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Author: Subject: USD - Peso hits 18.3
JDCanuck
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[*] posted on 8-7-2024 at 10:56 AM


Quote: Originally posted by HeyMulegeScott  
The peso is now at 19.3 and spiked at 19.8 briefly. The biggest driver seems to be the carry trade on the yen when the Bank of Japan had a surprise interest rate increase. This also rocked the global markets. The carry trade is basically borrow a cheap interest yen and buy a high interest peso.

https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/global-markets-rout-posit...


The Peso has been declining ever since the latest Mexican election. Looks like a lot of planned manufacturing has been put on hold or cancelled in Northern states. Mexicans I spoke with in Baja believe it's due to distrust of the new Gov't. Still, not a bad time to be looking at buying a place there as the USD will suddenly go a whole lot further.




A century later and it's still just as applicable: Desiderata: http://mwkworks.com/desiderata.html
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[*] posted on 8-12-2024 at 04:14 PM


It’s hanging around 18.8 to 19.4 lately…….
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bajatrailrider
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[*] posted on 8-12-2024 at 06:15 PM


I got today 18.20 ex in ensenada my Amazon card give me over 18.70
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AKgringo
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[*] posted on 8-13-2024 at 03:47 PM


I still have about 4500 of the "high value" pesos that I got in April at about 16.8 to the dollar! :thumbup:



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[*] posted on 9-11-2024 at 07:32 AM


Quote: Originally posted by lencho  

As I've mentioned before, now is probably not a good time to stock up on pesos. :light:


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AKgringo
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[*] posted on 9-11-2024 at 07:46 AM
19.89 Pesos to the Dollar this morning


I hope it stays right about there.....a five cent peso is an easy conversion without a calculator!



If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!

"Could do better if he tried!" Report card comments from most of my grade school teachers. Sadly, still true!
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HeyMulegeScott
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[*] posted on 9-11-2024 at 09:43 AM


Quote: Originally posted by lencho  
Quote: Originally posted by JDCanuck  
Mexicans I spoke with in Baja believe it's due to distrust of the new Gov't.

My understanding is that the recent rise in exchange rate is due to foreign concerns about the judicial reform move.

FWIW, it it just passed the senate, so it's effectively a done deal.
As I've mentioned before, now is probably not a good time to stock up on pesos. :light:


From what I'm reading the judicial reform concerns and US interest rates are what is driving it now. Seems like a good time time to me to stock up on pesos with these rates but I spread our transfers out as a hedge.
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HeyMulegeScott
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[*] posted on 9-11-2024 at 10:25 AM


I'm not planning on keeping any more than we need in the next 12 months or so in our Mexican bank account. The dollar devaluation in the last couple of years has been pretty painful too. Time will tell.
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AKgringo
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[*] posted on 9-11-2024 at 10:43 AM


I have mentioned this before, but it might be timely to recall my father's experience in the 1980's devaluation.

He had substantial savings in a Mexican institution because of the high interest rates they were offering. He not only lost the income from the savings, he lost most of the principle as well.




If you are not living on the edge, you are taking up too much space!

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Tioloco
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[*] posted on 9-11-2024 at 12:35 PM


Quote: Originally posted by AKgringo  
I have mentioned this before, but it might be timely to recall my father's experience in the 1980's devaluation.

He had substantial savings in a Mexican institution because of the high interest rates they were offering. He not only lost the income from the savings, he lost most of the principle as well.


That is always on my mind with the peso. Seems like it will happen again.
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HeyMulegeScott
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[*] posted on 9-12-2024 at 01:04 PM


This was a bleak article that came out in June after the election -

https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2024/06/fa...
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