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Author: Subject: Dean's remnants not so bad
vandy
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[*] posted on 8-23-2007 at 03:43 PM
Dean's remnants not so bad


It looks like some serious rain WAS coming from just southeast of Baja heading northwest. Dissipated pretty much, however
NOAA Satellite IR image loop
latest Baja 7-hour loop for water vapor

[Edited on 8-24-2007 by vandy]
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comitan
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[*] posted on 8-23-2007 at 05:31 PM


Looks like Los Cabos right now, La Paz later tonight it seems to be moving fast.



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[*] posted on 8-23-2007 at 05:32 PM


Is one to assume it will pick up windspeed when it hits the water between the mainland and Baja Sur.
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woody with a view
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[*] posted on 8-23-2007 at 05:37 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by TW
Is one to assume it will pick up windspeed when it hits the water between the mainland and Baja Sur.


perhaps.....depends on how long over open water, direction and upper level wind sheer....:?::?::?::?:


edit: from NHC

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 232233
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PDT THU AUG 23 2007

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A BROAD AREA OF SHOWERS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
ATLANTIC HURRICANE DEAN...IS LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM
MANZANILLO TO MAZATLAN. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE
SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT IF THIS SYSTEM WERE TO REGENERATE INTO A
NAMED TROPICAL CYCLONE...IT WOULD NOT RETAIN THE NAME DEAN SINCE
DEAN DID NOT MAINTAIN ITS STATUS AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER LANDSEA/AVILA



[Edited on 8-24-2007 by woody in ob]




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bajajudy
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[*] posted on 8-23-2007 at 05:42 PM


It is getting pretty dark here right now and eerily calm. Temp dropping(86 on the porch, high today 90) and 70% humidity.
I just looked out over the sea and there is no horizon.
more later




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[*] posted on 8-23-2007 at 05:49 PM


Quote:

I just looked out over the sea and there is no horizon.


Judy

in the surfing world that is a good thing, not to be confused with an oncoming hurricane, tho!!!! i guess the abundant rainfall will be a plus, especially for loreto bay!!!!!!:lol:




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[*] posted on 8-23-2007 at 07:24 PM


Any changes in the weather? Anything happening. The Bajagypsy's hope that another storm doesn't hit Baja, and that everyone stays safe.
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[*] posted on 8-23-2007 at 08:03 PM


I'm hoping for plenty of safe rain for all of Baja. We could use a drenching here in So Cal. Keep the weather reports coming Nomads, it's hard to get up-to-date info.
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[*] posted on 8-23-2007 at 08:46 PM


I think any rain is good rain in baja, I talked to a local that moved to Mulege 30 years ago. He lived at Oasis for the first 3 years, the owner of the Oasis told him he could stay there but he couldn't live there, because of flooding. He moved up the hill on the north side of town, and filmed the flood, he thought it was good in the end everybody had work. My2cents.
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[*] posted on 8-24-2007 at 06:25 AM


8/24/07 @ 0700

No rain last night in Los Cabos. Supposed to be some rain in the forecast today. Sky is completely overcast but the horizon is easily visible. Very light breeze with very light surf. Temperature is high 70's and very humid.

I saw a cruise ship pulling into San Lucas at 0500 this morning. It appears they are not concerned
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[*] posted on 8-24-2007 at 07:20 AM


Has there ever been a hurricane that started in the Atlantic and crossed to the Pacific and continued as a hurricane further to the west that anyone can remember or know of.
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[*] posted on 8-24-2007 at 07:44 AM


Quote:
Originally posted by TW
Has there ever been a hurricane that started in the Atlantic and crossed to the Pacific and continued as a hurricane further to the west that anyone can remember or know of.


That is not unheard of across Central America.

But when talking Mexico, someone posted a link that showed the hurricane tracks of all recorded hurricanes across Mexico and I didnt see one that actually crossed Mexico and continued on as a hurricane. But it was difficult to differentiate all the paths with so many lines. Usually the Sierra Madre Occidental was the death of most all of them.......from either direction.




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[*] posted on 8-24-2007 at 04:42 PM


5:30+ Sun has broken through Lots of solar Wind ESE 20 to 28mph NICE!



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[*] posted on 8-24-2007 at 05:01 PM


Sat photo

screenshot_01.jpg - 47kB




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[*] posted on 8-24-2007 at 06:31 PM


We got about 20 minutes of spitting this afternoon and it is partly cloudy now with a gentle west wind keeping the rain at bay but looks like it may rain later tonight.



for info & pics of our little paradise & whale watching info
http://www.bahiaasuncion.com/
https://www.whalemagictours.com/
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[*] posted on 8-24-2007 at 07:24 PM


Look what blew up in the last couple hours. If that come across we'll get the rain, wind & blowing furniture.

screenshot_01.jpg - 49kB




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[*] posted on 8-24-2007 at 07:34 PM


Quote:
Originally posted by Russ
Look what blew up in the last couple hours. If that come across we'll get the rain, wind & blowing furniture.



prevailing upper level winds are blowing from the southeast. gonna get sucked up into the US southwest in the next few days.....

"love to feel the rain in the summertime" by "the alarm"




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[*] posted on 8-24-2007 at 07:53 PM


These things show up almost every afternoon/evening over there but this one is really large. On the loop it shows it heading towards Mulege area. May fizzle out during the xing though. No lightning yet. Rain would be really nice but when it comes in sideways it can be really messy.



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[*] posted on 8-25-2007 at 05:14 AM


It weakened. No rain

screenshot_01.jpg - 48kB




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