.com
Affordable Domain Name Registration/Management & cPanel Web Hosting - since 1999 |
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